FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / WR · GB

Matthew Golden

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:40:45.294918+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Matthew Golden WRGB 13.5811.6532.9

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
8
Weeks with provider forecasts
9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
137
Draft average position
120.7

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
108
Games played
8
Observed through week
8
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
1
rushing yards
6
rushing tds
0
targets
82
receptions
43
receiving yards
619
receiving tds
4
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
28
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
27.2
Fantasy points per game
13.5
Yards per carry
6
Yards per target
7.5
Yards per reception
14.4
Catch rate (%)
52.4
Total yards
625
Yards per game
78.1
touches
44
first downs
28
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
131.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-23.7
Opportunity observed through week
8
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
55.5
Games played
14
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
10
rushing yards
49
rushing tds
0
targets
44
receptions
29
receiving yards
361
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
3
receiving first downs
16
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
11.7
Fantasy points per game
3.96
Yards per carry
4.9
Yards per target
8.2
Yards per reception
12.4
Catch rate (%)
65.9
Total yards
410
Yards per game
29.3
touches
39
first downs
19
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
64.9
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-9.4
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
83.8
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.71
rec avg cushion
6.18
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
14.6
rec air share
41.91
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.5
rec catch pct
52.44
rec drops
6
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
7.3

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
53.2
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
1
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
2.3

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Golden's rookie year produced 4.0 points per game, a 2.2-point median week, and zero receiving touchdowns on 44 targets, about as quiet as a first-round pedigree gets. The interesting wrinkles were on the ground, where ten carries and 49 rushing yards both landed above the 90th percentile for receivers, a hint that Green Bay wanted the ball in his hands even while the passing role stalled. He underperformed even his modest expected points by 9.4. Despite all of that, the consensus projects 128 points and WR55, more than double his rookie output, and the half-PPR market broadly agrees at ADP 132. Standard leagues are the exception, letting him fall to WR63 against that WR55 projection, so that's the format where a real discount exists. A 22-year-old in an offense Vegas ranks 11th by implied points is the right shape for a leap, and his own 2025 usage is the main argument for skepticism.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Matthew Golden (toe) returns to practice Tuesday  — Golden makes his way back after missing a few days of practice. He was spotted running with the Green Bay first team offense on Tuesday.",
  "latest_at": "2026-08-11T17:12:40+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-13T10:00:03.220870+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": 0.0,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "returns to practice; missed a few days; spotted running; first team offense; toe injury",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-08-13T10:01:50.728857+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "value": 32.9,
    "ros_ppg": 11.65,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 3.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 16.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
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      "ppg": 3.96,
      "ypc": 4.9,
      "ypt": 8.2,
      "ypr": 12.4,
      "catch_pct": 65.9,
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      "ypg": 29.3,
      "touches": 39.0,
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      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
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      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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Use this source carefully