FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · WAS

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Read as Markdown · JSON · Interactive board

Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:40:55.922110+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RBWAS 8.4855.720

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper projections plus model fallback
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
10
Weeks with provider forecasts
9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
8

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
141
Draft average position
98.3

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
42.4
Games played
5
Observed through week
5
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
67
rushing yards
239
rushing tds
2
targets
7
receptions
5
receiving yards
40
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
15
receiving first downs
1
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
4.6
Fantasy points per game
8.48
Yards per carry
3.6
Yards per target
5.7
Yards per reception
8
Catch rate (%)
71.4
Total yards
279
Yards per game
55.8
touches
72
first downs
16
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
47.2
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-4.8
Opportunity observed through week
5
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
135.8
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
175
rushing yards
805
rushing tds
8
targets
13
receptions
9
receiving yards
68
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
41
receiving first downs
3
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
3
Fantasy points per game
7.99
Yards per carry
4.6
Yards per target
5.2
Yards per reception
7.6
Catch rate (%)
69.2
Total yards
873
Yards per game
51.4
touches
184
first downs
44
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
136.3
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
3.5
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
44.6
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
5.97
rush time to los
2.75
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
-0.45
rush efficiency
4.01
rush pct over expected
0.24
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.18
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.39
rush broken tackles
1
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
39.5
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
28
rush time to los
2.83
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.8
rush efficiency
3.49
rush pct over expected
0.38
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.53
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
2.07
rush broken tackles
13
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

The weekly shape of Croskey-Merritt's season tells you more than the total. His 8.0 points per game came with a median week of 4.6, meaning the typical outing was a dud and the season leaned hard on spikes, with his top two weeks carrying 36 percent of his scoring. The underlying profile explains it: 8 rushing touchdowns (86th percentile) on 175 carries with a healthy 0.79 rush yards over expected per attempt, but only 13 targets all year and two lost fumbles, a 90th-percentile figure the coaching staff surely noticed. Offseason reporting expects him to stay in a committee even while listed first on the depth chart, and the consensus projection agrees with that framing, giving him 182 carries, 7.5 touchdowns, and RB38 points on almost no receiving work. At pick 108 in half-PPR (RB37) the market is paying exactly projection for the spikiest possible version of that projection. He suits managers who can stomach the 1.7-point weeks between the 26-point ones, and will frustrate anyone who needs the median week to count.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Jacory Croskey-Merritt (groin) limited again Thursday — The young running back has been limited at both of Washington's practices to start the week. He's still day-to-day with a groin issue, but it looks like he's trending towards playing through it this week. However, fantasy managers shouldn't have high expectations for him even if he's fully healthy for this matchup against the Giants.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-08T20:37:09+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-09T09:00:23.363460+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": 0.5,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "day to day; limited again; trending towards playing; high expectations; groin issue",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-09T09:06:14.567735+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "ir",
  "exp_miss_next6": 3.440915580938783,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
{
  "schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
  "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12533",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:40:55.922110+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "12533",
    "name": "Jacory Croskey-Merritt",
    "team": "WAS",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 25,
    "exp": 1,
    "injury": "IR",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 5.72,
    "games_left": 10,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 5.7161399914581965,
      "source": "sleeper_future+fallback",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
      "covered_weeks": [
        9,
        10,
        11,
        12,
        13,
        14,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "missing_weeks": [
        8
      ],
      "remaining_games": 10
    },
    "proj": 141,
    "adp": 98.3,
    "adp_pr": 38,
    "ly": {
      "pts": 135.8,
      "g": 17,
      "through_week": 18,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 175.0,
      "rushing_yards": 805.0,
      "rushing_tds": 8.0,
      "targets": 13.0,
      "receptions": 9.0,
      "receiving_yards": 68.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 41.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 3.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 2.0,
      "tgt_share": 3.0,
      "ppg": 7.99,
      "ypc": 4.6,
      "ypt": 5.2,
      "ypr": 7.6,
      "catch_pct": 69.2,
      "total_yd": 873.0,
      "ypg": 51.4,
      "touches": 184.0,
      "first_downs": 44.0,
      "xfp": 136.3,
      "xfp_diff": 3.5,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 39.5,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 28.0,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.83,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.8,
      "rush_efficiency": 3.49,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.38,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 0.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 2.53,
      "rush_yac_att": 2.07,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 13.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 0.0
    },
    "ytd": {
      "pts": 42.4,
      "g": 5,
      "through_week": 5,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 67.0,
      "rushing_yards": 239.0,
      "rushing_tds": 2.0,
      "targets": 7.0,
      "receptions": 5.0,
      "receiving_yards": 40.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 15.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 1.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 4.6,
      "ppg": 8.48,
      "ypc": 3.6,
      "ypt": 5.7,
      "ypr": 8.0,
      "catch_pct": 71.4,
      "total_yd": 279.0,
      "ypg": 55.8,
      "touches": 72.0,
      "first_downs": 16.0,
      "xfp": 47.2,
      "xfp_diff": -4.8,
      "xfp_through_week": 5,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv_ytd": {
      "snap_pct": 44.6,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 5.97,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.75,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.45,
      "rush_efficiency": 4.01,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.24,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 0.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 2.18,
      "rush_yac_att": 1.39,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 1.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 0.0
    }
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "12533",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T01:40:55.925051+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "current",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "The weekly shape of Croskey-Merritt's season tells you more than the total. His 8.0 points per game came with a median week of 4.6, meaning the typical outing was a dud and the season leaned hard on spikes, with his top two weeks carrying 36 percent of his scoring. The underlying profile explains it: 8 rushing touchdowns (86th percentile) on 175 carries with a healthy 0.79 rush yards over expected per attempt, but only 13 targets all year and two lost fumbles, a 90th-percentile figure the coaching staff surely noticed. Offseason reporting expects him to stay in a committee even while listed first on the depth chart, and the consensus projection agrees with that framing, giving him 182 carries, 7.5 touchdowns, and RB38 points on almost no receiving work. At pick 108 in half-PPR (RB37) the market is paying exactly projection for the spikiest possible version of that projection. He suits managers who can stomach the 1.7-point weeks between the 26-point ones, and will frustrate anyone who needs the median week to count.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Jacory Croskey-Merritt (groin) limited again Thursday — The young running back has been limited at both of Washington's practices to start the week. He's still day-to-day with a groin issue, but it looks like he's trending towards playing through it this week. However, fantasy managers shouldn't have high expectations for him even if he's fully healthy for this matchup against the Giants.",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-08T20:37:09+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-09T09:00:23.363460+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": -1,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
      "llm_severity": 1,
      "llm_weeks_out": 0.5,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "day to day; limited again; trending towards playing; high expectations; groin issue",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-09T09:06:14.567735+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": {
      "status": "ir",
      "exp_miss_next6": 3.440915580938783,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    },
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
      "status": "ir",
      "exp_miss_next6": 3.440915580938783,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    }
  }
}

Use this source carefully