# Jeremy McNichols — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4219 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4219", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:24:50.644161+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "4219", "name": "Jeremy McNichols", "team": "WAS", "pos": "RB", "age": 30, "exp": 9, "injury": null, "rookie": false, "value": 0.0, "ros_ppg": 1.35, "games_left": 10, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 1.3456000000000004, "source": "sleeper_future", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [], "remaining_games": 10 }, "proj": null, "adp": 307.0, "adp_pr": 87, "ly": { "pts": 58.2, "g": 16, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 44.0, "rushing_yards": 221.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 31.0, "receptions": 25.0, "receiving_yards": 196.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 13.0, "receiving_first_downs": 10.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 7.9, "ppg": 3.64, "ypc": 5.0, "ypt": 6.3, "ypr": 7.8, "catch_pct": 80.6, "total_yd": 417.0, "ypg": 26.1, "touches": 69.0, "first_downs": 23.0, "xfp": 60.2, "xfp_diff": -0.0, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 31.9, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 1.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 6.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 3.2 }, "ytd": { "pts": 1.3, "g": 1, "through_week": 6, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 5.0, "rushing_yards": 13.0, "rushing_tds": 0.0, "targets": 0.0, "receptions": 0.0, "receiving_yards": 0.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 1.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 0.0, "ppg": 1.3, "ypc": 2.6, "ypt": null, "ypr": null, "catch_pct": null, "total_yd": 13.0, "ypg": 13.0, "touches": 5.0, "first_downs": 1.0, "xfp": 4.3, "xfp_diff": -3.0, "xfp_through_week": 6, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 18.0, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": null, "rec_broken_tackles": null, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": null } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "4219", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:24:50.646579+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "McNichols keeps making rosters for a reason visible in the 2025 receiving column: 31 targets and 25 catches, a 7.2 percent target share that reached the 63rd percentile among backs, with ten of those catches moving the chains. For a player listed fifth on Washington's depth chart, that is real situational trust. The rest of the profile is what a 30-year-old in year nine should look like. He scored 58.2 half-PPR points on 60.2 expected, a 0.97 ratio that says he returned almost exactly what his opportunity was worth, with no efficiency bonus and no collapse. A profile like that has a floor around three and a half points a game and essentially no ceiling, because nobody hands a ninth-year depth back 15 carries a week. His ADP of 435 prices the arrangement about right. In deep leagues that lean toward reception scoring he is the insurance piece who plays passing downs the week your starter goes down, and that is the whole job description.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "Jeremy McNichols (quad) limited participant Thursday — McNichols was again limited at practice on Thursday. He's still in his 21-day practice window and has yet to be officially activated, so it remains to be seen whether or not he will be a part of Washington's backfield rotation in Week 5.", "latest_at": "2026-10-08T20:54:39+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-09T09:00:23.363460+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 2, "llm_weeks_out": 2.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "quad limited; limited at practice; 21-day practice window; yet to be officially activated; backfield rotation week 5", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-09T19:23:48.298864+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": null, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 4.060832407848115, "as_of": "2026-10-14", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```