FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · WAS

Jeremy McNichols

Read as Markdown · JSON · Interactive board

Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:40:27.599386+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Jeremy McNichols RBWAS 1.311.350

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
10
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
Unavailable
Draft average position
307

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
1.3
Games played
1
Observed through week
6
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
5
rushing yards
13
rushing tds
0
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
1
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
1.3
Yards per carry
2.6
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
13
Yards per game
13
touches
5
first downs
1
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
4.3
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-3
Opportunity observed through week
6
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
58.2
Games played
16
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
44
rushing yards
221
rushing tds
1
targets
31
receptions
25
receiving yards
196
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
13
receiving first downs
10
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
7.9
Fantasy points per game
3.64
Yards per carry
5
Yards per target
6.3
Yards per reception
7.8
Catch rate (%)
80.6
Total yards
417
Yards per game
26.1
touches
69
first downs
23
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
60.2
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-0
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
18
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
31.9
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
2
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
6
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
3.2

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

McNichols keeps making rosters for a reason visible in the 2025 receiving column: 31 targets and 25 catches, a 7.2 percent target share that reached the 63rd percentile among backs, with ten of those catches moving the chains. For a player listed fifth on Washington's depth chart, that is real situational trust. The rest of the profile is what a 30-year-old in year nine should look like. He scored 58.2 half-PPR points on 60.2 expected, a 0.97 ratio that says he returned almost exactly what his opportunity was worth, with no efficiency bonus and no collapse. A profile like that has a floor around three and a half points a game and essentially no ceiling, because nobody hands a ninth-year depth back 15 carries a week. His ADP of 435 prices the arrangement about right. In deep leagues that lean toward reception scoring he is the insurance piece who plays passing downs the week your starter goes down, and that is the whole job description.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Jeremy McNichols (quad) limited participant Thursday — McNichols was again limited at practice on Thursday. He's still in his 21-day practice window and has yet to be officially activated, so it remains to be seen whether or not he will be a part of Washington's backfield rotation in Week 5.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-08T20:54:39+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-09T09:00:23.363460+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
  "llm_severity": 2,
  "llm_weeks_out": 2.0,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "quad limited; limited at practice; 21-day practice window; yet to be officially activated; backfield rotation week 5",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-09T19:23:48.298864+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
{
  "schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
  "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4219",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:40:27.599386+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "4219",
    "name": "Jeremy McNichols",
    "team": "WAS",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 30,
    "exp": 9,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 1.35,
    "games_left": 10,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 1.3456000000000004,
      "source": "sleeper_future",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
      "covered_weeks": [
        8,
        9,
        10,
        11,
        12,
        13,
        14,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "missing_weeks": [],
      "remaining_games": 10
    },
    "proj": null,
    "adp": 307.0,
    "adp_pr": 87,
    "ly": {
      "pts": 58.2,
      "g": 16,
      "through_week": 18,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 44.0,
      "rushing_yards": 221.0,
      "rushing_tds": 1.0,
      "targets": 31.0,
      "receptions": 25.0,
      "receiving_yards": 196.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 13.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 10.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
      "tgt_share": 7.9,
      "ppg": 3.64,
      "ypc": 5.0,
      "ypt": 6.3,
      "ypr": 7.8,
      "catch_pct": 80.6,
      "total_yd": 417.0,
      "ypg": 26.1,
      "touches": 69.0,
      "first_downs": 23.0,
      "xfp": 60.2,
      "xfp_diff": -0.0,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 31.9,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 1.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 6.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 3.2
    },
    "ytd": {
      "pts": 1.3,
      "g": 1,
      "through_week": 6,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 5.0,
      "rushing_yards": 13.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 0.0,
      "receptions": 0.0,
      "receiving_yards": 0.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 1.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 0.0,
      "ppg": 1.3,
      "ypc": 2.6,
      "ypt": null,
      "ypr": null,
      "catch_pct": null,
      "total_yd": 13.0,
      "ypg": 13.0,
      "touches": 5.0,
      "first_downs": 1.0,
      "xfp": 4.3,
      "xfp_diff": -3.0,
      "xfp_through_week": 6,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv_ytd": {
      "snap_pct": 18.0,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": null,
      "rec_broken_tackles": null,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": null
    }
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "4219",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T01:40:27.605842+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "stale",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "McNichols keeps making rosters for a reason visible in the 2025 receiving column: 31 targets and 25 catches, a 7.2 percent target share that reached the 63rd percentile among backs, with ten of those catches moving the chains. For a player listed fifth on Washington's depth chart, that is real situational trust. The rest of the profile is what a 30-year-old in year nine should look like. He scored 58.2 half-PPR points on 60.2 expected, a 0.97 ratio that says he returned almost exactly what his opportunity was worth, with no efficiency bonus and no collapse. A profile like that has a floor around three and a half points a game and essentially no ceiling, because nobody hands a ninth-year depth back 15 carries a week. His ADP of 435 prices the arrangement about right. In deep leagues that lean toward reception scoring he is the insurance piece who plays passing downs the week your starter goes down, and that is the whole job description.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Jeremy McNichols (quad) limited participant Thursday — McNichols was again limited at practice on Thursday. He's still in his 21-day practice window and has yet to be officially activated, so it remains to be seen whether or not he will be a part of Washington's backfield rotation in Week 5.",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-08T20:54:39+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-09T09:00:23.363460+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": -1,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
      "llm_severity": 2,
      "llm_weeks_out": 2.0,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "quad limited; limited at practice; 21-day practice window; yet to be officially activated; backfield rotation week 5",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-09T19:23:48.298864+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": null,
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
      "status": "ir",
      "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115,
      "as_of": "2026-10-14",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    }
  }
}

Use this source carefully