{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/8137","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:16.747437+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"8137","name":"George Pickens","team":"DAL","pos":"WR","age":25,"exp":4,"injury":"Questionable","rookie":false,"value":25.9,"ros_ppg":10.4,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":10.40288888888889,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":211,"adp":24.1,"adp_pr":10,"ly":{"pts":243.4,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":137.0,"receptions":93.0,"receiving_yards":1429.0,"receiving_tds":9.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":73.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":22.6,"ppg":14.32,"ypc":null,"ypt":10.4,"ypr":15.4,"catch_pct":67.9,"total_yd":1429.0,"ypg":84.1,"touches":93.0,"first_downs":73.0,"xfp":207.8,"xfp_diff":35.6,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":81.1,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.24,"rec_avg_cushion":5.18,"rec_adot":11.81,"rec_air_share":31.73,"rec_yac_above_exp":2.15,"rec_catch_pct":67.88,"rec_drops":3.0,"rec_broken_tackles":6.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.2},"ytd":{"pts":79.0,"g":7,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":58.0,"receptions":37.0,"receiving_yards":485.0,"receiving_tds":2.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":26.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":21.8,"ppg":11.29,"ypc":null,"ypt":8.4,"ypr":13.1,"catch_pct":63.8,"total_yd":485.0,"ypg":69.3,"touches":37.0,"first_downs":26.0,"xfp":86.6,"xfp_diff":-7.6,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":81.0,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.39,"rec_avg_cushion":5.63,"rec_adot":11.27,"rec_air_share":29.86,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.2,"rec_catch_pct":63.79,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":3.4}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"8137","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:16.765701+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"current","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Franchise-tagged this summer after extension talks with Dallas stalled, Pickens runs it back in the offense where he just went 93-1,429-9, the third-most receiving yards at the position. The charting says he did it the hard way: corners gave him the sixth-tightest average cushion among qualifiers and he separated in the bottom sixth, yet his 2.16 yards of YAC over expected ranked third of 79 receivers, and both his 10.4 yards per target and 15.4 per reception landed in the 92nd percentile. All that efficiency carried him 36 points past what his usage predicted, the fourth-biggest overshoot in the sample, and that is the number a buyer has to sit with, because target share tends to carry over from season to season far more reliably than a plus-36 efficiency spike, and his sat at 22.6 percent. The consensus trims him accordingly to 211 points and WR10, one slot ahead of his WR11 market price at a 27.1 ADP, while Dallas brings a top-five implied team total that keeps the touchdown environment rich. I'd call the third-round cost sensible for the role and treat any repeat of last year's 1.17 efficiency ratio as profit you never paid for. The contract-year angle, for what it's worth, cuts whichever way you want it to.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"George Pickens (shoulder/hamstring) listed questionable Sunday  — Pickens was limited in practice throughout the week. He should be on the favorable side of questionable heading into Sunday. 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