FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · TEN

Tony Pollard

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:37.472089+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Tony Pollard RBTEN 11.7679.5729.2

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
172
Draft average position
78

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
82.3
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
112
rushing yards
478
rushing tds
4
targets
16
receptions
11
receiving yards
50
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
23
receiving first downs
2
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
8.2
Fantasy points per game
11.76
Yards per carry
4.3
Yards per target
3.1
Yards per reception
4.5
Catch rate (%)
68.8
Total yards
528
Yards per game
75.4
touches
123
first downs
25
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
97.9
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-15.6
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
169.3
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
242
rushing yards
1,082
rushing tds
5
targets
41
receptions
33
receiving yards
206
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
49
receiving first downs
11
fumbles lost
3
Target share in observed games (%)
7.7
Fantasy points per game
9.96
Yards per carry
4.5
Yards per target
5
Yards per reception
6.2
Catch rate (%)
80.5
Total yards
1,288
Yards per game
75.8
touches
275
first downs
60
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
181.3
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-6
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
58.9
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
17.86
rush time to los
2.73
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.41
rush efficiency
3.5
rush pct over expected
0.47
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.65
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.62
rush broken tackles
6
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
6.2

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
62.5
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
23.14
rush time to los
2.89
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.49
rush efficiency
3.74
rush pct over expected
0.41
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
2
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.64
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.83
rush broken tackles
16
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
4.9

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Tennessee's grim scoring environment does most of the damage to Pollard's price, and the usage numbers explain why the projection refuses to give up on him. He carried 242 times last season, 13th most at the position, on an 83rd-percentile snap share, and the consensus projects 239 carries again, good for RB26 and 176 points. Half-PPR drafters still let him fall to pick 82, RB32, six spots below that projection. The discount has understandable roots: a 20.2 average implied team total that ranks 27th, receiving work as shallow as it gets at 6.2 yards per reception, three lost fumbles, and a season that finished 12 points under its expected total. At 29 there is no upside narrative left to sell. What remains is a floor argument, a locked-in workload and seventeen games played, which is more than most names in this range can claim, and the market is charging less than the boring version is worth.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Tony Pollard off injury report Sunday  — Pollard got a rest day from practice on Thursday. He will remain an RB2 play for fantasy managers. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-30T20:50:08+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "off injury report; rest day; rb2 play",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:06:48.525275+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
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    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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    "name": "Tony Pollard",
    "team": "TEN",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 29,
    "exp": 7,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 29.2,
    "ros_ppg": 9.57,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "g": 17,
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      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 242.0,
      "rushing_yards": 1082.0,
      "rushing_tds": 5.0,
      "targets": 41.0,
      "receptions": 33.0,
      "receiving_yards": 206.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 49.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 11.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 3.0,
      "tgt_share": 7.7,
      "ppg": 9.96,
      "ypc": 4.5,
      "ypt": 5.0,
      "ypr": 6.2,
      "catch_pct": 80.5,
      "total_yd": 1288.0,
      "ypg": 75.8,
      "touches": 275.0,
      "first_downs": 60.0,
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      "snap_pct": 62.5,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 23.14,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.89,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.49,
      "rush_efficiency": 3.74,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.41,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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      "rush_ybc_att": 2.64,
      "rush_yac_att": 1.83,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 16.0,
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      "receiving_yards": 50.0,
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    "writeup": "Tennessee's grim scoring environment does most of the damage to Pollard's price, and the usage numbers explain why the projection refuses to give up on him. He carried 242 times last season, 13th most at the position, on an 83rd-percentile snap share, and the consensus projects 239 carries again, good for RB26 and 176 points. Half-PPR drafters still let him fall to pick 82, RB32, six spots below that projection. The discount has understandable roots: a 20.2 average implied team total that ranks 27th, receiving work as shallow as it gets at 6.2 yards per reception, three lost fumbles, and a season that finished 12 points under its expected total. At 29 there is no upside narrative left to sell. What remains is a floor argument, a locked-in workload and seventeen games played, which is more than most names in this range can claim, and the market is charging less than the boring version is worth.",
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Use this source carefully