{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/9225","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:28:30.406137+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"9225","name":"Tank Bigsby","team":"PHI","pos":"RB","age":24,"exp":3,"injury":"IR","rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":3.03,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":3.02823714336175,"source":"sleeper_future+fallback","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[8],"remaining_games":9},"proj":81,"adp":161.2,"adp_pr":52,"ly":{"pts":52.3,"g":15,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":63.0,"rushing_yards":356.0,"rushing_tds":2.0,"targets":4.0,"receptions":3.0,"receiving_yards":32.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":19.0,"receiving_first_downs":1.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":0.9,"ppg":3.49,"ypc":5.7,"ypt":8.0,"ypr":10.7,"catch_pct":75.0,"total_yd":388.0,"ypg":25.9,"touches":66.0,"first_downs":20.0,"xfp":52.9,"xfp_diff":-0.6,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":12.6,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":3.0,"rush_yac_att":2.6,"rush_broken_tackles":10.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0},"ytd":{"pts":15.6,"g":4,"through_week":4,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":28.0,"rushing_yards":91.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":4.0,"receptions":3.0,"receiving_yards":10.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":5.0,"receiving_first_downs":0.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":3.8,"ppg":3.9,"ypc":3.2,"ypt":2.5,"ypr":3.3,"catch_pct":75.0,"total_yd":101.0,"ypg":25.2,"touches":31.0,"first_downs":5.0,"xfp":22.1,"xfp_diff":-4.5,"xfp_through_week":4,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":24.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"9225","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:28:30.409048+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Per carry, Bigsby was outstanding in 2025: 5.7 yards a pop, with 3.0 before contact and 2.6 after it, both around the 90th percentile or better, the after-contact figure third-best among qualified backs. The rest of the ledger is the problem: Philadelphia played him on 12.6 percent of snaps, threw him four targets all season, and his weekly median was 1.2 points with over half the season total packed into two games. A back with a 0.9 percent target share has no floor in reception formats, which is why his PPR price sags to RB62 while standard drafters take him at RB58. The projection, 65.9 points at RB61, sits right on top of the market, so nothing here is mispriced so much as thinly held, and standard formats fit him best given the empty receiving profile. Round 15 buys a lottery ticket on a genuinely efficient runner in an offense Vegas puts 14th by implied totals, one injury away from the kind of workload his per-touch numbers suggest he could do real damage with.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Tank Bigsby (core) lands on IR  — Bigsby will miss at least the next four games for the Eagles. ","latest_at":"2026-10-07T00:06:19+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-07T19:00:23.532123+00:00","llm_sentiment":-1,"llm_injury_trajectory":-1,"llm_severity":2,"llm_weeks_out":4.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"lands on ir; miss at least; next four games","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":-1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-07T19:15:32.994744+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"},"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"ir","exp_miss_next6":4.060832407848115,"as_of":"2026-10-31","source":"curves-v1"}}}