FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · BAL

Zay Flowers

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:26.838580+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Zay Flowers WRBAL 17.03616.0276.4

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
201
Draft average position
42.4

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
102.2
Games played
6
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
3
rushing yards
34
rushing tds
0
targets
53
receptions
40
receiving yards
608
receiving tds
3
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
2
receiving first downs
24
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
31.4
Fantasy points per game
17.03
Yards per carry
11.3
Yards per target
11.5
Yards per reception
15.2
Catch rate (%)
75.5
Total yards
642
Yards per game
107
touches
43
first downs
26
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
68.2
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
34
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
200.3
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
10
rushing yards
62
rushing tds
1
targets
118
receptions
86
receiving yards
1,211
receiving tds
5
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
4
receiving first downs
48
fumbles lost
3
Target share in observed games (%)
29
Fantasy points per game
11.78
Yards per carry
6.2
Yards per target
10.3
Yards per reception
14.1
Catch rate (%)
72.9
Total yards
1,273
Yards per game
74.9
touches
96
first downs
52
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
169.1
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
37.2
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
65
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
3.05
rec avg cushion
6.07
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
7.86
rec air share
26.08
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
3.18
rec catch pct
75.47
rec drops
3
rec broken tackles
3
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
5.7

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
86.5
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
3.52
rec avg cushion
6.49
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
9.92
rec air share
34.72
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.24
rec catch pct
72.88
rec drops
7
rec broken tackles
9
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
5.9

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Baltimore projects as the best scoring environment in football by early Vegas lines, a league-leading 27-point average implied total, and Flowers owns a 29 percent target share in it, fifth among qualified receivers. His 86-1211-5 line in 2025 came with real receiving polish: a 73 percent catch rate (91st percentile), 3.58 yards of average separation (89th), and 10.3 yards per target. The caution flag is that he outscored his usage by 31 points, one of the five biggest overshoots at the position, and gaps like that usually shrink. Two things soften the worry: the surplus came from yardage efficiency rather than a touchdown spike, since he scored only five times, and the separation and catch-rate numbers argue the efficiency is repeatable skill. He also led wideouts with three lost fumbles, which is worth knowing but probably not predictive. At WR21 in half-PPR drafts against a WR13 consensus projection, the market is charging less than the profile reads, and standard-format rooms let him slip four picks further.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Zay Flowers (foot) expected to play on Sunday — If Flowers suits up, he will provide backup QB Tyler Huntley with a more than capable target downfield in a Ravens passing attack that lacks much punch behind him. He will be needed to prevent the offense from being one-dimensional, especially with the Falcons offense picking up steam since the return of Michael Penix.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-11T12:12:49+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-11T19:00:23.388436+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "expected to play; more than capable target; one-dimensional offense; foot injury; backup qb",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-11T19:08:19.768545+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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    "pos": "WR",
    "age": 26,
    "exp": 3,
    "injury": null,
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    "value": 76.4,
    "ros_ppg": 16.02,
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      "targets": 118.0,
      "receptions": 86.0,
      "receiving_yards": 1211.0,
      "receiving_tds": 5.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 4.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 48.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 3.0,
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      "ppg": 11.78,
      "ypc": 6.2,
      "ypt": 10.3,
      "ypr": 14.1,
      "catch_pct": 72.9,
      "total_yd": 1273.0,
      "ypg": 74.9,
      "touches": 96.0,
      "first_downs": 52.0,
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      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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      "rec_avg_cushion": 6.49,
      "rec_adot": 9.92,
      "rec_air_share": 34.72,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.24,
      "rec_catch_pct": 72.88,
      "rec_drops": 7.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 9.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0,
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Use this source carefully