FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / TE · SEA

AJ Barner

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:41:31.486141+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
AJ Barner TESEA 4.8676.530

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
100
Draft average position
196.2

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
34
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
4
rushing yards
5
rushing tds
1
targets
29
receptions
19
receiving yards
180
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
4
receiving first downs
10
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
13.5
Fantasy points per game
4.86
Yards per carry
1.2
Yards per target
6.2
Yards per reception
9.5
Catch rate (%)
65.5
Total yards
185
Yards per game
26.4
touches
23
first downs
14
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
41.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-7.7
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
121.3
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
10
rushing yards
14
rushing tds
1
targets
68
receptions
52
receiving yards
519
receiving tds
6
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
9
receiving first downs
26
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
14.9
Fantasy points per game
7.14
Yards per carry
1.4
Yards per target
7.6
Yards per reception
10
Catch rate (%)
76.5
Total yards
533
Yards per game
31.4
touches
62
first downs
35
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
97.2
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
24.1
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
88.1
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
3.72
rec avg cushion
5.53
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
2.4
rec air share
4.28
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.39
rec catch pct
65.52
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
2
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
6.9

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
77.3
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
4.08
rec avg cushion
4.64
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
4.78
rec air share
8.6
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.86
rec catch pct
76.47
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
5
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
2.9

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

AJ Barner owns the strangest charting line in this tight end class. He faced the tightest pre-snap coverage of any qualified tight end, a 4.62-yard average cushion that ranked dead last, and still produced 94th-percentile separation, so defenses pressed him and he got open anyway, almost entirely within five yards of the line given his 14th-percentile aDOT. The fantasy issue is what his 121 points were made of. He outscored his opportunity by 24 points, the seventh-largest overshoot at the position, riding six receiving touchdowns plus a rushing score, and touchdown-driven overperformance is the least sticky kind. Seattle helps, ninth in average implied total at 24.9, and ten carries mark a short-yardage role that's genuinely his. The consensus strips the luck back out and lands at TE25 with 100 points against a 133 half-PPR ADP, TE20, and he enters camp carrying a questionable tag besides. The price only works if the touchdowns repeat, and a 29th-percentile air-yards share is not the kind of usage that repeats them.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "AJ Barner runs in touchdown in win over Cardinals — Barner's fantasy day was saved by the touchdown, as he hasn't gotten much volume to start the season. He's touchdown-or-bust right now and is best left on the bench or on waivers.",
  "latest_at": "2026-09-22T02:07:07+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-09-23T09:00:05.446832+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "touchdown saved; hasn't gotten much volume; best left on bench; touchdown-or-bust; bench or waivers",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-23T09:15:43.359637+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
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    "exp": 2,
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    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 6.53,
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      "receiving_yards": 519.0,
      "receiving_tds": 6.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 9.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 26.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
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      "ppg": 7.14,
      "ypc": 1.4,
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      "ypr": 10.0,
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      "pass_adot": null,
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      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
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      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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      "rec_catch_pct": 76.47,
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      "rec_broken_tackles": 5.0,
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    "writeup": "AJ Barner owns the strangest charting line in this tight end class. He faced the tightest pre-snap coverage of any qualified tight end, a 4.62-yard average cushion that ranked dead last, and still produced 94th-percentile separation, so defenses pressed him and he got open anyway, almost entirely within five yards of the line given his 14th-percentile aDOT. The fantasy issue is what his 121 points were made of. He outscored his opportunity by 24 points, the seventh-largest overshoot at the position, riding six receiving touchdowns plus a rushing score, and touchdown-driven overperformance is the least sticky kind. Seattle helps, ninth in average implied total at 24.9, and ten carries mark a short-yardage role that's genuinely his. The consensus strips the luck back out and lands at TE25 with 100 points against a 133 half-PPR ADP, TE20, and he enters camp carrying a questionable tag besides. The price only works if the touchdowns repeat, and a 29th-percentile air-yards share is not the kind of usage that repeats them.",
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Use this source carefully