FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · LAR

Davante Adams

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:38:07.674815+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Davante Adams WRLAR 14.5612.6345.9

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper projections plus model fallback
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
8, 9, 10

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
188
Draft average position
56.3

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
87
Games played
6
Observed through week
6
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
49
receptions
30
receiving yards
480
receiving tds
4
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
21
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
20.2
Fantasy points per game
14.5
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
9.8
Yards per reception
16
Catch rate (%)
61.2
Total yards
480
Yards per game
80
touches
30
first downs
21
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
78.6
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
8.4
Opportunity observed through week
6
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
192.9
Games played
14
Observed through week
15
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
114
receptions
60
receiving yards
789
receiving tds
14
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
51
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
24.8
Fantasy points per game
13.78
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
6.9
Yards per reception
13.2
Catch rate (%)
52.6
Total yards
789
Yards per game
56.4
touches
60
first downs
51
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
212
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-19.1
Opportunity observed through week
15
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
74
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.24
rec avg cushion
5.81
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
14.77
rec air share
33.68
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
1.3
rec catch pct
61.22
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
4.1

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
71.4
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.12
rec avg cushion
5.17
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
13.22
rec air share
28.34
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
-0.55
rec catch pct
52.63
rec drops
7
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
6.1

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

The charting and the usage describe two different players. Adams at 33 posted some of the ugliest athletic indicators at the position in 2025: 2.17 yards of separation (7th percentile), a 52.6 percent catch rate (8th), yards after catch over expected in the 6th percentile, and corners pressing him with among the tightest cushions of any qualified receiver. That same season he drew 114 targets, built the sixth-highest expected-points total among wideouts at 212, and led all wideouts with 14 receiving touchdowns while averaging 13.8 points per game, even though he finished 19 points under what the usage predicted. The Rams carry the third-best implied totals into 2026, and the consensus haircuts the touchdowns to 10.2 yet still lands at 188 points, WR18. Half-PPR rooms let him go WR24 around pick 55, six spots under that projection, presumably because the age cliff feels imminent every year until it happens. The bet at this price is narrow and clear, that the target role survives one more season even though the route-winning already hasn't, and given the offense and the red-zone monopoly, WR24 underprices the floor.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Davante Adams brings in two TD passes in Week 5 — Adams found the end zone twice in the high-scoring loss on Monday night. He kicked off the scoring for LA with a four-yard grab in the second quarter and later came back to add a five-yard catch for a score. Adams now has 27 catches for 441 yards and four touchdowns through five games for the Rams. He will be a solid WR2 in Week 6 vs. the Cardinals.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-13T10:05:55+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-14T09:00:25.040518+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "two td passes; solid wr2; four-yard grab; five-yard catch; 27 catches",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-14T09:11:42.052905+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "ir",
  "exp_miss_next6": 3.440915580938783,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
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    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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    "name": "Davante Adams",
    "team": "LAR",
    "pos": "WR",
    "age": 33,
    "exp": 12,
    "injury": "IR",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 45.9,
    "ros_ppg": 12.63,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "g": 14,
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      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
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      "targets": 114.0,
      "receptions": 60.0,
      "receiving_yards": 789.0,
      "receiving_tds": 14.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 51.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 24.8,
      "ppg": 13.78,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 6.9,
      "ypr": 13.2,
      "catch_pct": 52.6,
      "total_yd": 789.0,
      "ypg": 56.4,
      "touches": 60.0,
      "first_downs": 51.0,
      "xfp": 212.0,
      "xfp_diff": -19.1,
      "xfp_through_week": 15,
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    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 71.4,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": 2.12,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 5.17,
      "rec_adot": 13.22,
      "rec_air_share": 28.34,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": -0.55,
      "rec_catch_pct": 52.63,
      "rec_drops": 7.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 6.1
    },
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      "receiving_tds": 4.0,
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      "rec_avg_separation": 2.24,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 5.81,
      "rec_adot": 14.77,
      "rec_air_share": 33.68,
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      "rec_catch_pct": 61.22,
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    },
    "writeup": "The charting and the usage describe two different players. Adams at 33 posted some of the ugliest athletic indicators at the position in 2025: 2.17 yards of separation (7th percentile), a 52.6 percent catch rate (8th), yards after catch over expected in the 6th percentile, and corners pressing him with among the tightest cushions of any qualified receiver. That same season he drew 114 targets, built the sixth-highest expected-points total among wideouts at 212, and led all wideouts with 14 receiving touchdowns while averaging 13.8 points per game, even though he finished 19 points under what the usage predicted. The Rams carry the third-best implied totals into 2026, and the consensus haircuts the touchdowns to 10.2 yet still lands at 188 points, WR18. Half-PPR rooms let him go WR24 around pick 55, six spots under that projection, presumably because the age cliff feels imminent every year until it happens. The bet at this price is narrow and clear, that the target role survives one more season even though the route-winning already hasn't, and given the offense and the red-zone monopoly, WR24 underprices the floor.",
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      "digest": "Davante Adams brings in two TD passes in Week 5 — Adams found the end zone twice in the high-scoring loss on Monday night. He kicked off the scoring for LA with a four-yard grab in the second quarter and later came back to add a five-yard catch for a score. Adams now has 27 catches for 441 yards and four touchdowns through five games for the Rams. He will be a solid WR2 in Week 6 vs. the Cardinals.",
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      "llm_role_change": 0,
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  }
}

Use this source carefully