FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · NYJ

Breece Hall

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:45.505240+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Breece Hall RBNYJ 12.5311.4345.9

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
222
Draft average position
31.5

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
37.5
Games played
3
Observed through week
3
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
51
rushing yards
163
rushing tds
1
targets
10
receptions
10
receiving yards
102
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
13
receiving first downs
3
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
10.5
Fantasy points per game
12.5
Yards per carry
3.2
Yards per target
10.2
Yards per reception
10.2
Catch rate (%)
100
Total yards
265
Yards per game
88.3
touches
61
first downs
16
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
42.4
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-4.9
Opportunity observed through week
3
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
189.7
Games played
16
Observed through week
17
passing yards
4
passing tds
1
interceptions
0
carries
243
rushing yards
1,065
rushing tds
4
targets
48
receptions
36
receiving yards
350
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
1
rushing first downs
57
receiving first downs
13
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
10.7
Fantasy points per game
11.86
Yards per carry
4.4
Yards per target
7.3
Yards per reception
9.7
Catch rate (%)
75
Total yards
1,419
Yards per game
88.7
touches
279
first downs
70
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
192
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-2.5
Opportunity observed through week
17
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
57
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
29.41
rush time to los
2.9
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
-0.15
rush efficiency
5.43
rush pct over expected
0.33
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
1.84
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.35
rush broken tackles
5
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
64.4
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
26.86
rush time to los
2.8
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.56
rush efficiency
3.89
rush pct over expected
0.42
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.54
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.84
rush broken tackles
12
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
4.2

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

The Jets project as one of the worst offensive environments in football, with an average implied team total of 18.9 that ranks 30th in the early Vegas lines, and that context hangs over everything else in Hall's profile. His 2025 usage was genuinely strong: 243 carries, a 10.2 percent target share that ranked 11th among backs, and an 87th-percentile snap share. When he caught the ball he did damage, averaging 9.7 yards per reception, second best among qualified running backs, the mark of real routes rather than checkdowns, which also explains the modest 75 percent catch rate. The ground game was more ordinary, 4.4 yards per carry with before-contact and after-contact numbers both sitting near the middle of the position. His 189.7 points landed almost exactly on his expected total from opportunity alone, so there is no hidden efficiency rebound to bank on. At a half-PPR ADP of 33 against a 230-point projection that ranks him RB13, the market is actually charging a little less than the projection would justify, a sensible arrangement for a volume-secure back whose ceiling requires New York to outscore what Vegas currently believes.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Breece Hall (quad) will not play in Week 5 — This was an expected development with Hall, but now it is official. Braelon Allen, who saw a whopping 94% of the snaps in Week 4, will step into a workhorse role once again. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-09T14:50:30+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-09T19:00:23.252053+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": null,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": null,
  "llm_severity": null,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": null,
  "llm_key_phrases": null,
  "llm_role_change": null,
  "llm_usage_outlook": null,
  "llm_team_context": null,
  "llm_relevance": null,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-08T19:01:59.439738+00:00",
  "llm_model": null,
  "inference_status": "stale"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "stale", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "questionable",
  "exp_miss_next6": 2.9285267700496256,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
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    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
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    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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    "team": "NYJ",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 25,
    "exp": 4,
    "injury": "Questionable",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 45.9,
    "ros_ppg": 11.43,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "ros_ppg": 11.428666666666667,
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      "g": 16,
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      "carries": 243.0,
      "rushing_yards": 1065.0,
      "rushing_tds": 4.0,
      "targets": 48.0,
      "receptions": 36.0,
      "receiving_yards": 350.0,
      "receiving_tds": 1.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 1.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 57.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 13.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 2.0,
      "tgt_share": 10.7,
      "ppg": 11.86,
      "ypc": 4.4,
      "ypt": 7.3,
      "ypr": 9.7,
      "catch_pct": 75.0,
      "total_yd": 1419.0,
      "ypg": 88.7,
      "touches": 279.0,
      "first_downs": 70.0,
      "xfp": 192.0,
      "xfp_diff": -2.5,
      "xfp_through_week": 17,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
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    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 64.4,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 26.86,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.8,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.56,
      "rush_efficiency": 3.89,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.42,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 2.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 2.54,
      "rush_yac_att": 1.84,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 12.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 4.2
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      "rushing_yards": 163.0,
      "rushing_tds": 1.0,
      "targets": 10.0,
      "receptions": 10.0,
      "receiving_yards": 102.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 13.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 3.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
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      "ppg": 12.5,
      "ypc": 3.2,
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      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 29.41,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.9,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.15,
      "rush_efficiency": 5.43,
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      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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    "writeup": "The Jets project as one of the worst offensive environments in football, with an average implied team total of 18.9 that ranks 30th in the early Vegas lines, and that context hangs over everything else in Hall's profile. His 2025 usage was genuinely strong: 243 carries, a 10.2 percent target share that ranked 11th among backs, and an 87th-percentile snap share. When he caught the ball he did damage, averaging 9.7 yards per reception, second best among qualified running backs, the mark of real routes rather than checkdowns, which also explains the modest 75 percent catch rate. The ground game was more ordinary, 4.4 yards per carry with before-contact and after-contact numbers both sitting near the middle of the position. His 189.7 points landed almost exactly on his expected total from opportunity alone, so there is no hidden efficiency rebound to bank on. At a half-PPR ADP of 33 against a 230-point projection that ranks him RB13, the market is actually charging a little less than the projection would justify, a sensible arrangement for a volume-secure back whose ceiling requires New York to outscore what Vegas currently believes.",
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Use this source carefully