FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / TE · LAR

Colby Parkinson

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:41.233764+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Colby Parkinson TELAR 3.8864.090

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
74
Draft average position
261.8

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
23.3
Games played
6
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
19
receptions
14
receiving yards
103
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
7
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
8.6
Fantasy points per game
3.88
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
5.4
Yards per reception
7.4
Catch rate (%)
73.7
Total yards
103
Yards per game
17.2
touches
14
first downs
7
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
25.1
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-1.8
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
108.3
Games played
14
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
56
receptions
43
receiving yards
408
receiving tds
8
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
24
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
11.4
Fantasy points per game
7.74
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
7.3
Yards per reception
9.5
Catch rate (%)
76.8
Total yards
408
Yards per game
29.1
touches
43
first downs
24
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
81.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
28.5
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
64.5
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
5.3

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
60.4
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
3.5
rec avg cushion
5.71
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
4.74
rec air share
4.99
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.46
rec catch pct
76.79
rec drops
6
rec broken tackles
5
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
10.7

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Eight touchdowns are doing all the work in Colby Parkinson's profile. He scored on 8 of his 43 catches in 2025, ran the season to 108 points, and beat the points his usage alone would predict by 26.5, the sixth-largest overshoot at the position, all from the shallowest target diet among qualified tight ends: a 4.93 percent air-yards share, dead last, an aDOT near the bottom of the position, and a 10.7 percent drop rate that ranked second-worst. Usage that shallow almost never produces eight touchdowns two years running, and the consensus agrees, cutting him to roughly four scores and 75 points, TE34, while standard drafters still pay pick 136, TE25, for the memory. He does play in a genuinely elite environment, the Rams' 26.4 average implied total ranks third in the league, and their depth chart lists him second at the position, so a handful of touchdown-or-nothing weeks are still coming. Half-PPR rooms already price the regression at an ADP of 196, which leaves standard drafters as the group paying for a touchdown season the underlying usage never supported.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Colby Parkinson (knee/shoulder) off injury report Monday  — Parkinson practiced in full to end the week. He will remain in a rotation with other Rams tight ends. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-11T02:01:32+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-11T19:00:23.388436+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "off injury report; practiced in full; remain in a rotation; knee/shoulder",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-11T19:06:38.483544+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "questionable",
  "exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
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  "freshness": {
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      "draft_adp": {
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      "advanced_stats": {
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  "outcome_readiness": {
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  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
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  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
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    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
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    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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  "player": {
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    "name": "Colby Parkinson",
    "team": "LAR",
    "pos": "TE",
    "age": 27,
    "exp": 6,
    "injury": "Questionable",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 4.09,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 4.087000000000001,
      "source": "sleeper_future",
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    "adp_pr": 37,
    "ly": {
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      "g": 14,
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      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 56.0,
      "receptions": 43.0,
      "receiving_yards": 408.0,
      "receiving_tds": 8.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 24.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
      "tgt_share": 11.4,
      "ppg": 7.74,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 7.3,
      "ypr": 9.5,
      "catch_pct": 76.8,
      "total_yd": 408.0,
      "ypg": 29.1,
      "touches": 43.0,
      "first_downs": 24.0,
      "xfp": 81.8,
      "xfp_diff": 28.5,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 60.4,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": 3.5,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 5.71,
      "rec_adot": 4.74,
      "rec_air_share": 4.99,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.46,
      "rec_catch_pct": 76.79,
      "rec_drops": 6.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 5.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 10.7
    },
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      "carries": 0.0,
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      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 19.0,
      "receptions": 14.0,
      "receiving_yards": 103.0,
      "receiving_tds": 1.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 7.0,
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    "adv_ytd": {
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      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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      "rush_ybc_att": null,
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    }
  },
  "profile": {
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    "season": 2026,
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    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "current",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Eight touchdowns are doing all the work in Colby Parkinson's profile. He scored on 8 of his 43 catches in 2025, ran the season to 108 points, and beat the points his usage alone would predict by 26.5, the sixth-largest overshoot at the position, all from the shallowest target diet among qualified tight ends: a 4.93 percent air-yards share, dead last, an aDOT near the bottom of the position, and a 10.7 percent drop rate that ranked second-worst. Usage that shallow almost never produces eight touchdowns two years running, and the consensus agrees, cutting him to roughly four scores and 75 points, TE34, while standard drafters still pay pick 136, TE25, for the memory. He does play in a genuinely elite environment, the Rams' 26.4 average implied total ranks third in the league, and their depth chart lists him second at the position, so a handful of touchdown-or-nothing weeks are still coming. Half-PPR rooms already price the regression at an ADP of 196, which leaves standard drafters as the group paying for a touchdown season the underlying usage never supported.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Colby Parkinson (knee/shoulder) off injury report Monday  — Parkinson practiced in full to end the week. He will remain in a rotation with other Rams tight ends. ",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-11T02:01:32+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-11T19:00:23.388436+00:00",
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      "llm_severity": 1,
      "llm_weeks_out": null,
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      "llm_role_change": 0,
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      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
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  }
}

Use this source carefully