FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · BUF

Joshua Palmer

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:40.962078+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Joshua Palmer WRBUF 6.4242.420

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
10
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
59
Draft average position
624

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
25.7
Games played
4
Observed through week
6
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
11
receptions
4
receiving yards
117
receiving tds
2
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
3
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
9.5
Fantasy points per game
6.42
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
10.6
Yards per reception
29.2
Catch rate (%)
36.4
Total yards
117
Yards per game
29.2
touches
4
first downs
3
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
19.3
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
6.4
Opportunity observed through week
6
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
41.3
Games played
12
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
37
receptions
22
receiving yards
303
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
14
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
10.8
Fantasy points per game
3.44
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
8.2
Yards per reception
13.8
Catch rate (%)
59.5
Total yards
303
Yards per game
25.2
touches
22
first downs
14
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
54.4
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-13.1
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
37
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
3
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
27.3

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
48.3
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Palmer went twelve games without a touchdown in his first Buffalo season, and the missing scores are also the most fixable thing about him. His 37 targets produced 303 yards, and the 13-point gap between his output and his 54.4 expected points is mostly that absent touchdown or two. Everything else reads quiet: a 7.8 percent target share, under half the snaps, zero drops, a fifth spot on the depth chart. What keeps him on watchlists is the offense, since Buffalo's average implied total ranks fifth on the early 2026 lines, and environments that rich tend to spread scores around eventually. Consensus sees 26 catches and 56 points at WR110, the 343 ADP prices him as WR122, and at this depth of the draft the difference between those two numbers is noise. If an injury opens snaps in a top-five scoring environment he becomes interesting fast, and that possibility, not anything he did in 2025, is what a September watchlist spot is for.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Joshua Palmer (shoulder) ruled out Monday  — Palmer missed practice again on Saturday. His absence should not impact the Bills offense for fantasy managers. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-11T01:17:48+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-11T19:00:23.388436+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": 1.0,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "ruled out monday; shoulder injury; missed practice; should not impact; bills offense",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-13T09:25:48.377846+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
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    "exp": 5,
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    "ros_ppg": 2.42,
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      "receiving_first_downs": 14.0,
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      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
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Use this source carefully