FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · NO

Chris Olave

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:56.813681+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Chris Olave WRNO 14.3714.2760.7

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
216
Draft average position
30.8

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
100.1
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
71
receptions
49
receiving yards
636
receiving tds
2
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
36
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
27
Fantasy points per game
14.3
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
9
Yards per reception
13
Catch rate (%)
69
Total yards
636
Yards per game
90.9
touches
49
first downs
36
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
102.4
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-2.3
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
218
Games played
16
Observed through week
17
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
1
carries
1
rushing yards
-3
rushing tds
0
targets
156
receptions
100
receiving yards
1,163
receiving tds
9
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
53
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
29.4
Fantasy points per game
13.62
Yards per carry
-3
Yards per target
7.5
Yards per reception
11.6
Catch rate (%)
64.1
Total yards
1,160
Yards per game
72.5
touches
101
first downs
53
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
227.1
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-7.1
Opportunity observed through week
17
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
80.9
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.78
rec avg cushion
5.9
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
11.95
rec air share
44.41
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
-0.35
rec catch pct
69.01
rec drops
3
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
4.2

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
84.3
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.93
rec avg cushion
6.76
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
11.68
rec air share
39.32
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
-0.66
rec catch pct
64.1
rec drops
5
rec broken tackles
2
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
3.2

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Volume has never been Olave's problem, given that he caught 100 balls on 156 targets last season, both fifth-most at the position, with a 27.6 percent target share and a 39.3 percent air-yards share that ranked third among qualifiers, and his 227 expected points from usage were also fifth-best. The gap between that and stardom is what happens after the catch: minus 0.52 yards of YAC over expected, bottom tenth, and just 11.6 yards per reception despite the downfield target mix. Defenses gave him some of the softest cushions in the league (91st percentile) and he still finished eight points under what usage predicted, which implicates the offense at least as much as the receiver. The early Vegas numbers rank New Orleans 23rd by implied totals, so the constraint is not going anywhere. All of that lands him in a strange spot on draft boards, a 31.8 ADP at WR12 with the projection one slot ahead at 210 points. You are buying one of the five best usage profiles in football attached to one of its ten worst offenses, and the resolution of that tension is basically the whole bet. In full-point formats the hundred-catch pace does more of the work, and his PPR ADP of 26.4 reflects that.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Chris Olave (foot) off injury report Sunday  — Olave was able to practice on both Thursday and Friday. He will remain a WR1 play for fantasy managers. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-09T18:16:29+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-10T19:00:24.170294+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "off injury report; practice on both; remain a wr1; foot injury",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-11T09:20:59.685951+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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    "exp": 4,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 60.7,
    "ros_ppg": 14.27,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "carries": 1.0,
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      "receptions": 100.0,
      "receiving_yards": 1163.0,
      "receiving_tds": 9.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 53.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
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      "ppg": 13.62,
      "ypc": -3.0,
      "ypt": 7.5,
      "ypr": 11.6,
      "catch_pct": 64.1,
      "total_yd": 1160.0,
      "ypg": 72.5,
      "touches": 101.0,
      "first_downs": 53.0,
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      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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      "rec_catch_pct": 64.1,
      "rec_drops": 5.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
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Use this source carefully