FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · NE

DeMario Douglas

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:18.267132+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
DeMario Douglas WRNE 7.5975.480

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
66
Draft average position
697

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
53.1
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
34
receptions
23
receiving yards
256
receiving tds
3
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
13
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
16.3
Fantasy points per game
7.59
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
7.5
Yards per reception
11.1
Catch rate (%)
67.6
Total yards
256
Yards per game
36.6
touches
23
first downs
13
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
49.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
5.4
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
80.3
Games played
16
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
7
rushing yards
21
rushing tds
0
targets
46
receptions
31
receiving yards
447
receiving tds
3
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
2
receiving first downs
17
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
9.9
Fantasy points per game
5.02
Yards per carry
3
Yards per target
9.7
Yards per reception
14.4
Catch rate (%)
67.4
Total yards
468
Yards per game
29.2
touches
38
first downs
19
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
71.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
8.5
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
55.3
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
3.86
rec avg cushion
6.46
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
11.26
rec air share
19
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
-0.13
rec catch pct
67.65
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
2.9

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
25.9
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
3.96
rec avg cushion
6.67
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
9.96
rec air share
10.39
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.75
rec catch pct
67.39
rec drops
3
rec broken tackles
2
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
6.5

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Snap count is the entire argument about Douglas. New England played him on 25.9 percent of the offensive snaps in 2025, one of the very lowest rates among qualified receivers, and he still banked 80.3 points across 16 games by squeezing the scraps: 98th percentile separation, 9.7 yards per target in the 86th percentile, a 67 percent catch rate, 76th percentile YAC over expected, and seven carries mixed in, a rushing sprinkle most receivers never get. He beat his expected points by 8.5, a top-fifth conversion, so on a per-snap basis very few players in this ADP range produced more. The counterargument is that the Patriots watched all of it and still list him fourth among their receivers for 2026, and the 50-point consensus projection assumes the cap holds. At pick 357 the bet is that a new season redistributes snaps toward the player who was demonstrably good on his, and against the other fliers at that price, a proven efficiency profile with a usage problem beats profiles that have neither.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "DeMario Douglas catches one pass in loss Sunday — Douglas had a tough time connecting with QB Drake Maye on Sunday, catching just one of his five targets for a 38-yard gain. He will continue to see a solid amount of targets on a week-to-week basis moving forward but carries very little fantasy upside for the foreseeable future.",
  "latest_at": "2026-09-28T16:52:04+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-09-29T19:00:23.129722+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "catches one pass; solid amount of targets; very little fantasy upside; week-to-week basis; tough time connecting",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-29T19:19:56.458229+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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      "receiving_tds": 3.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 2.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 17.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
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      "ppg": 5.02,
      "ypc": 3.0,
      "ypt": 9.7,
      "ypr": 14.4,
      "catch_pct": 67.4,
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      "ypg": 29.2,
      "touches": 38.0,
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      "snap_pct": 25.9,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
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      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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      "rec_catch_pct": 67.39,
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      "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0,
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Use this source carefully