Player sourcebook / RB · HOU
Woody Marks
Read as Markdown · JSON · Interactive board
- Season / week
- 2026 / 8
- Scoring
- HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
- Source freshness
- partial
- Observed season stats
- Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.
Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.
- outcomes
- ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7 - season projection
- preseason prior
Captured Unknown - draft adp
- preseason context
Captured Unknown - advanced stats
- coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details
Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.
Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1
Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8
Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:25.446546+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.
Scroll the table to see every column.
| Player | Pos | Team | Observed points/game | Games played | Estimated future points/game | Trade value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 7.93 | 7 | 7.88 | 13.9 |
Future projection context
These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.
- Forecast source
- Captured Sleeper future projections
- Forecast captured
- 2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
- Unstarted games through Week 17
- 9
- Weeks with provider forecasts
- 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
- Weeks using model fallback
- None recorded
Draft context
Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.
- Full-season preseason projection
- 114
- Draft average position
- 141.4
Observed production
Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.
This season
- Fantasy points
- 55.5
- Games played
- 7
- Observed through week
- 7
- passing yards
- 0
- passing tds
- 0
- interceptions
- 0
- carries
- 77
- rushing yards
- 271
- rushing tds
- 2
- targets
- 17
- receptions
- 14
- receiving yards
- 94
- receiving tds
- 0
- passing first downs
- 0
- rushing first downs
- 15
- receiving first downs
- 4
- fumbles lost
- 0
- Target share in observed games (%)
- 7.4
- Fantasy points per game
- 7.93
- Yards per carry
- 3.5
- Yards per target
- 5.5
- Yards per reception
- 6.7
- Catch rate (%)
- 82.4
- Total yards
- 365
- Yards per game
- 52.1
- touches
- 91
- first downs
- 19
- Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- 66.5
- Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- -11
- Opportunity observed through week
- 7
- Opportunity coverage
- complete
Previous season
- Fantasy points
- 133.1
- Games played
- 16
- Observed through week
- 18
- passing yards
- 0
- passing tds
- 0
- interceptions
- 0
- carries
- 196
- rushing yards
- 703
- rushing tds
- 2
- targets
- 36
- receptions
- 24
- receiving yards
- 208
- receiving tds
- 3
- passing first downs
- 0
- rushing first downs
- 41
- receiving first downs
- 7
- fumbles lost
- 0
- Target share in observed games (%)
- 6.9
- Fantasy points per game
- 8.32
- Yards per carry
- 3.6
- Yards per target
- 5.8
- Yards per reception
- 8.7
- Catch rate (%)
- 66.7
- Total yards
- 911
- Yards per game
- 56.9
- touches
- 220
- first downs
- 48
- Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- 169.8
- Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
- -36.7
- Opportunity observed through week
- 18
- Opportunity coverage
- complete
This season: advanced statistics
- Snap share (%)
- 61.7
- Time to throw (seconds)
- Unavailable
- Average depth of pass target (yards)
- Unavailable
- pass aggressiveness
- Unavailable
- Completion percentage above expectation
- Unavailable
- pass air to sticks
- Unavailable
- pass rating
- Unavailable
- rush stacked box pct
- 28.57
- rush time to los
- 2.72
- Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
- -0.44
- rush efficiency
- 4.34
- rush pct over expected
- 0.34
- rec avg separation
- Unavailable
- rec avg cushion
- Unavailable
- Average depth of receiving target (yards)
- Unavailable
- rec air share
- Unavailable
- Receiving yards after catch above expectation
- Unavailable
- rec catch pct
- Unavailable
- rec drops
- 0
- rec broken tackles
- 0
- Rushing yards before contact per attempt
- 2.09
- Rushing yards after contact per attempt
- 1.43
- rush broken tackles
- 5
- pass pressured pct
- Unavailable
- pass bad throw pct
- Unavailable
- rec drop pct
- 0
Previous season: advanced statistics
- Snap share (%)
- 51.5
- Time to throw (seconds)
- Unavailable
- Average depth of pass target (yards)
- Unavailable
- pass aggressiveness
- Unavailable
- Completion percentage above expectation
- Unavailable
- pass air to sticks
- Unavailable
- pass rating
- Unavailable
- rush stacked box pct
- 27.55
- rush time to los
- 2.79
- Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
- 0.12
- rush efficiency
- 4.13
- rush pct over expected
- 0.42
- rec avg separation
- Unavailable
- rec avg cushion
- Unavailable
- Average depth of receiving target (yards)
- Unavailable
- rec air share
- Unavailable
- Receiving yards after catch above expectation
- Unavailable
- rec catch pct
- Unavailable
- rec drops
- 2
- rec broken tackles
- 3
- Rushing yards before contact per attempt
- 1.85
- Rushing yards after contact per attempt
- 1.79
- rush broken tackles
- 8
- pass pressured pct
- Unavailable
- pass bad throw pct
- Unavailable
- rec drop pct
- 5.6
Player narrative and news
Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.
Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00
Latest stored news context
{
"digest": "Woody Marks will 'carry the load' for Texans with Montgomery out — Marks had 19 touches on Sunday and he operated as the Texans lead back in 2025, so this is nothing new to him. He's not overly dynamic, despite the coachspeak, but he can get it done for fantasy thanks to volume. He's a low-end RB2, high-end RB3 with the backfield to himself.",
"latest_at": "2026-10-12T16:33:32+00:00",
"updated_at": "2026-10-13T09:00:05.789124+00:00",
"llm_sentiment": 1,
"llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
"llm_severity": 0,
"llm_weeks_out": null,
"llm_offfield_risk": 0,
"llm_key_phrases": "carry the load; montgomery out; 19 touches; backfield to himself; low-end rb2",
"llm_role_change": 1,
"llm_usage_outlook": 1,
"llm_team_context": 1,
"llm_relevance": 0.9,
"llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-13T09:20:58.179672+00:00",
"llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
"inference_status": "current"
}Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "current", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}
Stored injury context
{
"status": "questionable",
"exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793,
"as_of": "2026-10-31",
"source": "curves-v1"
}Complete source evidence
{
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"warnings": [],
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"draft_adp": {
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"advanced_stats": {
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}
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},
"outcome_readiness": {
"completed_week": 7,
"fresh": true,
"checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
"status": "ready"
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"valuation_context": {
"phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
"fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
"fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
"fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
"advanced_stats_priced": false,
"injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
"remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
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"value_locked": null,
"ytd_through_week": 8,
"ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
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"url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
}
],
"limitations": [
"Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
"generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
"Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
"Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
"League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
],
"metric_definitions": {
"proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
"adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
"ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
"tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
"ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
"projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
"value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
"xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
"xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
},
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"player": {
"sleeper_id": "12474",
"name": "Woody Marks",
"team": "HOU",
"pos": "RB",
"age": 25,
"exp": 1,
"injury": "Questionable",
"rookie": false,
"value": 13.9,
"ros_ppg": 7.88,
"games_left": 9,
"projection": {
"ros_ppg": 7.876222222222223,
"source": "sleeper_future",
"captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
"covered_weeks": [
9,
10,
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17
],
"missing_weeks": [],
"remaining_games": 9
},
"proj": 114,
"adp": 141.4,
"adp_pr": 46,
"ly": {
"pts": 133.1,
"g": 16,
"through_week": 18,
"passing_yards": 0.0,
"passing_tds": 0.0,
"interceptions": 0.0,
"carries": 196.0,
"rushing_yards": 703.0,
"rushing_tds": 2.0,
"targets": 36.0,
"receptions": 24.0,
"receiving_yards": 208.0,
"receiving_tds": 3.0,
"passing_first_downs": 0.0,
"rushing_first_downs": 41.0,
"receiving_first_downs": 7.0,
"fumbles_lost": 0.0,
"tgt_share": 6.9,
"ppg": 8.32,
"ypc": 3.6,
"ypt": 5.8,
"ypr": 8.7,
"catch_pct": 66.7,
"total_yd": 911.0,
"ypg": 56.9,
"touches": 220.0,
"first_downs": 48.0,
"xfp": 169.8,
"xfp_diff": -36.7,
"xfp_through_week": 18,
"xfp_coverage": "complete"
},
"adv": {
"snap_pct": 51.5,
"pass_time_to_throw": null,
"pass_adot": null,
"pass_aggressiveness": null,
"pass_cpoe": null,
"pass_air_to_sticks": null,
"pass_rating": null,
"rush_stacked_box_pct": 27.55,
"rush_time_to_los": 2.79,
"rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.12,
"rush_efficiency": 4.13,
"rush_pct_over_expected": 0.42,
"rec_avg_separation": null,
"rec_avg_cushion": null,
"rec_adot": null,
"rec_air_share": null,
"rec_yac_above_exp": null,
"rec_catch_pct": null,
"rec_drops": 2.0,
"rec_broken_tackles": 3.0,
"rush_ybc_att": 1.85,
"rush_yac_att": 1.79,
"rush_broken_tackles": 8.0,
"pass_pressured_pct": null,
"pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
"rec_drop_pct": 5.6
},
"ytd": {
"pts": 55.5,
"g": 7,
"through_week": 7,
"passing_yards": 0.0,
"passing_tds": 0.0,
"interceptions": 0.0,
"carries": 77.0,
"rushing_yards": 271.0,
"rushing_tds": 2.0,
"targets": 17.0,
"receptions": 14.0,
"receiving_yards": 94.0,
"receiving_tds": 0.0,
"passing_first_downs": 0.0,
"rushing_first_downs": 15.0,
"receiving_first_downs": 4.0,
"fumbles_lost": 0.0,
"tgt_share": 7.4,
"ppg": 7.93,
"ypc": 3.5,
"ypt": 5.5,
"ypr": 6.7,
"catch_pct": 82.4,
"total_yd": 365.0,
"ypg": 52.1,
"touches": 91.0,
"first_downs": 19.0,
"xfp": 66.5,
"xfp_diff": -11.0,
"xfp_through_week": 7,
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"adv_ytd": {
"snap_pct": 61.7,
"pass_time_to_throw": null,
"pass_adot": null,
"pass_aggressiveness": null,
"pass_cpoe": null,
"pass_air_to_sticks": null,
"pass_rating": null,
"rush_stacked_box_pct": 28.57,
"rush_time_to_los": 2.72,
"rush_ryoe_per_att": -0.44,
"rush_efficiency": 4.34,
"rush_pct_over_expected": 0.34,
"rec_avg_separation": null,
"rec_avg_cushion": null,
"rec_adot": null,
"rec_air_share": null,
"rec_yac_above_exp": null,
"rec_catch_pct": null,
"rec_drops": 0.0,
"rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
"rush_ybc_att": 2.09,
"rush_yac_att": 1.43,
"rush_broken_tackles": 5.0,
"pass_pressured_pct": null,
"pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
"rec_drop_pct": 0.0
}
},
"profile": {
"sleeper_id": "12474",
"season": 2026,
"as_of": "2026-11-01T01:39:25.449365+00:00",
"freshness": {
"writeup": "preseason_context",
"news": "stale",
"news_inference": "current",
"injury_outlook": "current",
"note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
},
"writeup": "Houston gave Marks 220 touches as a rookie, 196 carries plus 24 catches, usage worth about 170 expected points, and he turned them into 133, a 37-point shortfall that ranked dead last among the backs we could measure. The charting spreads the blame around: 1.85 yards before contact per carry sits in the 22nd percentile, so the line gave him very little, while his own 1.79 after contact was only 36th percentile. Gaps that size tend to shrink the following season, and he doesn't need efficiency if the role holds, since his touch volume as a rookie reached the 76th percentile. Consensus has him at 113 points, RB44, essentially matching his RB47 half-PPR price, which means you pay for a repeat of the role and get any rebound for free. Among the sophomore backs going in this range, his floor rests on demonstrated volume rather than a hoped-for promotion. Three receiving touchdowns and a mid-pack target share suggest the passing-down work can stick as well.",
"writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
"news": {
"digest": "Woody Marks will 'carry the load' for Texans with Montgomery out — Marks had 19 touches on Sunday and he operated as the Texans lead back in 2025, so this is nothing new to him. He's not overly dynamic, despite the coachspeak, but he can get it done for fantasy thanks to volume. He's a low-end RB2, high-end RB3 with the backfield to himself.",
"latest_at": "2026-10-12T16:33:32+00:00",
"updated_at": "2026-10-13T09:00:05.789124+00:00",
"llm_sentiment": 1,
"llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
"llm_severity": 0,
"llm_weeks_out": null,
"llm_offfield_risk": 0,
"llm_key_phrases": "carry the load; montgomery out; 19 touches; backfield to himself; low-end rb2",
"llm_role_change": 1,
"llm_usage_outlook": 1,
"llm_team_context": 1,
"llm_relevance": 0.9,
"llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-13T09:20:58.179672+00:00",
"llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
"inference_status": "current"
},
"injury_outlook": {
"status": "questionable",
"exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793,
"as_of": "2026-10-31",
"source": "curves-v1"
},
"injury_outlook_last_captured": {
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"exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793,
"as_of": "2026-10-31",
"source": "curves-v1"
}
}
}Use this source carefully
- Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.
- generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.
- Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.
- Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.
- League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring.