FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · DEN

RJ Harvey

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:38.017059+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
RJ Harvey RBDEN 9.1567.5911.3

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper projections plus model fallback
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
8

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
140
Draft average position
82.2

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
54.9
Games played
6
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
24
rushing yards
87
rushing tds
1
targets
28
receptions
25
receiving yards
217
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
6
receiving first downs
6
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
16.8
Fantasy points per game
9.15
Yards per carry
3.6
Yards per target
7.8
Yards per reception
8.7
Catch rate (%)
89.3
Total yards
304
Yards per game
50.7
touches
49
first downs
12
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
45
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
9.9
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
183.1
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
146
rushing yards
540
rushing tds
7
targets
58
receptions
47
receiving yards
356
receiving tds
5
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
29
receiving first downs
18
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
9.9
Fantasy points per game
10.77
Yards per carry
3.7
Yards per target
6.1
Yards per reception
7.6
Catch rate (%)
81
Total yards
896
Yards per game
52.7
touches
193
first downs
47
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
171.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
13.4
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
39
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
2
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
42.1
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
32.88
rush time to los
3.08
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
-0.63
rush efficiency
4.85
rush pct over expected
0.32
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
7
rec broken tackles
9
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
1.81
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.81
rush broken tackles
11
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
12.1

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Denver's usage split turned Harvey into two different players last year. The receiving work was legitimately good, 58 targets, 47 catches, and 5 receiving touchdowns, all top-ten marks at the position, and he beat his expected points by 11.4 on the strength of it. Hand him the ball, though, and the numbers turn rough from every angle: 3.7 yards per carry, minus 0.64 rush yards over expected per attempt (5th percentile), and identical 1.81-yard splits before and after contact, meaning neither the blocking nor the running was bailing out the other. His rush-path efficiency of 4.85 was the most east-west figure among qualified backs, partly explained by an 89th-percentile stacked-box rate. Layer on the worst drop rate among qualified RB receivers at 12.1 percent and an offseason labrum surgery he was still working back from in June 7-on-7s, and the standard-league market taking him at pick 40 as RB21 is paying for a leap the consensus projection, which has him RB33, does not see. Half-PPR drafters get him nearly three rounds later, and that price fits the pass-catching profile far better than the standard one does.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "RJ Harvey (knee) placed on short-term IR — Harvey sustained a knee injury at practice earlier this week. He will now be forced to miss at least the next four games. JK Dobbins and Jonah Coleman could see more touches as a result. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-31T20:27:21+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
  "llm_severity": 2,
  "llm_weeks_out": 4.0,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "placed on short-term ir; miss at least four games; knee injury; more touches",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:13:21.761735+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Stored injury context

{
  "status": "ir",
  "exp_miss_next6": 3.4987386934308384,
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "source": "curves-v1"
}
Complete source evidence
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      "draft_adp": {
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  "outcome_readiness": {
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  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
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    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
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    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
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  "player": {
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    "name": "RJ Harvey",
    "team": "DEN",
    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 25,
    "exp": 1,
    "injury": "IR",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 11.3,
    "ros_ppg": 7.59,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 7.589211217318605,
      "source": "sleeper_future+fallback",
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      "covered_weeks": [
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    "proj": 140,
    "adp": 82.2,
    "adp_pr": 31,
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      "g": 17,
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      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 146.0,
      "rushing_yards": 540.0,
      "rushing_tds": 7.0,
      "targets": 58.0,
      "receptions": 47.0,
      "receiving_yards": 356.0,
      "receiving_tds": 5.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 29.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 18.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
      "tgt_share": 9.9,
      "ppg": 10.77,
      "ypc": 3.7,
      "ypt": 6.1,
      "ypr": 7.6,
      "catch_pct": 81.0,
      "total_yd": 896.0,
      "ypg": 52.7,
      "touches": 193.0,
      "first_downs": 47.0,
      "xfp": 171.7,
      "xfp_diff": 13.4,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 42.1,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 32.88,
      "rush_time_to_los": 3.08,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.63,
      "rush_efficiency": 4.85,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.32,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 7.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 9.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 1.81,
      "rush_yac_att": 1.81,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 11.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 12.1
    },
    "ytd": {
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      "carries": 24.0,
      "rushing_yards": 87.0,
      "rushing_tds": 1.0,
      "targets": 28.0,
      "receptions": 25.0,
      "receiving_yards": 217.0,
      "receiving_tds": 1.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 6.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 6.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
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      "ppg": 9.15,
      "ypc": 3.6,
      "ypt": 7.8,
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      "catch_pct": 89.3,
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    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
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      "news_inference": "current",
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    },
    "writeup": "Denver's usage split turned Harvey into two different players last year. The receiving work was legitimately good, 58 targets, 47 catches, and 5 receiving touchdowns, all top-ten marks at the position, and he beat his expected points by 11.4 on the strength of it. Hand him the ball, though, and the numbers turn rough from every angle: 3.7 yards per carry, minus 0.64 rush yards over expected per attempt (5th percentile), and identical 1.81-yard splits before and after contact, meaning neither the blocking nor the running was bailing out the other. His rush-path efficiency of 4.85 was the most east-west figure among qualified backs, partly explained by an 89th-percentile stacked-box rate. Layer on the worst drop rate among qualified RB receivers at 12.1 percent and an offseason labrum surgery he was still working back from in June 7-on-7s, and the standard-league market taking him at pick 40 as RB21 is paying for a leap the consensus projection, which has him RB33, does not see. Half-PPR drafters get him nearly three rounds later, and that price fits the pass-catching profile far better than the standard one does.",
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      "digest": "RJ Harvey (knee) placed on short-term IR — Harvey sustained a knee injury at practice earlier this week. He will now be forced to miss at least the next four games. JK Dobbins and Jonah Coleman could see more touches as a result. ",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-31T20:27:21+00:00",
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      "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
      "llm_severity": 2,
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      "llm_role_change": 0,
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  }
}

Use this source carefully