# RJ Harvey — FootballQuants player source Canonical source: https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12489 Use the season, week, scoring, freshness and limitations below when citing this source. Model estimates are not observed outcomes. ```json { "schema_version": "public-sources.v1", "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/12489", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T02:29:35.122257+00:00", "season": 2026, "week": 8, "last_season": 2025, "fmt": "half", "teams": 12, "qb": 1, "mode": "inseason", "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8", "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1", "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00", "freshness": { "status": "partial", "expected_season": 2026, "served_season": 2026, "expected_week": 8, "warnings": [], "sources": { "outcomes": { "status": "ready", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "completed_through_week": 7 }, "season_projection": { "status": "preseason_prior", "captured_at": null }, "draft_adp": { "status": "preseason_context", "captured_at": null }, "advanced_stats": { "status": "coverage_not_verified", "captured_at": null } }, "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt." }, "outcome_readiness": { "completed_week": 7, "fresh": true, "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00", "status": "ready" }, "valuation_context": { "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback", "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend", "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7, "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true, "advanced_stats_priced": false, "injury_outlook": "annotation_only", "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games" }, "value_locked": null, "ytd_through_week": 8, "ytd_complete_through_week": 7, "sources": [ { "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board", "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board" } ], "limitations": [ "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.", "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.", "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.", "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.", "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring." ], "metric_definitions": { "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.", "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.", "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.", "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.", "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.", "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.", "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.", "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.", "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression." }, "access": { "public": true, "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app", "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect" }, "player": { "sleeper_id": "12489", "name": "RJ Harvey", "team": "DEN", "pos": "RB", "age": 25, "exp": 1, "injury": "IR", "rookie": false, "value": 11.3, "ros_ppg": 7.59, "games_left": 9, "projection": { "ros_ppg": 7.589211217318605, "source": "sleeper_future+fallback", "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00", "covered_weeks": [ 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 ], "missing_weeks": [ 8 ], "remaining_games": 9 }, "proj": 140, "adp": 82.2, "adp_pr": 31, "ly": { "pts": 183.1, "g": 17, "through_week": 18, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 146.0, "rushing_yards": 540.0, "rushing_tds": 7.0, "targets": 58.0, "receptions": 47.0, "receiving_yards": 356.0, "receiving_tds": 5.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 29.0, "receiving_first_downs": 18.0, "fumbles_lost": 1.0, "tgt_share": 9.9, "ppg": 10.77, "ypc": 3.7, "ypt": 6.1, "ypr": 7.6, "catch_pct": 81.0, "total_yd": 896.0, "ypg": 52.7, "touches": 193.0, "first_downs": 47.0, "xfp": 171.7, "xfp_diff": 13.4, "xfp_through_week": 18, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv": { "snap_pct": 42.1, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": 32.88, "rush_time_to_los": 3.08, "rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.63, "rush_efficiency": 4.85, "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.32, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 7.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 9.0, "rush_ybc_att": 1.81, "rush_yac_att": 1.81, "rush_broken_tackles": 11.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 12.1 }, "ytd": { "pts": 54.9, "g": 6, "through_week": 7, "passing_yards": 0.0, "passing_tds": 0.0, "interceptions": 0.0, "carries": 24.0, "rushing_yards": 87.0, "rushing_tds": 1.0, "targets": 28.0, "receptions": 25.0, "receiving_yards": 217.0, "receiving_tds": 1.0, "passing_first_downs": 0.0, "rushing_first_downs": 6.0, "receiving_first_downs": 6.0, "fumbles_lost": 0.0, "tgt_share": 16.8, "ppg": 9.15, "ypc": 3.6, "ypt": 7.8, "ypr": 8.7, "catch_pct": 89.3, "total_yd": 304.0, "ypg": 50.7, "touches": 49.0, "first_downs": 12.0, "xfp": 45.0, "xfp_diff": 9.9, "xfp_through_week": 7, "xfp_coverage": "complete" }, "adv_ytd": { "snap_pct": 39.0, "pass_time_to_throw": null, "pass_adot": null, "pass_aggressiveness": null, "pass_cpoe": null, "pass_air_to_sticks": null, "pass_rating": null, "rush_stacked_box_pct": null, "rush_time_to_los": null, "rush_ryoe_per_att": null, "rush_efficiency": null, "rush_pct_over_expected": null, "rec_avg_separation": null, "rec_avg_cushion": null, "rec_adot": null, "rec_air_share": null, "rec_yac_above_exp": null, "rec_catch_pct": null, "rec_drops": 0.0, "rec_broken_tackles": 2.0, "rush_ybc_att": null, "rush_yac_att": null, "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0, "pass_pressured_pct": null, "pass_bad_throw_pct": null, "rec_drop_pct": 0.0 } }, "profile": { "sleeper_id": "12489", "season": 2026, "as_of": "2026-11-01T02:29:35.148388+00:00", "freshness": { "writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report." }, "writeup": "Denver's usage split turned Harvey into two different players last year. The receiving work was legitimately good, 58 targets, 47 catches, and 5 receiving touchdowns, all top-ten marks at the position, and he beat his expected points by 11.4 on the strength of it. Hand him the ball, though, and the numbers turn rough from every angle: 3.7 yards per carry, minus 0.64 rush yards over expected per attempt (5th percentile), and identical 1.81-yard splits before and after contact, meaning neither the blocking nor the running was bailing out the other. His rush-path efficiency of 4.85 was the most east-west figure among qualified backs, partly explained by an 89th-percentile stacked-box rate. Layer on the worst drop rate among qualified RB receivers at 12.1 percent and an offseason labrum surgery he was still working back from in June 7-on-7s, and the standard-league market taking him at pick 40 as RB21 is paying for a leap the consensus projection, which has him RB33, does not see. Half-PPR drafters get him nearly three rounds later, and that price fits the pass-catching profile far better than the standard one does.", "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00", "news": { "digest": "RJ Harvey (knee) placed on short-term IR — Harvey sustained a knee injury at practice earlier this week. He will now be forced to miss at least the next four games. JK Dobbins and Jonah Coleman could see more touches as a result. ", "latest_at": "2026-10-31T20:27:21+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00", "llm_sentiment": -1, "llm_injury_trajectory": -1, "llm_severity": 2, "llm_weeks_out": 4.0, "llm_offfield_risk": 0, "llm_key_phrases": "placed on short-term ir; miss at least four games; knee injury; more touches", "llm_role_change": 0, "llm_usage_outlook": -1, "llm_team_context": 0, "llm_relevance": 0.9, "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:13:21.761735+00:00", "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b", "inference_status": "current" }, "injury_outlook": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 3.4987386934308384, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" }, "injury_outlook_last_captured": { "status": "ir", "exp_miss_next6": 3.4987386934308384, "as_of": "2026-10-31", "source": "curves-v1" } } } ```