{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/7547","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:37.066936+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"7547","name":"Amon-Ra St. Brown","team":"DET","pos":"WR","age":27,"exp":5,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":80.2,"ros_ppg":15.54,"games_left":10,"projection":{"ros_ppg":15.543599999999998,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":10},"proj":261,"adp":7.6,"adp_pr":3,"ly":{"pts":265.5,"g":17,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":3.0,"rushing_yards":9.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":172.0,"receptions":117.0,"receiving_yards":1401.0,"receiving_tds":11.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":1.0,"receiving_first_downs":72.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":31.3,"ppg":15.62,"ypc":3.0,"ypt":8.1,"ypr":12.0,"catch_pct":68.0,"total_yd":1410.0,"ypg":82.9,"touches":120.0,"first_downs":73.0,"xfp":250.8,"xfp_diff":14.7,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":85.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.94,"rec_avg_cushion":6.04,"rec_adot":8.38,"rec_air_share":38.41,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.3,"rec_catch_pct":68.02,"rec_drops":10.0,"rec_broken_tackles":4.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.8},"ytd":{"pts":105.4,"g":6,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":1.0,"rushing_yards":-1.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":68.0,"receptions":46.0,"receiving_yards":525.0,"receiving_tds":5.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":29.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":31.1,"ppg":17.57,"ypc":-1.0,"ypt":7.7,"ypr":11.4,"catch_pct":67.6,"total_yd":524.0,"ypg":87.3,"touches":47.0,"first_downs":29.0,"xfp":103.4,"xfp_diff":2.0,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":86.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.77,"rec_avg_cushion":6.69,"rec_adot":8.78,"rec_air_share":32.42,"rec_yac_above_exp":-0.39,"rec_catch_pct":67.65,"rec_drops":2.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.9}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"7547","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:37.075949+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"current","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"unavailable","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Detroit's passing game ran through St. Brown to a degree his box score undersells. His 251 expected points from usage alone led every receiver in football, and he converted them into 265.5 actual points, a modest plus-15 kick that says the production rests on role rather than finishing luck. The shape of that role is unusual, an 8.4-yard aDOT in the bottom fifth of the position sitting alongside a 38.4 percent air-yards share in the 94th percentile, which happens when the volume is heavy enough that even short work adds up to control of the downfield budget. His after-catch numbers were ordinary at 0.34 yards of YAC over expected, and the 10 drops were a genuine blemish, so the ceiling depends on Detroit staying elite, and early lines oblige with the second-highest implied team total in the league. An 8.6 ADP prices him as the WR4, matching his 261-point projection at the same rank. Among receivers whose 2025 scoring you can trust to be mostly repeatable opportunity, he sits near the top of the list.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Amon-Ra St. Brown (ankle) will play Sunday  — St. Brown is good to go despite missing practice to start the week on Wednesday. He will remain in his usual role for the Lions and fantasy managers. ","latest_at":"2026-10-30T20:54:44+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":null,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"ankle will play; good to go; missed practice; usual role; remain in his usual role","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":0,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-10-31T23:05:09.606385+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":null}}