{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/6865","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:17:59.718772+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"6865","name":"Colby Parkinson","team":"LAR","pos":"TE","age":27,"exp":6,"injury":"Questionable","rookie":false,"value":0.0,"ros_ppg":4.09,"games_left":9,"projection":{"ros_ppg":4.087000000000001,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[8,9,10,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":9},"proj":74,"adp":261.8,"adp_pr":37,"ly":{"pts":108.3,"g":14,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":56.0,"receptions":43.0,"receiving_yards":408.0,"receiving_tds":8.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":24.0,"fumbles_lost":1.0,"tgt_share":11.4,"ppg":7.74,"ypc":null,"ypt":7.3,"ypr":9.5,"catch_pct":76.8,"total_yd":408.0,"ypg":29.1,"touches":43.0,"first_downs":24.0,"xfp":81.8,"xfp_diff":28.5,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":60.4,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":3.5,"rec_avg_cushion":5.71,"rec_adot":4.74,"rec_air_share":4.99,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.46,"rec_catch_pct":76.79,"rec_drops":6.0,"rec_broken_tackles":5.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":10.7},"ytd":{"pts":23.3,"g":6,"through_week":7,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":0.0,"rushing_yards":0.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":19.0,"receptions":14.0,"receiving_yards":103.0,"receiving_tds":1.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":7.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":8.6,"ppg":3.88,"ypc":null,"ypt":5.4,"ypr":7.4,"catch_pct":73.7,"total_yd":103.0,"ypg":17.2,"touches":14.0,"first_downs":7.0,"xfp":25.1,"xfp_diff":-1.8,"xfp_through_week":7,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":64.5,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":null,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":5.3}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"6865","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:17:59.728150+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"current","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Eight touchdowns are doing all the work in Colby Parkinson's profile. He scored on 8 of his 43 catches in 2025, ran the season to 108 points, and beat the points his usage alone would predict by 26.5, the sixth-largest overshoot at the position, all from the shallowest target diet among qualified tight ends: a 4.93 percent air-yards share, dead last, an aDOT near the bottom of the position, and a 10.7 percent drop rate that ranked second-worst. Usage that shallow almost never produces eight touchdowns two years running, and the consensus agrees, cutting him to roughly four scores and 75 points, TE34, while standard drafters still pay pick 136, TE25, for the memory. He does play in a genuinely elite environment, the Rams' 26.4 average implied total ranks third in the league, and their depth chart lists him second at the position, so a handful of touchdown-or-nothing weeks are still coming. Half-PPR rooms already price the regression at an ADP of 196, which leaves standard drafters as the group paying for a touchdown season the underlying usage never supported.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Colby Parkinson (knee/shoulder) off injury report Monday  — Parkinson practiced in full to end the week. He will remain in a rotation with other Rams tight ends. 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