{"schema_version":"public-sources.v1","canonical_url":"https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12501","retrieved_at":"2026-11-01T02:29:18.570318+00:00","season":2026,"week":8,"last_season":2025,"fmt":"half","teams":12,"qb":1,"mode":"inseason","data_version":"board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8","model_version":"trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1","generated_at":"2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00","freshness":{"status":"partial","expected_season":2026,"served_season":2026,"expected_week":8,"warnings":[],"sources":{"outcomes":{"status":"ready","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","completed_through_week":7},"season_projection":{"status":"preseason_prior","captured_at":null},"draft_adp":{"status":"preseason_context","captured_at":null},"advanced_stats":{"status":"coverage_not_verified","captured_at":null}},"note":"Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."},"outcome_readiness":{"completed_week":7,"fresh":true,"checked_at":"2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00","status":"ready"},"valuation_context":{"phase":"sleeper_future_with_model_fallback","fallback_phase":"in_season_blend","fallback_outcomes_through_week":7,"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible":true,"advanced_stats_priced":false,"injury_outlook":"annotation_only","remaining_games_policy":"exclude_started_games"},"value_locked":null,"ytd_through_week":8,"ytd_complete_through_week":7,"sources":[{"name":"FootballQuants public Player Research board","url":"https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"}],"limitations":["Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.","generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.","Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.","Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.","League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."],"metric_definitions":{"proj":"Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.","adp":"Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.","ytd.ppg":"Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.","tgt_share":"Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.","ros_ppg":"Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.","projection":"Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.","value":"Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.","xfp":"Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.","xfp_diff":"Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."},"access":{"public":true,"pro_url":"https://footballquants.com/app","connect_url":"https://footballquants.com/connect"},"player":{"sleeper_id":"12501","name":"Matthew Golden","team":"GB","pos":"WR","age":23,"exp":1,"injury":null,"rookie":false,"value":32.9,"ros_ppg":11.65,"games_left":8,"projection":{"ros_ppg":11.645625,"source":"sleeper_future","captured_at":"2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00","covered_weeks":[9,10,12,13,14,15,16,17],"missing_weeks":[],"remaining_games":8},"proj":137,"adp":120.7,"adp_pr":50,"ly":{"pts":55.5,"g":14,"through_week":18,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":10.0,"rushing_yards":49.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":44.0,"receptions":29.0,"receiving_yards":361.0,"receiving_tds":0.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":3.0,"receiving_first_downs":16.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":11.7,"ppg":3.96,"ypc":4.9,"ypt":8.2,"ypr":12.4,"catch_pct":65.9,"total_yd":410.0,"ypg":29.3,"touches":39.0,"first_downs":19.0,"xfp":64.9,"xfp_diff":-9.4,"xfp_through_week":18,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv":{"snap_pct":53.2,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":null,"rec_avg_cushion":null,"rec_adot":null,"rec_air_share":null,"rec_yac_above_exp":null,"rec_catch_pct":null,"rec_drops":1.0,"rec_broken_tackles":1.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":1.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":2.3},"ytd":{"pts":108.0,"g":8,"through_week":8,"passing_yards":0.0,"passing_tds":0.0,"interceptions":0.0,"carries":1.0,"rushing_yards":6.0,"rushing_tds":0.0,"targets":82.0,"receptions":43.0,"receiving_yards":619.0,"receiving_tds":4.0,"passing_first_downs":0.0,"rushing_first_downs":0.0,"receiving_first_downs":28.0,"fumbles_lost":0.0,"tgt_share":27.2,"ppg":13.5,"ypc":6.0,"ypt":7.5,"ypr":14.4,"catch_pct":52.4,"total_yd":625.0,"ypg":78.1,"touches":44.0,"first_downs":28.0,"xfp":131.7,"xfp_diff":-23.7,"xfp_through_week":8,"xfp_coverage":"complete"},"adv_ytd":{"snap_pct":83.8,"pass_time_to_throw":null,"pass_adot":null,"pass_aggressiveness":null,"pass_cpoe":null,"pass_air_to_sticks":null,"pass_rating":null,"rush_stacked_box_pct":null,"rush_time_to_los":null,"rush_ryoe_per_att":null,"rush_efficiency":null,"rush_pct_over_expected":null,"rec_avg_separation":2.71,"rec_avg_cushion":6.18,"rec_adot":14.6,"rec_air_share":41.91,"rec_yac_above_exp":0.5,"rec_catch_pct":52.44,"rec_drops":6.0,"rec_broken_tackles":0.0,"rush_ybc_att":null,"rush_yac_att":null,"rush_broken_tackles":0.0,"pass_pressured_pct":null,"pass_bad_throw_pct":null,"rec_drop_pct":7.3}},"profile":{"sleeper_id":"12501","season":2026,"as_of":"2026-11-01T02:29:18.586717+00:00","freshness":{"writeup":"preseason_context","news":"stale","news_inference":"current","injury_outlook":"stale","note":"Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."},"writeup":"Golden's rookie year produced 4.0 points per game, a 2.2-point median week, and zero receiving touchdowns on 44 targets, about as quiet as a first-round pedigree gets. The interesting wrinkles were on the ground, where ten carries and 49 rushing yards both landed above the 90th percentile for receivers, a hint that Green Bay wanted the ball in his hands even while the passing role stalled. He underperformed even his modest expected points by 9.4. Despite all of that, the consensus projects 128 points and WR55, more than double his rookie output, and the half-PPR market broadly agrees at ADP 132. Standard leagues are the exception, letting him fall to WR63 against that WR55 projection, so that's the format where a real discount exists. A 22-year-old in an offense Vegas ranks 11th by implied points is the right shape for a leap, and his own 2025 usage is the main argument for skepticism.","writeup_generated_at":"2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00","news":{"digest":"Matthew Golden (toe) returns to practice Tuesday  — Golden makes his way back after missing a few days of practice. He was spotted running with the Green Bay first team offense on Tuesday.","latest_at":"2026-08-11T17:12:40+00:00","updated_at":"2026-08-13T10:00:03.220870+00:00","llm_sentiment":1,"llm_injury_trajectory":1,"llm_severity":1,"llm_weeks_out":0.0,"llm_offfield_risk":0,"llm_key_phrases":"returns to practice; missed a few days; spotted running; first team offense; toe injury","llm_role_change":0,"llm_usage_outlook":1,"llm_team_context":0,"llm_relevance":0.9,"llm_inferred_at":"2026-08-13T10:01:50.728857+00:00","llm_model":"gpt-oss-120b","inference_status":"current"},"injury_outlook":null,"injury_outlook_last_captured":{"status":"questionable","exp_miss_next6":null,"as_of":"2026-08-11","source":"curves-v1"}}}