# Chuba Hubbard — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7594 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7594", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:30:17.088565+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "7594", "name": "Chuba Hubbard", "team": "CAR", "pos": "RB", "age": 27, "exp": 5, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 84.7, "ros_ppg": 15.75, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 15.745555555555557, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 158, "adp": 79.7, "adp_pr": 30, "ly": { "pts": 110.4, "g": 15, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 134.0, "rushing_yards": 511.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 39.0, "receptions": 30.0, "receiving_yards": 223.0, "receiving_tds": 3.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 33.0, "receiving_first_downs": 12.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 9.0, "ppg": 7.36, "ypc": 3.8, "ypt": 5.7, "ypr": 7.4, "catch_pct": 76.9, "total_yd": 734.0, "ypg": 48.9, "touches": 164.0, "first_downs": 45.0, "xfp": 124.6, "xfp_diff": -12.2, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 45.8, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 20.9, "rush_time_to_los": 2.56, "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.22, "rush_efficiency": 3.75, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.39, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 5.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.0, "rush_yac_att": 1.79, "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 12.8 }, "ytd": { "pts": 122.0, "g": 7, "through_week": 8, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 118.0, "rushing_yards": 540.0, "rushing_tds": 5.0, "targets": 26.0, "receptions": 22.0, "receiving_yards": 150.0, "receiving_tds": 2.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 32.0, "receiving_first_downs": 8.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 10.6, "ppg": 17.43, "ypc": 4.6, "ypt": 5.8, "ypr": 6.8, "catch_pct": 84.6, "total_yd": 690.0, "ypg": 98.6, "touches": 140.0, "first_downs": 40.0, "xfp": 110.7, "xfp_diff": 11.3, "xfp_through_week": 8, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 78.7, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 23.73, "rush_time_to_los": 2.7, "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.76, "rush_efficiency": 3.67, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.44, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.6, "rush_yac_att": 2.18, "rush_broken_tackles": 10.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "7594", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:30:17.092284+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "On 134 carries last season, Hubbard broke a single tackle, a 17th-percentile figure that was no outlier in the profile: minus 0.3 rush yards over expected per attempt in the 12th percentile, 3.8 yards per carry, a 14-point shortfall against his expected scoring, and five drops that ranked among the most at the position. He reached the line of scrimmage faster than nearly anyone, which alongside the rest of the numbers reads as hitting the hole quickly without the tools to finish the run. The counterweights are real enough to keep him rosterable. He is 27, still listed first on Carolina's depth chart, and his receiving role stayed useful with a 69th-percentile target share and three scores through the air. Half-PPR rooms price all of it at pick 73, RB29, dead even with his RB30 projection of 168 points. Even pricing only helps if the projection is reachable, and a runner who just underperformed modest usage by double digits, returning to the same situation, needs 2025 to have been the aberration and not the beginning of decline.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Chuba Hubbard (rest) returns to practice Thursday — Hubbard got a rest day from practice to open the week on Wednesday. He remains a strong RB2 for fantasy managers. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-01T18:09:07+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-01T19:00:23.298938+00:00", "llm_sentiment": 1, "llm_injury_trajectory": 1, "llm_severity": 1, "llm_weeks_out": null, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "rest day; returns to practice; strong rb2; opens the week", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": 0, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-01T19:10:28.682415+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "questionable", "exp_miss_next6": null, "as_of": "2026-09-09", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```