FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · CAR

Chuba Hubbard

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:26.079474+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Chuba Hubbard RBCAR 17.43715.7584.7

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
158
Draft average position
79.7

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
122
Games played
7
Observed through week
8
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
118
rushing yards
540
rushing tds
5
targets
26
receptions
22
receiving yards
150
receiving tds
2
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
32
receiving first downs
8
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
10.6
Fantasy points per game
17.43
Yards per carry
4.6
Yards per target
5.8
Yards per reception
6.8
Catch rate (%)
84.6
Total yards
690
Yards per game
98.6
touches
140
first downs
40
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
110.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
11.3
Opportunity observed through week
8
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
110.4
Games played
15
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
134
rushing yards
511
rushing tds
1
targets
39
receptions
30
receiving yards
223
receiving tds
3
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
33
receiving first downs
12
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
9
Fantasy points per game
7.36
Yards per carry
3.8
Yards per target
5.7
Yards per reception
7.4
Catch rate (%)
76.9
Total yards
734
Yards per game
48.9
touches
164
first downs
45
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
124.6
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-12.2
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
78.7
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
23.73
rush time to los
2.7
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.76
rush efficiency
3.67
rush pct over expected
0.44
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
2
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.6
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
2.18
rush broken tackles
10
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
45.8
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
20.9
rush time to los
2.56
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
-0.22
rush efficiency
3.75
rush pct over expected
0.39
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
5
rec broken tackles
3
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.79
rush broken tackles
1
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
12.8

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

On 134 carries last season, Hubbard broke a single tackle, a 17th-percentile figure that was no outlier in the profile: minus 0.3 rush yards over expected per attempt in the 12th percentile, 3.8 yards per carry, a 14-point shortfall against his expected scoring, and five drops that ranked among the most at the position. He reached the line of scrimmage faster than nearly anyone, which alongside the rest of the numbers reads as hitting the hole quickly without the tools to finish the run. The counterweights are real enough to keep him rosterable. He is 27, still listed first on Carolina's depth chart, and his receiving role stayed useful with a 69th-percentile target share and three scores through the air. Half-PPR rooms price all of it at pick 73, RB29, dead even with his RB30 projection of 168 points. Even pricing only helps if the projection is reachable, and a runner who just underperformed modest usage by double digits, returning to the same situation, needs 2025 to have been the aberration and not the beginning of decline.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Chuba Hubbard (rest) returns to practice Thursday  — Hubbard got a rest day from practice to open the week on Wednesday. He remains a strong RB2 for fantasy managers. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-01T18:09:07+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-01T19:00:23.298938+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "rest day; returns to practice; strong rb2; opens the week",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-01T19:10:28.682415+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
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    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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    "name": "Chuba Hubbard",
    "team": "CAR",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 27,
    "exp": 5,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 84.7,
    "ros_ppg": 15.75,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "rushing_yards": 511.0,
      "rushing_tds": 1.0,
      "targets": 39.0,
      "receptions": 30.0,
      "receiving_yards": 223.0,
      "receiving_tds": 3.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 33.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 12.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
      "tgt_share": 9.0,
      "ppg": 7.36,
      "ypc": 3.8,
      "ypt": 5.7,
      "ypr": 7.4,
      "catch_pct": 76.9,
      "total_yd": 734.0,
      "ypg": 48.9,
      "touches": 164.0,
      "first_downs": 45.0,
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      "snap_pct": 45.8,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 20.9,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.56,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.22,
      "rush_efficiency": 3.75,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.39,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
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      "rec_drops": 5.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 2.0,
      "rush_yac_att": 1.79,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
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      "receiving_yards": 150.0,
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    "writeup": "On 134 carries last season, Hubbard broke a single tackle, a 17th-percentile figure that was no outlier in the profile: minus 0.3 rush yards over expected per attempt in the 12th percentile, 3.8 yards per carry, a 14-point shortfall against his expected scoring, and five drops that ranked among the most at the position. He reached the line of scrimmage faster than nearly anyone, which alongside the rest of the numbers reads as hitting the hole quickly without the tools to finish the run. The counterweights are real enough to keep him rosterable. He is 27, still listed first on Carolina's depth chart, and his receiving role stayed useful with a 69th-percentile target share and three scores through the air. Half-PPR rooms price all of it at pick 73, RB29, dead even with his RB30 projection of 168 points. Even pricing only helps if the projection is reachable, and a runner who just underperformed modest usage by double digits, returning to the same situation, needs 2025 to have been the aberration and not the beginning of decline.",
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Use this source carefully