{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8155","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:38.083064+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"8155","name":"Breece Hall","team":"NYJ","pos":"RB","age":25,"exp":4,"injury":"Questionable","rookie":false,"value":45.9,"ros_ppg":11.43,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":11.428666666666667,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":222,"adp":31.5,"adp_pr":15,"ly":{"pts":189.7,"g":16,"through_week":17,"passing_yards":4.0,"passing_tds":1.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":243.0,"rushing_yards":1065.0,"rushing_tds":4.0,"targets":48.0,"receptions":36.0,"receiving_yards":350.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":1.0,"rushing_first_downs":57.0,"receiving_first_downs":13.0,"fumbles_lost":2.0,"tgt_share":10.7,"ppg":11.86,"ypc":4.4,"ypt":7.3,"ypr":9.7,"catch_pct":75.0,"total_yd":1419.0,"ypg":88.7,"touches":279.0,"first_downs":70.0,"xfp":192.0,"xfp_diff":-2.5,"xfp_through_week":17,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":64.4,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":26.86,"rush_time_to_los":2.8,"rush_ryoe_per_att":0.56,"rush_efficiency":3.89,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.42,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":2.54,"rush_yac_att":1.84,"rush_broken_tackles":12.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":4.2},"ytd":{"pts":37.5,"g":3,"through_week":3,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":51.0,"rushing_yards":163.0,"rushing_tds":1.0,"targets":10.0,"receptions":10.0,"receiving_yards":102.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":13.0,"receiving_first_downs":3.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":10.5,"ppg":12.5,"ypc":3.2,"ypt":10.2,"ypr":10.2,"catch_pct":100.0,"total_yd":265.0,"ypg":88.3,"touches":61.0,"first_downs":16.0,"xfp":42.4,"xfp_diff":-4.9,"xfp_through_week":3,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":57.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":29.41,"rush_time_to_los":2.9,"rush_ryoe_per_att":-0.15,"rush_efficiency":5.43,"rush_pct_over_expected":0.33,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":0.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":1.84,"rush_yac_att":1.35,"rush_broken_tackles":5.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":0.0}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"8155","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:38.089022+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"stale","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"The Jets project as one of the worst offensive environments in football, with an average implied team total of 18.9 that ranks 30th in the early Vegas lines, and that context hangs over everything else in Hall's profile. His 2025 usage was genuinely strong: 243 carries, a 10.2 percent target share that ranked 11th among backs, and an 87th-percentile snap share. When he caught the ball he did damage, averaging 9.7 yards per reception, second best among qualified running backs, the mark of real routes rather than checkdowns, which also explains the modest 75 percent catch rate. The ground game was more ordinary, 4.4 yards per carry with before-contact and after-contact numbers both sitting near the middle of the position. His 189.7 points landed almost exactly on his expected total from opportunity alone, so there is no hidden efficiency rebound to bank on. At a half-PPR ADP of 33 against a 230-point projection that ranks him RB13, the market is actually charging a little less than the projection would justify, a sensible arrangement for a volume-secure back whose ceiling requires New York to outscore what Vegas currently believes.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Breece Hall (quad) will not play in Week 5 — This was an expected development with Hall, but now it is official. Braelon Allen, who saw a whopping 94% of the snaps in Week 4, will step into a workhorse role once again. 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