FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · LAR

Kyren Williams

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:13.890974+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Kyren Williams RBLAR 17.3717.0596.4

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
218
Draft average position
25.2

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
121.1
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
96
rushing yards
492
rushing tds
5
targets
41
receptions
32
receiving yards
239
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
30
receiving first downs
11
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
15.1
Fantasy points per game
17.3
Yards per carry
5.1
Yards per target
5.8
Yards per reception
7.5
Catch rate (%)
78
Total yards
731
Yards per game
104.4
touches
128
first downs
41
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
114.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
10.4
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
245.3
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
259
rushing yards
1,252
rushing tds
10
targets
50
receptions
36
receiving yards
281
receiving tds
3
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
76
receiving first downs
12
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
8.6
Fantasy points per game
14.43
Yards per carry
4.8
Yards per target
5.6
Yards per reception
7.8
Catch rate (%)
72
Total yards
1,533
Yards per game
90.2
touches
295
first downs
88
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
238.5
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
10.8
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
67
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
31.25
rush time to los
2.91
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.68
rush efficiency
3.3
rush pct over expected
0.45
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
3
rec broken tackles
2
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.9
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
2.23
rush broken tackles
7
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
7.3

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
68.3
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
22.78
rush time to los
2.63
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.55
rush efficiency
3.33
rush pct over expected
0.44
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
3
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.78
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.95
rush broken tackles
23
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
4

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Kyren Williams finished ninth among backs in scoring last year and goes off half-PPR boards at 32.7, fifteenth at the position. The season was as honest as they come, 245 points on 239 expected, no efficiency bonus waiting to be given back, built from a 91st-percentile snap share, 259 carries, and a position-third 76 rushing first downs inside an offense whose early implied totals rank third in the league. The advanced numbers sketch a specific kind of back: bottom-decile rush-path efficiency, meaning he gets downhill immediately, one of the fastest times to the line of scrimmage, and middling yards over expected, a system runner who takes exactly what the Rams' designs give him. Two lost fumbles and a 72 percent catch rate near the bottom of qualified backs are the blemishes. The projection trims him to 223 and RB16, mostly touchdown slippage from last year's 13 total, so the third-round price tracks the forecast rather than the finish. Whether he holds the role is the one thing the data can't answer, because his per-touch numbers describe a back who needs the full workload to matter.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Kyren Williams finds the end zone in Week 5 — Williams was mostly bottled up on the ground by the Buffalo defense on Monday night, but he still managed to punch in a one-yard TD run in the fourth quarter. The Rams' newfound willingness to use Williams in the passing attack this year has been an added bonus as he already has 27 catches through five games, putting him just nine grabs shy of setting a new career-high. Williams will be a locked-in RB1 in fantasy in Week 6 vs. the Cardinals.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-13T09:53:53+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "one-yard td run; newfound willingness; locked-in rb1; 27 catches; punch in",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-14T09:14:59.714953+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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    "exp": 4,
    "injury": null,
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    "value": 96.4,
    "ros_ppg": 17.05,
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      "targets": 50.0,
      "receptions": 36.0,
      "receiving_yards": 281.0,
      "receiving_tds": 3.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 76.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 12.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 2.0,
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      "ppg": 14.43,
      "ypc": 4.8,
      "ypt": 5.6,
      "ypr": 7.8,
      "catch_pct": 72.0,
      "total_yd": 1533.0,
      "ypg": 90.2,
      "touches": 295.0,
      "first_downs": 88.0,
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      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 22.78,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.63,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.55,
      "rush_efficiency": 3.33,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.44,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 2.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 2.78,
      "rush_yac_att": 1.95,
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    "writeup": "Kyren Williams finished ninth among backs in scoring last year and goes off half-PPR boards at 32.7, fifteenth at the position. The season was as honest as they come, 245 points on 239 expected, no efficiency bonus waiting to be given back, built from a 91st-percentile snap share, 259 carries, and a position-third 76 rushing first downs inside an offense whose early implied totals rank third in the league. The advanced numbers sketch a specific kind of back: bottom-decile rush-path efficiency, meaning he gets downhill immediately, one of the fastest times to the line of scrimmage, and middling yards over expected, a system runner who takes exactly what the Rams' designs give him. Two lost fumbles and a 72 percent catch rate near the bottom of qualified backs are the blemishes. The projection trims him to 223 and RB16, mostly touchdown slippage from last year's 13 total, so the third-round price tracks the forecast rather than the finish. Whether he holds the role is the one thing the data can't answer, because his per-touch numbers describe a back who needs the full workload to matter.",
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Use this source carefully