{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11603","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:30:00.885906+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"11603","name":"AJ Barner","team":"SEA","pos":"TE","age":24,"exp":2,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":6.53,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":6.5265555555555546,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":100,"adp":196.2,"adp_pr":23,"ly":{"pts":121.3,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":10.0,"rushing_yards":14.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":68.0,"receptions":52.0,"receiving_yards":519.0,"receiving_tds":6.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":9.0,"receiving_first_downs":26.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":14.9,"ppg":7.14,"ypc":1.4,"ypt":7.6,"ypr":10.0,"catch_pct":76.5,"total_yd":533.0,"ypg":31.4,"touches":62.0,"first_downs":35.0,"xfp":97.2,"xfp_diff":24.1,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":77.3,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":4.08,"rec_avg_cushion":4.64,"rec_adot":4.78,"rec_air_share":8.6,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.86,"rec_catch_pct":76.47,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":5.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.9},"ytd":{"pts":34.0,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":4.0,"rushing_yards":5.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":29.0,"receptions":19.0,"receiving_yards":180.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":4.0,"receiving_first_downs":10.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":13.5,"ppg":4.86,"ypc":1.2,"ypt":6.2,"ypr":9.5,"catch_pct":65.5,"total_yd":185.0,"ypg":26.4,"touches":23.0,"first_downs":14.0,"xfp":41.7,"xfp_diff":-7.7,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":88.1,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.72,"rec_avg_cushion":5.53,"rec_adot":2.4,"rec_air_share":4.28,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.39,"rec_catch_pct":65.52,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":2.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":6.9}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"11603","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:30:00.907892+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"AJ Barner owns the strangest charting line in this tight end class. He faced the tightest pre-snap coverage of any qualified tight end, a 4.62-yard average cushion that ranked dead last, and still produced 94th-percentile separation, so defenses pressed him and he got open anyway, almost entirely within five yards of the line given his 14th-percentile aDOT. The fantasy issue is what his 121 points were made of. He outscored his opportunity by 24 points, the seventh-largest overshoot at the position, riding six receiving touchdowns plus a rushing score, and touchdown-driven overperformance is the least sticky kind. Seattle helps, ninth in average implied total at 24.9, and ten carries mark a short-yardage role that's genuinely his. The consensus strips the luck back out and lands at TE25 with 100 points against a 133 half-PPR ADP, TE20, and he enters camp carrying a questionable tag besides. The price only works if the touchdowns repeat, and a 29th-percentile air-yards share is not the kind of usage that repeats them.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"AJ Barner runs in touchdown in win over Cardinals — Barner's fantasy day was saved by the touchdown, as he hasn't gotten much volume to start the season. He's touchdown-or-bust right now and is best left on the bench or on waivers.","latest_at":"2026-09-22T02:07:07+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-23T09:00:05.446832+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"touchdown saved; hasn't gotten much volume; best left on bench; touchdown-or-bust; bench or waivers","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-23T09:15:43.359637+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":null,"as_of":"2026-07-18","source":"curves-v1"}}}