Player sourcebook / QB · TB
Baker Mayfield
Read as Markdown · JSON · Interactive board
- Season / week
- 2026 / 8
- Scoring
- HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
- Source freshness
- partial
- Observed season stats
- Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.
Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.
- outcomes
- ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7 - season projection
- preseason prior
Captured Unknown - draft adp
- preseason context
Captured Unknown - advanced stats
- coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details
Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.
Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1
Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8
Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:45.215921+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.
Scroll the table to see every column.
| Player | Pos | Team | Observed points/game | Games played | Estimated future points/game | Trade value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 10.45 | 4 | 14.45 | 2.2 |
Future projection context
These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.
- Forecast source
- Captured Sleeper future projections
- Forecast captured
- 2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
- Unstarted games through Week 17
- 9
- Weeks with provider forecasts
- 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
- Weeks using model fallback
- None recorded
Draft context
Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.
- Full-season preseason projection
- 269
- Draft average position
- 152.9
Observed production
Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.
This season
- Fantasy points
- 41.8
- Games played
- 4
- Observed through week
- 7
- passing yards
- 679
- passing tds
- 3
- interceptions
- 2
- carries
- 12
- rushing yards
- 66
- rushing tds
- 1
- targets
- 0
- receptions
- 0
- receiving yards
- 0
- receiving tds
- 0
- passing first downs
- 29
- rushing first downs
- 5
- receiving first downs
- 0
- fumbles lost
- 3
- Target share in observed games (%)
- 0
- Fantasy points per game
- 10.45
- Yards per carry
- 5.5
- Yards per target
- Unavailable
- Yards per reception
- Unavailable
- Catch rate (%)
- Unavailable
- Total yards
- 745
- Yards per game
- 186.2
- touches
- 12
- first downs
- 5
- Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- 8.3
- Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- 4.3
- Opportunity observed through week
- 7
- Opportunity coverage
- complete
Previous season
- Fantasy points
- 267.9
- Games played
- 17
- Observed through week
- 18
- passing yards
- 3,693
- passing tds
- 26
- interceptions
- 11
- carries
- 55
- rushing yards
- 382
- rushing tds
- 1
- targets
- 0
- receptions
- 0
- receiving yards
- 0
- receiving tds
- 0
- passing first downs
- 172
- rushing first downs
- 29
- receiving first downs
- 0
- fumbles lost
- 3
- Target share in observed games (%)
- 0
- Fantasy points per game
- 15.76
- Yards per carry
- 6.9
- Yards per target
- Unavailable
- Yards per reception
- Unavailable
- Catch rate (%)
- Unavailable
- Total yards
- 4,075
- Yards per game
- 239.7
- touches
- 55
- first downs
- 29
- Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- 26.4
- Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- 17.8
- Opportunity observed through week
- 18
- Opportunity coverage
- complete
This season: advanced statistics
- Snap share (%)
- 96
- Time to throw (seconds)
- 2.96
- Average depth of pass target (yards)
- 8.3
- pass aggressiveness
- 12.15
- Completion percentage above expectation
- -0.62
- pass air to sticks
- -1.45
- pass rating
- 83.04
- rush stacked box pct
- Unavailable
- rush time to los
- Unavailable
- Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
- Unavailable
- rush efficiency
- Unavailable
- rush pct over expected
- Unavailable
- rec avg separation
- Unavailable
- rec avg cushion
- Unavailable
- Average depth of receiving target (yards)
- Unavailable
- rec air share
- Unavailable
- Receiving yards after catch above expectation
- Unavailable
- rec catch pct
- Unavailable
- rec drops
- Unavailable
- rec broken tackles
- Unavailable
- Rushing yards before contact per attempt
- Unavailable
- Rushing yards after contact per attempt
- Unavailable
- rush broken tackles
- 0
- pass pressured pct
- 23
- pass bad throw pct
- 14.7
- rec drop pct
- Unavailable
Previous season: advanced statistics
- Snap share (%)
- 97.1
- Time to throw (seconds)
- 2.85
- Average depth of pass target (yards)
- 8.09
- pass aggressiveness
- 16.39
- Completion percentage above expectation
- -1.67
- pass air to sticks
- -0.69
- pass rating
- 90.58
- rush stacked box pct
- Unavailable
- rush time to los
- Unavailable
- Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
- Unavailable
- rush efficiency
- Unavailable
- rush pct over expected
- Unavailable
- rec avg separation
- Unavailable
- rec avg cushion
- Unavailable
- Average depth of receiving target (yards)
- Unavailable
- rec air share
- Unavailable
- Receiving yards after catch above expectation
- Unavailable
- rec catch pct
- Unavailable
- rec drops
- Unavailable
- rec broken tackles
- Unavailable
- Rushing yards before contact per attempt
- 5.11
- Rushing yards after contact per attempt
- 1.84
- rush broken tackles
- 7
- pass pressured pct
- 14.3
- pass bad throw pct
- 15.2
- rec drop pct
- Unavailable
Player narrative and news
Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.
Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00
Latest stored news context
{
"digest": "Baker Mayfield (thumb) misses practice again Wednesday — With the Buccaneers playing Thursday night, Mayfield is on track to miss a second straight game due to a thumb injury, as he has not practiced this week. Jalon Daniels is in line to start at QB once again. ",
"latest_at": "2026-10-07T14:50:58+00:00",
"updated_at": "2026-10-07T19:00:23.532123+00:00",
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"llm_weeks_out": null,
"llm_offfield_risk": null,
"llm_key_phrases": null,
"llm_role_change": null,
"llm_usage_outlook": null,
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"llm_relevance": null,
"llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-07T09:03:58.773085+00:00",
"llm_model": null,
"inference_status": "stale"
}Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "stale", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}
Complete source evidence
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"generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
"Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
"Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
"League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
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"adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
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"tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
"ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
"projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
"value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
"xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
"xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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"player": {
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"name": "Baker Mayfield",
"team": "TB",
"pos": "QB",
"age": 31,
"exp": 8,
"injury": null,
"rookie": false,
"value": 2.2,
"ros_ppg": 14.45,
"games_left": 9,
"projection": {
"ros_ppg": 14.451355555555555,
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"covered_weeks": [
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"missing_weeks": [],
"remaining_games": 9
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"proj": 269,
"adp": 152.9,
"adp_pr": 18,
"ly": {
"pts": 267.9,
"g": 17,
"through_week": 18,
"passing_yards": 3693.0,
"passing_tds": 26.0,
"interceptions": 11.0,
"carries": 55.0,
"rushing_yards": 382.0,
"rushing_tds": 1.0,
"targets": 0.0,
"receptions": 0.0,
"receiving_yards": 0.0,
"receiving_tds": 0.0,
"passing_first_downs": 172.0,
"rushing_first_downs": 29.0,
"receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
"fumbles_lost": 3.0,
"tgt_share": 0.0,
"ppg": 15.76,
"ypc": 6.9,
"ypt": null,
"ypr": null,
"catch_pct": null,
"total_yd": 4075.0,
"ypg": 239.7,
"touches": 55.0,
"first_downs": 29.0,
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"adv": {
"snap_pct": 97.1,
"pass_time_to_throw": 2.85,
"pass_adot": 8.09,
"pass_aggressiveness": 16.39,
"pass_cpoe": -1.67,
"pass_air_to_sticks": -0.69,
"pass_rating": 90.58,
"rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
"rush_time_to_los": null,
"rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
"rush_efficiency": null,
"rush_pct_over_expected": null,
"rec_avg_separation": null,
"rec_avg_cushion": null,
"rec_adot": null,
"rec_air_share": null,
"rec_yac_above_exp": null,
"rec_catch_pct": null,
"rec_drops": null,
"rec_broken_tackles": null,
"rush_ybc_att": 5.11,
"rush_yac_att": 1.84,
"rush_broken_tackles": 7.0,
"pass_pressured_pct": 14.3,
"pass_bad_throw_pct": 15.2,
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"ytd": {
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"ppg": 10.45,
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"profile": {
"sleeper_id": "4892",
"season": 2026,
"as_of": "2026-11-01T01:38:45.221509+00:00",
"freshness": {
"writeup": "preseason_context",
"news": "stale",
"news_inference": "stale",
"injury_outlook": "stale",
"note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
},
"writeup": "Playing through a sprained MCL and PCL from Week 3 on, plus a biceps contusion that sapped his throwing velocity and a late-season left shoulder injury, Mayfield still averaged 16.4 points per game with 26 touchdown passes and 382 rushing yards. That context reframes the softest number in his profile, a minus-1.6 CPOE that would otherwise read as decline, since a compromised throwing arm is the simpler explanation. The parts of his game the injuries could not reach stayed elite: he kept a 90th-percentile aggressiveness rate, led all qualified quarterbacks at 6.9 yards a carry, broke seven tackles as a runner, third most at the position, and took pressure on a league-low 14.3% of dropbacks. His price has drifted to QB20 near pick 142 even though the consensus projects QB18 at 282 points, a modest discount on a player who kept producing on a bad knee. The beat reporting says he heads into the season at full health, which makes the 2025 line read like a floor demonstration rather than his ceiling.",
"writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
"news": {
"digest": "Baker Mayfield (thumb) misses practice again Wednesday — With the Buccaneers playing Thursday night, Mayfield is on track to miss a second straight game due to a thumb injury, as he has not practiced this week. Jalon Daniels is in line to start at QB once again. ",
"latest_at": "2026-10-07T14:50:58+00:00",
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}
}Use this source carefully
- Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.
- generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.
- Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.
- Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.
- League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring.