FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / QB · NO

Tyler Shough

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:40:27.874897+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Tyler Shough QBNO 17.99716.0916.9

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
274
Draft average position
188.7

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
125.9
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
1,721
passing tds
13
interceptions
6
carries
24
rushing yards
111
rushing tds
2
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
90
rushing first downs
10
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
3
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
17.99
Yards per carry
4.6
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
1,832
Yards per game
261.7
touches
24
first downs
10
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
25.9
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-2.8
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
156
Games played
11
Observed through week
18
passing yards
2,384
passing tds
10
interceptions
6
carries
45
rushing yards
186
rushing tds
3
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
107
rushing first downs
12
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
14.18
Yards per carry
4.1
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
2,570
Yards per game
233.6
touches
45
first downs
12
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
33.9
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
2.7
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
99.6
Time to throw (seconds)
2.7
Average depth of pass target (yards)
7.26
pass aggressiveness
16.12
Completion percentage above expectation
0.65
pass air to sticks
-1.93
pass rating
90.93
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
2
pass pressured pct
20.2
pass bad throw pct
16.2
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
83.5
Time to throw (seconds)
2.68
Average depth of pass target (yards)
8.33
pass aggressiveness
12.84
Completion percentage above expectation
1.37
pass air to sticks
-0.65
pass rating
91.33
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
2
pass pressured pct
18.3
pass bad throw pct
22.7
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

The consensus sees a second-year leap coming here, 3,977 passing yards and four rushing scores worth 286 points and QB17, and the market at QB18 near pick 139 has largely bought in. His rookie charting makes the leap a harder sell. Shough's 22.7% bad-throw rate was third worst among charted quarterbacks even though his CPOE graded out average, a split that usually means the completions came on quick, easy throws while the misses were genuine, and the rest of the profile fits that reading, with a bottom-eighth release time and 12th-percentile aggressiveness. He also played just 83.5% of the Saints' offensive snaps, a fifth-percentile share among quarterbacks. The encouraging pieces are a 17.1-point median week when he was producing and three rushing touchdowns in eleven games, the lever his projection quietly leans on. New Orleans sits 23rd in implied team totals, so the offense will not be papering over whatever growth he still has to show.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Tyler Shough playing through hand injury — Saints head coach Kellen Moore was asked directly whether Shough's hand is broken. \"It got banged two weeks ago and he's just wearing some protective layers there,\" he said. It doesn't appear Shough is in danger of missing any time, but he'll need to be monitored on the injury report this week. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-12T18:56:57+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-13T19:00:45.210835+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 0,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": 0.0,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "hand injury; protective layers; danger of missing; injury report; banged two weeks",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-14T09:18:14.884617+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
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    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
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    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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    "name": "Tyler Shough",
    "team": "NO",
    "pos": "QB",
    "age": 27,
    "exp": 1,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 16.9,
    "ros_ppg": 16.09,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "g": 11,
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      "passing_tds": 10.0,
      "interceptions": 6.0,
      "carries": 45.0,
      "rushing_yards": 186.0,
      "rushing_tds": 3.0,
      "targets": 0.0,
      "receptions": 0.0,
      "receiving_yards": 0.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 12.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 2.0,
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      "ppg": 14.18,
      "ypc": 4.1,
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      "ypr": null,
      "catch_pct": null,
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      "pass_time_to_throw": 2.68,
      "pass_adot": 8.33,
      "pass_aggressiveness": 12.84,
      "pass_cpoe": 1.37,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": -0.65,
      "pass_rating": 91.33,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
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      "pass_bad_throw_pct": 22.7,
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    "writeup": "The consensus sees a second-year leap coming here, 3,977 passing yards and four rushing scores worth 286 points and QB17, and the market at QB18 near pick 139 has largely bought in. His rookie charting makes the leap a harder sell. Shough's 22.7% bad-throw rate was third worst among charted quarterbacks even though his CPOE graded out average, a split that usually means the completions came on quick, easy throws while the misses were genuine, and the rest of the profile fits that reading, with a bottom-eighth release time and 12th-percentile aggressiveness. He also played just 83.5% of the Saints' offensive snaps, a fifth-percentile share among quarterbacks. The encouraging pieces are a 17.1-point median week when he was producing and three rushing touchdowns in eleven games, the lever his projection quietly leans on. New Orleans sits 23rd in implied team totals, so the offense will not be papering over whatever growth he still has to show.",
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      "digest": "Tyler Shough playing through hand injury — Saints head coach Kellen Moore was asked directly whether Shough's hand is broken. \"It got banged two weeks ago and he's just wearing some protective layers there,\" he said. It doesn't appear Shough is in danger of missing any time, but he'll need to be monitored on the injury report this week. ",
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Use this source carefully