FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · ATL

Bijan Robinson

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:40:43.301650+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Bijan Robinson RBATL 19.03719.95122.6

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
318
Draft average position
2.8

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
133.2
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
131
rushing yards
704
rushing tds
4
targets
32
receptions
25
receiving yards
203
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
35
receiving first downs
6
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
16.7
Fantasy points per game
19.03
Yards per carry
5.4
Yards per target
6.3
Yards per reception
8.1
Catch rate (%)
78.1
Total yards
907
Yards per game
129.6
touches
156
first downs
41
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
116.9
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
16.3
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
329.3
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
287
rushing yards
1,478
rushing tds
7
targets
103
receptions
79
receiving yards
820
receiving tds
4
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
67
receiving first downs
34
fumbles lost
3
Target share in observed games (%)
19.8
Fantasy points per game
19.37
Yards per carry
5.1
Yards per target
8
Yards per reception
10.4
Catch rate (%)
76.7
Total yards
2,298
Yards per game
135.2
touches
366
first downs
101
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
292.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
42.5
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
71.4
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
22.14
rush time to los
2.75
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
1.2
rush efficiency
3.35
rush pct over expected
0.46
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
3
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.68
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
2.69
rush broken tackles
9
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
3.1

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
78.2
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
14.63
rush time to los
3.03
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.88
rush efficiency
3.91
rush pct over expected
0.44
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
4
rec broken tackles
10
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.83
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
2.32
rush broken tackles
22
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
3.9

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Bijan Robinson's price at 1.5 overall asks for near-certainty, and his 2025 profile comes closer to providing it than anyone else's. He led all backs with 2,298 total yards, ranked second in targets with 103, and his usage alone was worth 293 expected points, also second, so the floor rests on volume rather than efficiency luck. The efficiency showed up anyway: 5.1 a carry with 2.83 yards before contact and 2.32 after, both top-dozen marks, meaning the line and the runner were each doing their share. On the caution side, defenses stacked the box against him barely 15 percent of the time, nearly the lowest rate at the position, so his lanes were softer than a typical workhorse sees, Atlanta's early implied totals rank 26th at 20.7 a game, and he put three fumbles on the ground. His 36-point beat of expected points should also shrink some, which is why the projection lands at RB2 with 330 rather than a runaway first. He offers the widest, steadiest base of opportunity in football, attached to an offense that caps how loud the ceiling gets.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Bijan Robinson dominant in blowout win Monday — Robinson was absolutely dominant on Monday night. He led the Falcons in rushing with 145 yards on the night at a hyper-efficient clip of 7.6 yards per carry, and he was also able to get into the end zone on two separate occasions. He let a little to be desired in the passing game, but that was simply because the Falcons were up so much for so long. He has been stellar over the first four weeks of the season and should continue to be one of the best assets in all of fantasy moving forward.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-06T04:12:45+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-06T19:00:45.612292+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "dominant in blowout; 145 yards; 7.6 yards per carry; two touchdowns; best fantasy asset",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-06T19:15:13.430979+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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    "team": "ATL",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 24,
    "exp": 3,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 122.6,
    "ros_ppg": 19.95,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "passing_tds": 0.0,
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      "carries": 287.0,
      "rushing_yards": 1478.0,
      "rushing_tds": 7.0,
      "targets": 103.0,
      "receptions": 79.0,
      "receiving_yards": 820.0,
      "receiving_tds": 4.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 67.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 34.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 3.0,
      "tgt_share": 19.8,
      "ppg": 19.37,
      "ypc": 5.1,
      "ypt": 8.0,
      "ypr": 10.4,
      "catch_pct": 76.7,
      "total_yd": 2298.0,
      "ypg": 135.2,
      "touches": 366.0,
      "first_downs": 101.0,
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      "xfp_diff": 42.5,
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      "snap_pct": 78.2,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 14.63,
      "rush_time_to_los": 3.03,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.88,
      "rush_efficiency": 3.91,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.44,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 4.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 10.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 2.83,
      "rush_yac_att": 2.32,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 22.0,
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      "receiving_yards": 203.0,
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    "writeup": "Bijan Robinson's price at 1.5 overall asks for near-certainty, and his 2025 profile comes closer to providing it than anyone else's. He led all backs with 2,298 total yards, ranked second in targets with 103, and his usage alone was worth 293 expected points, also second, so the floor rests on volume rather than efficiency luck. The efficiency showed up anyway: 5.1 a carry with 2.83 yards before contact and 2.32 after, both top-dozen marks, meaning the line and the runner were each doing their share. On the caution side, defenses stacked the box against him barely 15 percent of the time, nearly the lowest rate at the position, so his lanes were softer than a typical workhorse sees, Atlanta's early implied totals rank 26th at 20.7 a game, and he put three fumbles on the ground. His 36-point beat of expected points should also shrink some, which is why the projection lands at RB2 with 330 rather than a runaway first. He offers the widest, steadiest base of opportunity in football, attached to an offense that caps how loud the ceiling gets.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
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      "latest_at": "2026-10-06T04:12:45+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-06T19:00:45.612292+00:00",
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      "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
      "llm_severity": 0,
      "llm_weeks_out": null,
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      "llm_key_phrases": "dominant in blowout; 145 yards; 7.6 yards per carry; two touchdowns; best fantasy asset",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
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Use this source carefully