# TreVeyon Henderson — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12529 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12529", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:31:10.092903+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "12529", "name": "TreVeyon Henderson", "team": "NE", "pos": "RB", "age": 24, "exp": 1, "injury": "Out", "rookie": false, "value": 3.2, "ros_ppg": 6.68, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 6.6833309554576665, "source": "sleeper_future+fallback", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [ 8 ], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 175, "adp": 55.0, "adp_pr": 24, "ly": { "pts": 188.7, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 180.0, "rushing_yards": 911.0, "rushing_tds": 9.0, "targets": 42.0, "receptions": 35.0, "receiving_yards": 221.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 46.0, "receiving_first_downs": 7.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 8.7, "ppg": 11.1, "ypc": 5.1, "ypt": 5.3, "ypr": 6.3, "catch_pct": 83.3, "total_yd": 1132.0, "ypg": 66.6, "touches": 215.0, "first_downs": 53.0, "xfp": 164.2, "xfp_diff": 26.5, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 45.9, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 31.11, "rush_time_to_los": 2.92, "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.83, "rush_efficiency": 3.49, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.39, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 2.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 4.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.81, "rush_yac_att": 1.89, "rush_broken_tackles": 11.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 4.8 }, "ytd": { "pts": 31.3, "g": 6, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 52.0, "rushing_yards": 203.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 7.0, "receptions": 5.0, "receiving_yards": 45.0, "receiving_tds": 0.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 8.0, "receiving_first_downs": 0.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 3.9, "ppg": 5.22, "ypc": 3.9, "ypt": 6.4, "ypr": 9.0, "catch_pct": 71.4, "total_yd": 248.0, "ypg": 41.3, "touches": 57.0, "first_downs": 8.0, "xfp": 34.7, "xfp_diff": -1.4, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 33.0, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 17.31, "rush_time_to_los": 2.85, "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.0, "rush_efficiency": 3.86, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.33, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0, "rush_ybc_att": 2.27, "rush_yac_att": 1.63, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "12529", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:31:10.097283+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "A fourth-round pick on Henderson is a bet on a role that never existed last season. The rookie year was efficient, 5.1 yards per carry in the 89th percentile with rush yards over expected in the low 80s, and his 188.7 points beat what his usage alone would predict by 24.5, a 90th-percentile overperformance. He produced it on a 46 percent snap share with a weekly median of just 8.2 points, and the scoring leaned on nine rushing touchdowns from only 180 carries. The projection sees the crowding clearly, slotting him RB24 at 183 points, while the market takes him RB20 at an ADP of 41. Rhamondre Stevenson remains in the same backfield, and Stevenson's own efficiency numbers were arguably stronger. Paying this price means paying above projection for a spike-week runner whose output already ran 15 percent hot against his opportunity, in a rotation New England showed no urgency to consolidate across seventeen games. The talent case is easy to assemble from the per-touch numbers, but the workload case has no 2025 evidence behind it, and the ADP quietly requires both.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "TreVeyon Henderson (illness) ruled out for Week 8 — Henderson will sit out while continuing to battle an illness that kept the running back from practicing throughout the week for head coach Mike Vrabel. Rhamondre Stevenson will receive as many touches as he can handle out of the backfield against the Dolphins Sunday.", "latest_at": "2026-10-31T17:09:51+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 1, "llm_weeks_out": 1.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "ruled out week 8; battle illness; kept from practicing; stevenson will receive touches", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": -1, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:16:46.113900+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "out", "exp_miss_next6": 3.4987386934308384, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "out", "exp_miss_next6": 3.4987386934308384, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```