FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · PHI

Tank Bigsby

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:26.132368+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Tank Bigsby RBPHI 3.943.030

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper projections plus model fallback
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
8

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
81
Draft average position
161.2

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
15.6
Games played
4
Observed through week
4
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
28
rushing yards
91
rushing tds
1
targets
4
receptions
3
receiving yards
10
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
5
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
3.8
Fantasy points per game
3.9
Yards per carry
3.2
Yards per target
2.5
Yards per reception
3.3
Catch rate (%)
75
Total yards
101
Yards per game
25.2
touches
31
first downs
5
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
22.1
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-4.5
Opportunity observed through week
4
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
52.3
Games played
15
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
63
rushing yards
356
rushing tds
2
targets
4
receptions
3
receiving yards
32
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
19
receiving first downs
1
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
0.9
Fantasy points per game
3.49
Yards per carry
5.7
Yards per target
8
Yards per reception
10.7
Catch rate (%)
75
Total yards
388
Yards per game
25.9
touches
66
first downs
20
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
52.9
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-0.6
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
24.2
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
12.6
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
3
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
2.6
rush broken tackles
10
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Per carry, Bigsby was outstanding in 2025: 5.7 yards a pop, with 3.0 before contact and 2.6 after it, both around the 90th percentile or better, the after-contact figure third-best among qualified backs. The rest of the ledger is the problem: Philadelphia played him on 12.6 percent of snaps, threw him four targets all season, and his weekly median was 1.2 points with over half the season total packed into two games. A back with a 0.9 percent target share has no floor in reception formats, which is why his PPR price sags to RB62 while standard drafters take him at RB58. The projection, 65.9 points at RB61, sits right on top of the market, so nothing here is mispriced so much as thinly held, and standard formats fit him best given the empty receiving profile. Round 15 buys a lottery ticket on a genuinely efficient runner in an offense Vegas puts 14th by implied totals, one injury away from the kind of workload his per-touch numbers suggest he could do real damage with.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Tank Bigsby (core) lands on IR  — Bigsby will miss at least the next four games for the Eagles. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-07T00:06:19+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-07T19:00:23.532123+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
  "llm_severity": 2,
  "llm_weeks_out": 4.0,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "lands on ir; miss at least; next four games",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-07T19:15:32.994744+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "ir",
  "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
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    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "9225",
    "name": "Tank Bigsby",
    "team": "PHI",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 24,
    "exp": 3,
    "injury": "IR",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 3.03,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "ros_ppg": 3.02823714336175,
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      "passing_tds": 0.0,
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      "carries": 63.0,
      "rushing_yards": 356.0,
      "rushing_tds": 2.0,
      "targets": 4.0,
      "receptions": 3.0,
      "receiving_yards": 32.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 19.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 1.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 0.9,
      "ppg": 3.49,
      "ypc": 5.7,
      "ypt": 8.0,
      "ypr": 10.7,
      "catch_pct": 75.0,
      "total_yd": 388.0,
      "ypg": 25.9,
      "touches": 66.0,
      "first_downs": 20.0,
      "xfp": 52.9,
      "xfp_diff": -0.6,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
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    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 12.6,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 0.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 3.0,
      "rush_yac_att": 2.6,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 10.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 0.0
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      "receptions": 3.0,
      "receiving_yards": 10.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
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      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
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      "ppg": 3.9,
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    "writeup": "Per carry, Bigsby was outstanding in 2025: 5.7 yards a pop, with 3.0 before contact and 2.6 after it, both around the 90th percentile or better, the after-contact figure third-best among qualified backs. The rest of the ledger is the problem: Philadelphia played him on 12.6 percent of snaps, threw him four targets all season, and his weekly median was 1.2 points with over half the season total packed into two games. A back with a 0.9 percent target share has no floor in reception formats, which is why his PPR price sags to RB62 while standard drafters take him at RB58. The projection, 65.9 points at RB61, sits right on top of the market, so nothing here is mispriced so much as thinly held, and standard formats fit him best given the empty receiving profile. Round 15 buys a lottery ticket on a genuinely efficient runner in an offense Vegas puts 14th by implied totals, one injury away from the kind of workload his per-touch numbers suggest he could do real damage with.",
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}

Use this source carefully