FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · DAL

George Pickens

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:40.689351+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
George Pickens WRDAL 11.29710.425.9

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
211
Draft average position
24.1

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
79
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
58
receptions
37
receiving yards
485
receiving tds
2
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
26
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
21.8
Fantasy points per game
11.29
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
8.4
Yards per reception
13.1
Catch rate (%)
63.8
Total yards
485
Yards per game
69.3
touches
37
first downs
26
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
86.6
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-7.6
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
243.4
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
137
receptions
93
receiving yards
1,429
receiving tds
9
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
73
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
22.6
Fantasy points per game
14.32
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
10.4
Yards per reception
15.4
Catch rate (%)
67.9
Total yards
1,429
Yards per game
84.1
touches
93
first downs
73
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
207.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
35.6
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
81
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.39
rec avg cushion
5.63
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
11.27
rec air share
29.86
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
-0.2
rec catch pct
63.79
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
3.4

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
81.1
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.24
rec avg cushion
5.18
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
11.81
rec air share
31.73
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
2.15
rec catch pct
67.88
rec drops
3
rec broken tackles
6
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
2.2

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Franchise-tagged this summer after extension talks with Dallas stalled, Pickens runs it back in the offense where he just went 93-1,429-9, the third-most receiving yards at the position. The charting says he did it the hard way: corners gave him the sixth-tightest average cushion among qualifiers and he separated in the bottom sixth, yet his 2.16 yards of YAC over expected ranked third of 79 receivers, and both his 10.4 yards per target and 15.4 per reception landed in the 92nd percentile. All that efficiency carried him 36 points past what his usage predicted, the fourth-biggest overshoot in the sample, and that is the number a buyer has to sit with, because target share tends to carry over from season to season far more reliably than a plus-36 efficiency spike, and his sat at 22.6 percent. The consensus trims him accordingly to 211 points and WR10, one slot ahead of his WR11 market price at a 27.1 ADP, while Dallas brings a top-five implied team total that keeps the touchdown environment rich. I'd call the third-round cost sensible for the role and treat any repeat of last year's 1.17 efficiency ratio as profit you never paid for. The contract-year angle, for what it's worth, cuts whichever way you want it to.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "George Pickens (shoulder/hamstring) listed questionable Sunday  — Pickens was limited in practice throughout the week. He should be on the favorable side of questionable heading into Sunday. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-30T21:49:07+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": 0.5,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "questionable sunday; limited in practice; shoulder hamstring; favorable side of questionable",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:18:09.492848+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "questionable",
  "exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
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  "outcome_readiness": {
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  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
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    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
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    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "8137",
    "name": "George Pickens",
    "team": "DAL",
    "pos": "WR",
    "age": 25,
    "exp": 4,
    "injury": "Questionable",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 25.9,
    "ros_ppg": 10.4,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 10.40288888888889,
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        17
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    },
    "proj": 211,
    "adp": 24.1,
    "adp_pr": 10,
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      "g": 17,
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      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 137.0,
      "receptions": 93.0,
      "receiving_yards": 1429.0,
      "receiving_tds": 9.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 73.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 22.6,
      "ppg": 14.32,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 10.4,
      "ypr": 15.4,
      "catch_pct": 67.9,
      "total_yd": 1429.0,
      "ypg": 84.1,
      "touches": 93.0,
      "first_downs": 73.0,
      "xfp": 207.8,
      "xfp_diff": 35.6,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 81.1,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": 2.24,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 5.18,
      "rec_adot": 11.81,
      "rec_air_share": 31.73,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": 2.15,
      "rec_catch_pct": 67.88,
      "rec_drops": 3.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 6.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 2.2
    },
    "ytd": {
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      "g": 7,
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      "carries": 0.0,
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      "targets": 58.0,
      "receptions": 37.0,
      "receiving_yards": 485.0,
      "receiving_tds": 2.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 26.0,
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      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
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      "rec_avg_separation": 2.39,
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      "rec_adot": 11.27,
      "rec_air_share": 29.86,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.2,
      "rec_catch_pct": 63.79,
      "rec_drops": 2.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
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  "profile": {
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      "writeup": "preseason_context",
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      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "current",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Franchise-tagged this summer after extension talks with Dallas stalled, Pickens runs it back in the offense where he just went 93-1,429-9, the third-most receiving yards at the position. The charting says he did it the hard way: corners gave him the sixth-tightest average cushion among qualifiers and he separated in the bottom sixth, yet his 2.16 yards of YAC over expected ranked third of 79 receivers, and both his 10.4 yards per target and 15.4 per reception landed in the 92nd percentile. All that efficiency carried him 36 points past what his usage predicted, the fourth-biggest overshoot in the sample, and that is the number a buyer has to sit with, because target share tends to carry over from season to season far more reliably than a plus-36 efficiency spike, and his sat at 22.6 percent. The consensus trims him accordingly to 211 points and WR10, one slot ahead of his WR11 market price at a 27.1 ADP, while Dallas brings a top-five implied team total that keeps the touchdown environment rich. I'd call the third-round cost sensible for the role and treat any repeat of last year's 1.17 efficiency ratio as profit you never paid for. The contract-year angle, for what it's worth, cuts whichever way you want it to.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "George Pickens (shoulder/hamstring) listed questionable Sunday  — Pickens was limited in practice throughout the week. He should be on the favorable side of questionable heading into Sunday. ",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-30T21:49:07+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
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      "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
      "llm_severity": 1,
      "llm_weeks_out": 0.5,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
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      "llm_role_change": 0,
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    }
  }
}

Use this source carefully