{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9504","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:16:40.582322+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"9504","name":"Kayshon Boutte","team":"HOU","pos":"WR","age":24,"exp":3,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":3.11,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":3.1069999999999998,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":114,"adp":200.1,"adp_pr":67,"ly":{"pts":107.6,"g":14,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":46.0,"receptions":33.0,"receiving_yards":551.0,"receiving_tds":6.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":27.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":11.6,"ppg":7.69,"ypc":null,"ypt":12.0,"ypr":16.7,"catch_pct":71.7,"total_yd":551.0,"ypg":39.4,"touches":33.0,"first_downs":27.0,"xfp":77.8,"xfp_diff":29.8,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":67.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.44,"rec_avg_cushion":4.88,"rec_adot":17.12,"rec_air_share":17.85,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.32,"rec_catch_pct":71.74,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.2},"ytd":{"pts":26.9,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":23.0,"receptions":15.0,"receiving_yards":194.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":7.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":10.0,"ppg":3.84,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.4,"ypr":12.9,"catch_pct":65.2,"total_yd":194.0,"ypg":27.7,"touches":15.0,"first_downs":7.0,"xfp":32.6,"xfp_diff":-5.7,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":54.3,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":1.96,"rec_avg_cushion":6.85,"rec_adot":12.32,"rec_air_share":12.78,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.88,"rec_catch_pct":65.22,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":8.7}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"9504","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:16:40.604476+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Boutte's 2025 charting reads like a contradiction: he ran some of the deepest routes at the position, a 17.25-yard aDOT in the 98th percentile, into the tightest coverage, a fourth-percentile cushion with 14th-percentile separation, and still caught 71.7 percent of his targets, an 87th-percentile rate. Receivers do not normally convert contested deep balls at that clip, and the fantasy math shows how much it paid: 107.6 half-PPR points on 77.8 expected, a 38 percent premium over his usage, fueled by six touchdowns on only 46 targets. Little of it is stable: the catch rate on that route tree should fall, the touchdown-per-target rate should fall, and his negative YAC over expected, a 12th-percentile figure, means he adds nothing after the catch to soften the landing. A 3.3-targets-per-game role leaves no volume cushion either, so the whole 2026 case rests on the least repeatable parts of 2025 repeating. Drafters taking him at WR67 in standard are already ahead of the WR76 projection, which is a strange direction to lean for a profile this dependent on conversion luck.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Kayshon Boutte makes only catch in Texans debut — Boutte was acquired from New England late in the preseason to shore up the Texans' wide receiver corps. His big-play potential is known from the last couple of years with the Patriots, but his targets were predictably limited in an offense that is still relatively new to him. Boutte is a wait-and-see bench stash in standard fantasy leagues. ","latest_at":"2026-09-15T15:51:14+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-16T09:00:22.262144+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":0,"llm_severity":0,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"only catch; wait-and-see bench stash; targets were limited; bench stash; big-play potential","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-09-16T09:12:54.840774+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}