Zach Charbonnet

{
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  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:38:09.209231+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
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  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
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    "served_season": 2026,
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    "warnings": [],
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        "completed_through_week": 7
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    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
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  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
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  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
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    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
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    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
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    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "9753",
    "name": "Zach Charbonnet",
    "team": "SEA",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 25,
    "exp": 3,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 22.7,
    "ros_ppg": 8.85,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
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      "source": "sleeper_future",
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        9,
        10,
        12,
        13,
        14,
        15,
        16,
        17
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      "missing_weeks": [],
      "remaining_games": 9
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    "proj": 108,
    "adp": 143.0,
    "adp_pr": 47,
    "ly": {
      "pts": 169.4,
      "g": 16,
      "through_week": 18,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 184.0,
      "rushing_yards": 730.0,
      "rushing_tds": 12.0,
      "targets": 24.0,
      "receptions": 20.0,
      "receiving_yards": 144.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 49.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 7.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 5.5,
      "ppg": 10.59,
      "ypc": 4.0,
      "ypt": 6.0,
      "ypr": 7.2,
      "catch_pct": 83.3,
      "total_yd": 874.0,
      "ypg": 54.6,
      "touches": 204.0,
      "first_downs": 56.0,
      "xfp": 171.3,
      "xfp_diff": -1.9,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
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    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 48.4,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 35.33,
      "rush_time_to_los": 3.07,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.31,
      "rush_efficiency": 4.31,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.4,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 1.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 2.13,
      "rush_yac_att": 1.84,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 14.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 4.2
    },
    "ytd": null,
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  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "9753",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T01:38:09.290132+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "current",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "current",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Twelve rushing touchdowns made Charbonnet's 2025, and that is precisely the thing the projection refuses to repeat. His 10.6 points per game landed within two points of his usage-based expectation, which means the touchdown-rich role, and not efficiency luck, drove the scoring. The rest of the rushing profile runs ordinary to concerning: 4.0 yards per carry against a 94th-percentile stacked-box rate, roughly average rush yards over expected, and a patient, east-west style that ranked 96th percentile in time to the line of scrimmage. The consensus cuts him to 5.6 touchdowns and RB43 at 113 points, a 56-point haircut from last season, while the half-PPR market takes him at pick 123 (RB42), essentially agreeing with the haircut. He carries a questionable tag into camp, though with no projected missed games. Seattle's offense is a real asset at ninth by early implied totals, and his top-two-week concentration of 26 percent says the production was steadier than most backs going in this range. The price is honest, which makes him boring in the useful sense, a stable RB4 whose upside case needs either the touchdowns to defy regression or the role ahead of him to open up.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Zach Charbonnet (knee) off injury report Monday  — Charbonnet will be ready to make his season debut. He'll be a touchdown dependent flex play in his first game back for fantasy managers. ",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-31T21:03:30+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": 1,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
      "llm_severity": 1,
      "llm_weeks_out": 0.0,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "off injury report; season debut; touchdown dependent flex; first game back; knee",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:12:19.919291+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": {
      "status": "absent",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.563580908816535,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
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    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
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}