FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · DET

Amon-Ra St. Brown

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:44.640250+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Amon-Ra St. Brown WRDET 17.57615.5480.2

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
10
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
261
Draft average position
7.6

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
105.4
Games played
6
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
1
rushing yards
-1
rushing tds
0
targets
68
receptions
46
receiving yards
525
receiving tds
5
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
29
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
31.1
Fantasy points per game
17.57
Yards per carry
-1
Yards per target
7.7
Yards per reception
11.4
Catch rate (%)
67.6
Total yards
524
Yards per game
87.3
touches
47
first downs
29
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
103.4
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
2
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
265.5
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
3
rushing yards
9
rushing tds
0
targets
172
receptions
117
receiving yards
1,401
receiving tds
11
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
1
receiving first downs
72
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
31.3
Fantasy points per game
15.62
Yards per carry
3
Yards per target
8.1
Yards per reception
12
Catch rate (%)
68
Total yards
1,410
Yards per game
82.9
touches
120
first downs
73
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
250.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
14.7
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
86.5
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.77
rec avg cushion
6.69
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
8.78
rec air share
32.42
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
-0.39
rec catch pct
67.65
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
2.9

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
85.2
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.94
rec avg cushion
6.04
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
8.38
rec air share
38.41
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.3
rec catch pct
68.02
rec drops
10
rec broken tackles
4
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
5.8

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Detroit's passing game ran through St. Brown to a degree his box score undersells. His 251 expected points from usage alone led every receiver in football, and he converted them into 265.5 actual points, a modest plus-15 kick that says the production rests on role rather than finishing luck. The shape of that role is unusual, an 8.4-yard aDOT in the bottom fifth of the position sitting alongside a 38.4 percent air-yards share in the 94th percentile, which happens when the volume is heavy enough that even short work adds up to control of the downfield budget. His after-catch numbers were ordinary at 0.34 yards of YAC over expected, and the 10 drops were a genuine blemish, so the ceiling depends on Detroit staying elite, and early lines oblige with the second-highest implied team total in the league. An 8.6 ADP prices him as the WR4, matching his 261-point projection at the same rank. Among receivers whose 2025 scoring you can trust to be mostly repeatable opportunity, he sits near the top of the list.

Latest stored news context

{
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  "latest_at": "2026-10-30T20:54:44+00:00",
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  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "ankle will play; good to go; missed practice; usual role; remain in his usual role",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:05:09.606385+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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      "ypc": 3.0,
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      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
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Use this source carefully