FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / QB · BUF

Josh Allen

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:41:10.200701+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Josh Allen QBBUF 26.47623.8296.1

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
10
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
360
Draft average position
20.7

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
158.8
Games played
6
Observed through week
6
passing yards
1,504
passing tds
9
interceptions
4
carries
48
rushing yards
240
rushing tds
8
targets
1
receptions
1
receiving yards
1
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
66
rushing first downs
23
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
0.6
Fantasy points per game
26.47
Yards per carry
5
Yards per target
1
Yards per reception
1
Catch rate (%)
100
Total yards
1,745
Yards per game
290.8
touches
49
first downs
23
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
40.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
31.8
Opportunity observed through week
6
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
362.6
Games played
16
Observed through week
17
passing yards
3,668
passing tds
25
interceptions
10
carries
112
rushing yards
579
rushing tds
14
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
178
rushing first downs
51
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
3
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
22.66
Yards per carry
5.2
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
4,247
Yards per game
265.4
touches
112
first downs
51
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
88.1
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
53.8
Opportunity observed through week
17
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
100
Time to throw (seconds)
2.97
Average depth of pass target (yards)
8.7
pass aggressiveness
12.87
Completion percentage above expectation
2.38
pass air to sticks
0.16
pass rating
102.08
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
2
pass pressured pct
18.4
pass bad throw pct
16.1
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
92.2
Time to throw (seconds)
2.89
Average depth of pass target (yards)
7.15
pass aggressiveness
11.3
Completion percentage above expectation
1.54
pass air to sticks
-1.13
pass rating
102.16
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
3.07
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.95
rush broken tackles
7
pass pressured pct
17.7
pass bad throw pct
12.4
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Allen's rushing production is self-made in a way the box score misses. He led every quarterback in carries, rushing yards and rushing touchdowns last season (112 for 579 and 14), and the splits underneath are the telling part: a 17th percentile yards-before-contact rate, a 97th percentile yards-after-contact rate, and a 96th percentile broken-tackle count. Buffalo's blocking gave him very little and he created the rest himself. The passing game has turned deliberately conservative, with a 25th percentile aDOT and a bottom-decile aggressiveness rate, and it works: a 90th percentile passer rating alongside bottom-fifth pressure and bad-throw rates. All of it added up to 23.3 points per game (half-PPR), the best per-game mark at the position, and Vegas has Buffalo fifth in average implied team total on early lines. His third-round cost as the consensus QB1 asks you to believe a 30-year-old keeps absorbing 112 carries and turning them into a league-best touchdown total, which is a bet on a goal-line role no other quarterback gets rather than on efficiency luck, and roles that entrenched rarely disappear in a single offseason.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Josh Allen rushes for 121 yards, TD in Week 5 win — Allen didn't have his best passing game but he dominated the Rams on the ground in the thrilling Monday night win as he easily set a season-high in rushing yards. His lone touchdown pass went to Keon Coleman in the third quarter. Allen has thrown for 1,249 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions through five games this season. He will remain a top-three fantasy quarterback heading into Week 6 against the Raiders.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-13T09:24:21+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "season-high rushing yards; top-three fantasy quarterback; rushes for 121 yards; dominant on the ground; lone touchdown pass",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-14T09:07:07.602280+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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    "exp": 8,
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    "value": 96.1,
    "ros_ppg": 23.82,
    "games_left": 10,
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      "rushing_tds": 14.0,
      "targets": 0.0,
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      "receiving_yards": 0.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 51.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 3.0,
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      "ppg": 22.66,
      "ypc": 5.2,
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      "ypr": null,
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      "ypg": 265.4,
      "touches": 112.0,
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      "pass_aggressiveness": 11.3,
      "pass_cpoe": 1.54,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": -1.13,
      "pass_rating": 102.16,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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      "pass_bad_throw_pct": 12.4,
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    "writeup": "Allen's rushing production is self-made in a way the box score misses. He led every quarterback in carries, rushing yards and rushing touchdowns last season (112 for 579 and 14), and the splits underneath are the telling part: a 17th percentile yards-before-contact rate, a 97th percentile yards-after-contact rate, and a 96th percentile broken-tackle count. Buffalo's blocking gave him very little and he created the rest himself. The passing game has turned deliberately conservative, with a 25th percentile aDOT and a bottom-decile aggressiveness rate, and it works: a 90th percentile passer rating alongside bottom-fifth pressure and bad-throw rates. All of it added up to 23.3 points per game (half-PPR), the best per-game mark at the position, and Vegas has Buffalo fifth in average implied team total on early lines. His third-round cost as the consensus QB1 asks you to believe a 30-year-old keeps absorbing 112 carries and turning them into a league-best touchdown total, which is a bet on a goal-line role no other quarterback gets rather than on efficiency luck, and roles that entrenched rarely disappear in a single offseason.",
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      "digest": "Josh Allen rushes for 121 yards, TD in Week 5 win — Allen didn't have his best passing game but he dominated the Rams on the ground in the thrilling Monday night win as he easily set a season-high in rushing yards. His lone touchdown pass went to Keon Coleman in the third quarter. Allen has thrown for 1,249 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions through five games this season. He will remain a top-three fantasy quarterback heading into Week 6 against the Raiders.",
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Use this source carefully