FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · CIN

Tee Higgins

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:41.689028+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Tee Higgins WRCIN 14.27612.5149.9

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
10
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
186
Draft average position
39.2

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
85.6
Games played
6
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
50
receptions
33
receiving yards
571
receiving tds
2
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
27
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
23.4
Fantasy points per game
14.27
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
11.4
Yards per reception
17.3
Catch rate (%)
66
Total yards
571
Yards per game
95.2
touches
33
first downs
27
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
70
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
15.6
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
180.1
Games played
15
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
98
receptions
59
receiving yards
846
receiving tds
11
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
41
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
18.6
Fantasy points per game
12.01
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
8.6
Yards per reception
14.3
Catch rate (%)
60.2
Total yards
846
Yards per game
56.4
touches
59
first downs
41
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
157
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
23.1
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
78.7
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.43
rec avg cushion
5.54
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
14.18
rec air share
43.84
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
1.32
rec catch pct
66
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
3
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
80.9
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
1.85
rec avg cushion
5.24
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
13.54
rec air share
29.04
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.37
rec catch pct
60.2
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
5
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
2

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Higgins scored eleven touchdowns on only 98 targets last season, third-most at the position, and that ratio does most of the work in both his 2025 line and his 2026 price. The spike pushed him 23 points past what his usage was worth, a 91st-percentile overshoot, on a modest 16.1 percent target share. The charting underneath is genuinely rough: 1.83 yards of average separation, last among the 79 qualifiers, with corners pressing him (bottom tenth in cushion) on a deep 13.5-yard aDOT, and a 60.2 percent catch rate to match. The market pays WR15 at a 37.8 ADP for that package while the consensus projection drops him to 186 points and WR20, so the premium over projection is purely a bet on touchdown persistence from the least-separation receiver in the sample. In his favor, Cincinnati's early implied totals rank fifth, the red-zone role produced double-digit scores, and 14.3 yards per reception says the deep wins are real when they come. Eleven scores on 59 catches is still a rate no projection carries forward, and the consensus number already reflects that discount.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Tee Higgins (groin/neck) listed questionable Sunday  — Higgins was able to get in some work during practice on Friday. His status will have to be monitored closer to kickoff on Sunday. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-09T17:49:29+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-10T19:00:24.170294+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": 0.5,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "groin neck; listed questionable; some work practice; status will be monitored; questionable sunday",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-10T19:21:49.187637+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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    "exp": 6,
    "injury": null,
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    "value": 49.9,
    "ros_ppg": 12.51,
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      "receiving_tds": 11.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 41.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
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      "pass_adot": null,
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      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
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      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
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      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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      "rec_broken_tackles": 5.0,
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Use this source carefully