FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · DEN

Courtland Sutton

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:41:11.100475+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Courtland Sutton WRDEN 4.476.780

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
165
Draft average position
80.1

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
30.8
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
33
receptions
16
receiving yards
168
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
11
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
16.8
Fantasy points per game
4.4
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
5.1
Yards per reception
10.5
Catch rate (%)
48.5
Total yards
168
Yards per game
24
touches
16
first downs
11
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
53.5
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-22.7
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
180.7
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
124
receptions
74
receiving yards
1,017
receiving tds
7
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
52
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
21.2
Fantasy points per game
10.63
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
8.2
Yards per reception
13.7
Catch rate (%)
59.7
Total yards
1,017
Yards per game
59.8
touches
74
first downs
52
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
187.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-7.1
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
76.7
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.9
rec avg cushion
5.5
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
11.99
rec air share
31.5
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.44
rec catch pct
48.48
rec drops
3
rec broken tackles
2
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
9.1

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
85.4
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.28
rec avg cushion
5.28
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
12.59
rec air share
35.62
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.14
rec catch pct
59.68
rec drops
10
rec broken tackles
3
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
8.1

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Courtland Sutton finished 13th among wide receivers in half-PPR scoring last season on genuinely elite usage, 124 targets, a 21.3 percent target share in the 86th percentile and an 89th-percentile air-yards share, and his 2026 price is WR38 at pick 83. The skepticism has ingredients: he's 30, he dropped ten passes at an 8.1 percent rate that ranked seventh worst among qualifiers, corners crowded him all year with 9th-percentile cushion and 12th-percentile separation, and Denver's early Vegas lines imply a modest 21.3 points per game, 25th in the league. None of it stopped the production, and the expected-points model says his 181 points were almost exactly what the usage earned, a gap of only minus seven, so this wasn't touchdown luck propping up a decline. With the consensus projection at WR29 and 7.5 touchdowns, the ADP amounts to a two-round discount on last year's target volume. Alpha usage in a middling offense does eventually age out, and 30 is the age where the market starts guessing early, but workloads like his rarely vanish in one offseason, and the seventh round is a cheap place to find out.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Courtland Sutton held to four yards Sunday — Sutton had a rough day despite tying for the team lead among wide receivers with six targets. He and Bo Nix couldn't connect on several opportunities, leaving Sutton with just one catch. The volume remains encouraging, and fantasy managers shouldn't overreact to one bad game, but Sutton will need to bounce back first after his quiet Week 4 before entering starting lineups.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-05T19:00:59+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-06T19:00:45.612292+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "held to four yards; quiet week 4; volume remains encouraging; just one catch; bounce back",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-06T19:10:23.540797+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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    "age": 31,
    "exp": 8,
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    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 6.78,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "receiving_yards": 1017.0,
      "receiving_tds": 7.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 52.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
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      "ppg": 10.63,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 8.2,
      "ypr": 13.7,
      "catch_pct": 59.7,
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      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
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      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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      "rec_air_share": 35.62,
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      "rec_catch_pct": 59.68,
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      "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
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    "writeup": "Courtland Sutton finished 13th among wide receivers in half-PPR scoring last season on genuinely elite usage, 124 targets, a 21.3 percent target share in the 86th percentile and an 89th-percentile air-yards share, and his 2026 price is WR38 at pick 83. The skepticism has ingredients: he's 30, he dropped ten passes at an 8.1 percent rate that ranked seventh worst among qualifiers, corners crowded him all year with 9th-percentile cushion and 12th-percentile separation, and Denver's early Vegas lines imply a modest 21.3 points per game, 25th in the league. None of it stopped the production, and the expected-points model says his 181 points were almost exactly what the usage earned, a gap of only minus seven, so this wasn't touchdown luck propping up a decline. With the consensus projection at WR29 and 7.5 touchdowns, the ADP amounts to a two-round discount on last year's target volume. Alpha usage in a middling offense does eventually age out, and 30 is the age where the market starts guessing early, but workloads like his rarely vanish in one offseason, and the seventh round is a cheap place to find out.",
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Use this source carefully