# Bijan Robinson — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9509 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9509", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:30:33.802988+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "9509", "name": "Bijan Robinson", "team": "ATL", "pos": "RB", "age": 24, "exp": 3, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 122.6, "ros_ppg": 19.95, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 19.94977777777778, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 318, "adp": 2.8, "adp_pr": 2, "ly": { "pts": 329.3, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 287.0, "rushing_yards": 1478.0, "rushing_tds": 7.0, "targets": 103.0, "receptions": 79.0, "receiving_yards": 820.0, "receiving_tds": 4.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 67.0, "receiving_first_downs": 34.0, "fumbles_lost": 3.0, "tgt_share": 19.8, "ppg": 19.37, "ypc": 5.1, "ypt": 8.0, "ypr": 10.4, "catch_pct": 76.7, "total_yd": 2298.0, "ypg": 135.2, "touches": 366.0, "first_downs": 101.0, "xfp": 292.8, "xfp_diff": 42.5, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 78.2, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 14.63, "rush_time_to_los": 3.03, "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.88, "rush_efficiency": 3.91, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.44, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 4.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 10.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.83, "rush_yac_att": 2.32, "rush_broken_tackles": 22.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 3.9 }, "ytd": { "pts": 133.2, "g": 7, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 131.0, "rushing_yards": 704.0, "rushing_tds": 4.0, "targets": 32.0, "receptions": 25.0, "receiving_yards": 203.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 35.0, "receiving_first_downs": 6.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 16.7, "ppg": 19.03, "ypc": 5.4, "ypt": 6.3, "ypr": 8.1, "catch_pct": 78.1, "total_yd": 907.0, "ypg": 129.6, "touches": 156.0, "first_downs": 41.0, "xfp": 116.9, "xfp_diff": 16.3, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 71.4, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 22.14, "rush_time_to_los": 2.75, "rush_ryoe_per_att": 1.2, "rush_efficiency": 3.35, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.46, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.68, "rush_yac_att": 2.69, "rush_broken_tackles": 9.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 3.1 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "9509", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:30:33.805943+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Bijan Robinson's price at 1.5 overall asks for near-certainty, and his 2025 profile comes closer to providing it than anyone else's. He led all backs with 2,298 total yards, ranked second in targets with 103, and his usage alone was worth 293 expected points, also second, so the floor rests on volume rather than efficiency luck. The efficiency showed up anyway: 5.1 a carry with 2.83 yards before contact and 2.32 after, both top-dozen marks, meaning the line and the runner were each doing their share. On the caution side, defenses stacked the box against him barely 15 percent of the time, nearly the lowest rate at the position, so his lanes were softer than a typical workhorse sees, Atlanta's early implied totals rank 26th at 20.7 a game, and he put three fumbles on the ground. His 36-point beat of expected points should also shrink some, which is why the projection lands at RB2 with 330 rather than a runaway first. He offers the widest, steadiest base of opportunity in football, attached to an offense that caps how loud the ceiling gets.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Bijan Robinson dominant in blowout win Monday — Robinson was absolutely dominant on Monday night. He led the Falcons in rushing with 145 yards on the night at a hyper-efficient clip of 7.6 yards per carry, and he was also able to get into the end zone on two separate occasions. He let a little to be desired in the passing game, but that was simply because the Falcons were up so much for so long. He has been stellar over the first four weeks of the season and should continue to be one of the best assets in all of fantasy moving forward.", "latest_at": "2026-10-06T04:12:45+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-06T19:00:45.612292+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 0, "llm_severity": 0, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "dominant in blowout; 145 yards; 7.6 yards per carry; two touchdowns; best fantasy asset", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-06T19:15:13.430979+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": null } } ```