FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · NE

TreVeyon Henderson

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:40:57.430212+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
TreVeyon Henderson RBNE 5.2266.683.2

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper projections plus model fallback
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
8

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
175
Draft average position
55

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
31.3
Games played
6
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
52
rushing yards
203
rushing tds
1
targets
7
receptions
5
receiving yards
45
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
8
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
3.9
Fantasy points per game
5.22
Yards per carry
3.9
Yards per target
6.4
Yards per reception
9
Catch rate (%)
71.4
Total yards
248
Yards per game
41.3
touches
57
first downs
8
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
34.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-1.4
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
188.7
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
180
rushing yards
911
rushing tds
9
targets
42
receptions
35
receiving yards
221
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
46
receiving first downs
7
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
8.7
Fantasy points per game
11.1
Yards per carry
5.1
Yards per target
5.3
Yards per reception
6.3
Catch rate (%)
83.3
Total yards
1,132
Yards per game
66.6
touches
215
first downs
53
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
164.2
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
26.5
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
33
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
17.31
rush time to los
2.85
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
-0
rush efficiency
3.86
rush pct over expected
0.33
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.27
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.63
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
45.9
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
31.11
rush time to los
2.92
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.83
rush efficiency
3.49
rush pct over expected
0.39
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
4
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.81
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.89
rush broken tackles
11
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
4.8

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

A fourth-round pick on Henderson is a bet on a role that never existed last season. The rookie year was efficient, 5.1 yards per carry in the 89th percentile with rush yards over expected in the low 80s, and his 188.7 points beat what his usage alone would predict by 24.5, a 90th-percentile overperformance. He produced it on a 46 percent snap share with a weekly median of just 8.2 points, and the scoring leaned on nine rushing touchdowns from only 180 carries. The projection sees the crowding clearly, slotting him RB24 at 183 points, while the market takes him RB20 at an ADP of 41. Rhamondre Stevenson remains in the same backfield, and Stevenson's own efficiency numbers were arguably stronger. Paying this price means paying above projection for a spike-week runner whose output already ran 15 percent hot against his opportunity, in a rotation New England showed no urgency to consolidate across seventeen games. The talent case is easy to assemble from the per-touch numbers, but the workload case has no 2025 evidence behind it, and the ADP quietly requires both.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "TreVeyon Henderson (illness) ruled out for Week 8 — Henderson will sit out while continuing to battle an illness that kept the running back from practicing throughout the week for head coach Mike Vrabel. Rhamondre Stevenson will receive as many touches as he can handle out of the backfield against the Dolphins Sunday.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-31T17:09:51+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": 1.0,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "ruled out week 8; battle illness; kept from practicing; stevenson will receive touches",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": -1,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:16:46.113900+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "out",
  "exp_miss_next6": 3.4987386934308384,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
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    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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    "name": "TreVeyon Henderson",
    "team": "NE",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 24,
    "exp": 1,
    "injury": "Out",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 3.2,
    "ros_ppg": 6.68,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "carries": 180.0,
      "rushing_yards": 911.0,
      "rushing_tds": 9.0,
      "targets": 42.0,
      "receptions": 35.0,
      "receiving_yards": 221.0,
      "receiving_tds": 1.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 46.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 7.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
      "tgt_share": 8.7,
      "ppg": 11.1,
      "ypc": 5.1,
      "ypt": 5.3,
      "ypr": 6.3,
      "catch_pct": 83.3,
      "total_yd": 1132.0,
      "ypg": 66.6,
      "touches": 215.0,
      "first_downs": 53.0,
      "xfp": 164.2,
      "xfp_diff": 26.5,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
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      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 31.11,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.92,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.83,
      "rush_efficiency": 3.49,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.39,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 2.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 4.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 2.81,
      "rush_yac_att": 1.89,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 11.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
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      "receiving_yards": 45.0,
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      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 17.31,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.85,
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      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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    "writeup": "A fourth-round pick on Henderson is a bet on a role that never existed last season. The rookie year was efficient, 5.1 yards per carry in the 89th percentile with rush yards over expected in the low 80s, and his 188.7 points beat what his usage alone would predict by 24.5, a 90th-percentile overperformance. He produced it on a 46 percent snap share with a weekly median of just 8.2 points, and the scoring leaned on nine rushing touchdowns from only 180 carries. The projection sees the crowding clearly, slotting him RB24 at 183 points, while the market takes him RB20 at an ADP of 41. Rhamondre Stevenson remains in the same backfield, and Stevenson's own efficiency numbers were arguably stronger. Paying this price means paying above projection for a spike-week runner whose output already ran 15 percent hot against his opportunity, in a rotation New England showed no urgency to consolidate across seventeen games. The talent case is easy to assemble from the per-touch numbers, but the workload case has no 2025 evidence behind it, and the ADP quietly requires both.",
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}

Use this source carefully