FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · HOU

Kayshon Boutte

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:03.342385+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Kayshon Boutte WRHOU 3.8473.110

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
114
Draft average position
200.1

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
26.9
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
23
receptions
15
receiving yards
194
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
7
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
10
Fantasy points per game
3.84
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
8.4
Yards per reception
12.9
Catch rate (%)
65.2
Total yards
194
Yards per game
27.7
touches
15
first downs
7
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
32.6
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-5.7
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
107.6
Games played
14
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
46
receptions
33
receiving yards
551
receiving tds
6
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
27
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
11.6
Fantasy points per game
7.69
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
12
Yards per reception
16.7
Catch rate (%)
71.7
Total yards
551
Yards per game
39.4
touches
33
first downs
27
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
77.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
29.8
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
54.3
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
1.96
rec avg cushion
6.85
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
12.32
rec air share
12.78
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
-0.88
rec catch pct
65.22
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
8.7

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
67.5
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.44
rec avg cushion
4.88
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
17.12
rec air share
17.85
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
-0.32
rec catch pct
71.74
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
2.2

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Boutte's 2025 charting reads like a contradiction: he ran some of the deepest routes at the position, a 17.25-yard aDOT in the 98th percentile, into the tightest coverage, a fourth-percentile cushion with 14th-percentile separation, and still caught 71.7 percent of his targets, an 87th-percentile rate. Receivers do not normally convert contested deep balls at that clip, and the fantasy math shows how much it paid: 107.6 half-PPR points on 77.8 expected, a 38 percent premium over his usage, fueled by six touchdowns on only 46 targets. Little of it is stable: the catch rate on that route tree should fall, the touchdown-per-target rate should fall, and his negative YAC over expected, a 12th-percentile figure, means he adds nothing after the catch to soften the landing. A 3.3-targets-per-game role leaves no volume cushion either, so the whole 2026 case rests on the least repeatable parts of 2025 repeating. Drafters taking him at WR67 in standard are already ahead of the WR76 projection, which is a strange direction to lean for a profile this dependent on conversion luck.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Kayshon Boutte makes only catch in Texans debut — Boutte was acquired from New England late in the preseason to shore up the Texans' wide receiver corps. His big-play potential is known from the last couple of years with the Patriots, but his targets were predictably limited in an offense that is still relatively new to him. Boutte is a wait-and-see bench stash in standard fantasy leagues. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-09-15T15:51:14+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-09-16T09:00:22.262144+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "only catch; wait-and-see bench stash; targets were limited; bench stash; big-play potential",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-16T09:12:54.840774+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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      "draft_adp": {
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
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    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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  "player": {
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    "name": "Kayshon Boutte",
    "team": "HOU",
    "pos": "WR",
    "age": 24,
    "exp": 3,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 3.11,
    "games_left": 9,
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    "ly": {
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      "g": 14,
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      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
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      "targets": 46.0,
      "receptions": 33.0,
      "receiving_yards": 551.0,
      "receiving_tds": 6.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 27.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 11.6,
      "ppg": 7.69,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 12.0,
      "ypr": 16.7,
      "catch_pct": 71.7,
      "total_yd": 551.0,
      "ypg": 39.4,
      "touches": 33.0,
      "first_downs": 27.0,
      "xfp": 77.8,
      "xfp_diff": 29.8,
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    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 67.5,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": 2.44,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 4.88,
      "rec_adot": 17.12,
      "rec_air_share": 17.85,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.32,
      "rec_catch_pct": 71.74,
      "rec_drops": 1.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
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      "rec_drops": 2.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
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    "freshness": {
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      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "unavailable",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Boutte's 2025 charting reads like a contradiction: he ran some of the deepest routes at the position, a 17.25-yard aDOT in the 98th percentile, into the tightest coverage, a fourth-percentile cushion with 14th-percentile separation, and still caught 71.7 percent of his targets, an 87th-percentile rate. Receivers do not normally convert contested deep balls at that clip, and the fantasy math shows how much it paid: 107.6 half-PPR points on 77.8 expected, a 38 percent premium over his usage, fueled by six touchdowns on only 46 targets. Little of it is stable: the catch rate on that route tree should fall, the touchdown-per-target rate should fall, and his negative YAC over expected, a 12th-percentile figure, means he adds nothing after the catch to soften the landing. A 3.3-targets-per-game role leaves no volume cushion either, so the whole 2026 case rests on the least repeatable parts of 2025 repeating. Drafters taking him at WR67 in standard are already ahead of the WR76 projection, which is a strange direction to lean for a profile this dependent on conversion luck.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Kayshon Boutte makes only catch in Texans debut — Boutte was acquired from New England late in the preseason to shore up the Texans' wide receiver corps. His big-play potential is known from the last couple of years with the Patriots, but his targets were predictably limited in an offense that is still relatively new to him. Boutte is a wait-and-see bench stash in standard fantasy leagues. ",
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      "llm_sentiment": -1,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
      "llm_severity": 0,
      "llm_weeks_out": null,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "only catch; wait-and-see bench stash; targets were limited; bench stash; big-play potential",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
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}

Use this source carefully