FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / TE · CHI

Cole Kmet

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:37.653262+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Cole Kmet TECHI 2.8174.040

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Model fallback
Forecast captured
Unavailable; no provider capture established
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
None recorded
Weeks using model fallback
8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
54
Draft average position
683.3

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
19.7
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
14
receptions
10
receiving yards
87
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
5
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
6.2
Fantasy points per game
2.81
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
6.2
Yards per reception
8.7
Catch rate (%)
71.4
Total yards
87
Yards per game
12.4
touches
10
first downs
5
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
17.5
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
2.2
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
61.7
Games played
16
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
48
receptions
30
receiving yards
347
receiving tds
2
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
17
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
9.7
Fantasy points per game
3.86
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
7.2
Yards per reception
11.6
Catch rate (%)
62.5
Total yards
347
Yards per game
21.7
touches
30
first downs
17
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
66.1
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-4.4
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
61.4
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
14.3

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
71.4
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
3.68
rec avg cushion
5.83
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
8.63
rec air share
9.23
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.2
rec catch pct
62.5
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
2
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
4.2

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Cole Kmet's 2025 reads like a role change hiding inside a down year. His aDOT jumped to 8.7, roughly 90th percentile among qualified tight ends, with 11.6 yards per reception, while his catch rate sank to 62.5 percent, near the bottom of the position. Deeper routes and fewer completions is a coherent trade, and it came on shrunken volume: three targets a game, a 9 percent target share, despite 71 percent of the snaps and all 16 games played. He finished with 62 points against 66 expected. Now listed second on Chicago's depth chart, he's projected for about 53 points at TE40, and a half-PPR ADP of 340 says the market has closed the book. The Bears' 25.0 implied total ranks eighth, which is the one live thread here, because if the downfield usage persists and the target count recovers at all, the profile has more in it than a price this deep implies. His 2025 volume trend gives no assurance of that.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Cole Kmet finds end zone in Week 1 win — Kmet capitalized on modest involvement in the Chicago passing attack, taking in one of quarterback Caleb Williams' two touchdown passes in the win. The veteran tight end remains behind Colston Loveland in the Chicago tight end room as part of an explosive Chicago offense for head coach Ben Johnson, with a Week 2 contest against the Minnesota Vikings up next.",
  "latest_at": "2026-09-14T14:04:38+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-09-15T10:00:03.130918+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "finds end zone; modest involvement; remains behind; explosive chicago offense",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-15T10:20:19.100295+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "ir",
  "exp_miss_next6": 3.4987386934308384,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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    "name": "Cole Kmet",
    "team": "CHI",
    "pos": "TE",
    "age": 27,
    "exp": 6,
    "injury": "IR",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 4.04,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "ros_ppg": 4.038593499276202,
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      "g": 16,
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      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
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      "targets": 48.0,
      "receptions": 30.0,
      "receiving_yards": 347.0,
      "receiving_tds": 2.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 17.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 9.7,
      "ppg": 3.86,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 7.2,
      "ypr": 11.6,
      "catch_pct": 62.5,
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      "ypg": 21.7,
      "touches": 30.0,
      "first_downs": 17.0,
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      "xfp_diff": -4.4,
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      "snap_pct": 71.4,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": 3.68,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 5.83,
      "rec_adot": 8.63,
      "rec_air_share": 9.23,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.2,
      "rec_catch_pct": 62.5,
      "rec_drops": 2.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
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    "writeup": "Cole Kmet's 2025 reads like a role change hiding inside a down year. His aDOT jumped to 8.7, roughly 90th percentile among qualified tight ends, with 11.6 yards per reception, while his catch rate sank to 62.5 percent, near the bottom of the position. Deeper routes and fewer completions is a coherent trade, and it came on shrunken volume: three targets a game, a 9 percent target share, despite 71 percent of the snaps and all 16 games played. He finished with 62 points against 66 expected. Now listed second on Chicago's depth chart, he's projected for about 53 points at TE40, and a half-PPR ADP of 340 says the market has closed the book. The Bears' 25.0 implied total ranks eighth, which is the one live thread here, because if the downfield usage persists and the target count recovers at all, the profile has more in it than a price this deep implies. His 2025 volume trend gives no assurance of that.",
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      "digest": "Cole Kmet finds end zone in Week 1 win — Kmet capitalized on modest involvement in the Chicago passing attack, taking in one of quarterback Caleb Williams' two touchdown passes in the win. The veteran tight end remains behind Colston Loveland in the Chicago tight end room as part of an explosive Chicago offense for head coach Ben Johnson, with a Week 2 contest against the Minnesota Vikings up next.",
      "latest_at": "2026-09-14T14:04:38+00:00",
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      "llm_severity": 0,
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      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
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}

Use this source carefully