FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / TE · LV

Brock Bowers

Read as Markdown · JSON · Interactive board

Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:56.003178+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Brock Bowers TELV 15.7514.3569.2

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
195
Draft average position
22

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
78.5
Games played
5
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
51
receptions
34
receiving yards
455
receiving tds
3
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
23
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
26
Fantasy points per game
15.7
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
8.9
Yards per reception
13.4
Catch rate (%)
66.7
Total yards
455
Yards per game
91
touches
34
first downs
23
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
73.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
6.8
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
142.2
Games played
12
Observed through week
16
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
2
rushing yards
2
rushing tds
0
targets
86
receptions
64
receiving yards
680
receiving tds
7
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
36
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
23.6
Fantasy points per game
11.85
Yards per carry
1
Yards per target
7.9
Yards per reception
10.6
Catch rate (%)
74.4
Total yards
682
Yards per game
56.8
touches
66
first downs
36
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
123.2
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
19
Opportunity observed through week
16
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
82.6
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.34
rec avg cushion
5.74
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
10.51
rec air share
25.7
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.73
rec catch pct
65.38
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
2

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
85.9
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
2.92
rec avg cushion
6.16
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
7.07
rec air share
18.62
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
0.97
rec catch pct
74.42
rec drops
4
rec broken tackles
3
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
4.7

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

The market has settled on Bowers as the TE2, a second-round price around pick 20, and the 2025 charting explains why the faith survived a 12-game season. His 11.8 points a game ranked fourth at the position, his 18.5 percent air-yards share landed in the 94th percentile among tight ends, and he added 0.95 yards after catch over expected per reception (83rd percentile), all while sitting in the 17th percentile for average separation. Even with defenders playing off him at the snap, an 89th-percentile average cushion, his separation at the catch point stayed among the position's lowest, so he was winning contested and then creating once the ball arrived, which is how the great ones hold volume when defenses know it's coming. The concern lives in the environment, since Vegas has the Raiders 28th by implied team total at 19.2 points a game, and he beat his expected points by 19 last year, so an honest forecast bakes in some efficiency pullback. Consensus still projects 195 points and TE2, meaning the price is roughly right if you believe target dominance travels through a bad offense, and his own usage inside that same bad offense suggests it can.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Brock Bowers (knee) limited at practice Wednesday — Bowers was a limited participant at practice on Wednesday. This is likely just a load management move on the part of the team early on in the practice week, so fantasy managers should have no concerns about his outlook for Week 5 unless he's downgraded at some point this week.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-07T21:50:54+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-08T19:00:31.542595+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 0,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "limited participant; load management move; no concerns; outlook for week 5; downgraded",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-08T19:22:30.289955+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
{
  "schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
  "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/11604",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:39:56.003178+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "11604",
    "name": "Brock Bowers",
    "team": "LV",
    "pos": "TE",
    "age": 23,
    "exp": 2,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 69.2,
    "ros_ppg": 14.35,
    "games_left": 9,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 14.347666666666665,
      "source": "sleeper_future",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
      "covered_weeks": [
        8,
        9,
        10,
        11,
        12,
        14,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "missing_weeks": [],
      "remaining_games": 9
    },
    "proj": 195,
    "adp": 22.0,
    "adp_pr": 1,
    "ly": {
      "pts": 142.2,
      "g": 12,
      "through_week": 16,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 2.0,
      "rushing_yards": 2.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 86.0,
      "receptions": 64.0,
      "receiving_yards": 680.0,
      "receiving_tds": 7.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 36.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 23.6,
      "ppg": 11.85,
      "ypc": 1.0,
      "ypt": 7.9,
      "ypr": 10.6,
      "catch_pct": 74.4,
      "total_yd": 682.0,
      "ypg": 56.8,
      "touches": 66.0,
      "first_downs": 36.0,
      "xfp": 123.2,
      "xfp_diff": 19.0,
      "xfp_through_week": 16,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 85.9,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": 2.92,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 6.16,
      "rec_adot": 7.07,
      "rec_air_share": 18.62,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.97,
      "rec_catch_pct": 74.42,
      "rec_drops": 4.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 4.7
    },
    "ytd": {
      "pts": 78.5,
      "g": 5,
      "through_week": 7,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 51.0,
      "receptions": 34.0,
      "receiving_yards": 455.0,
      "receiving_tds": 3.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 23.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
      "tgt_share": 26.0,
      "ppg": 15.7,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 8.9,
      "ypr": 13.4,
      "catch_pct": 66.7,
      "total_yd": 455.0,
      "ypg": 91.0,
      "touches": 34.0,
      "first_downs": 23.0,
      "xfp": 73.7,
      "xfp_diff": 6.8,
      "xfp_through_week": 7,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv_ytd": {
      "snap_pct": 82.6,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": 2.34,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 5.74,
      "rec_adot": 10.51,
      "rec_air_share": 25.7,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.73,
      "rec_catch_pct": 65.38,
      "rec_drops": 1.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": null,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 2.0
    }
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "11604",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T01:39:56.007695+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "current",
      "injury_outlook": "stale",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "The market has settled on Bowers as the TE2, a second-round price around pick 20, and the 2025 charting explains why the faith survived a 12-game season. His 11.8 points a game ranked fourth at the position, his 18.5 percent air-yards share landed in the 94th percentile among tight ends, and he added 0.95 yards after catch over expected per reception (83rd percentile), all while sitting in the 17th percentile for average separation. Even with defenders playing off him at the snap, an 89th-percentile average cushion, his separation at the catch point stayed among the position's lowest, so he was winning contested and then creating once the ball arrived, which is how the great ones hold volume when defenses know it's coming. The concern lives in the environment, since Vegas has the Raiders 28th by implied team total at 19.2 points a game, and he beat his expected points by 19 last year, so an honest forecast bakes in some efficiency pullback. Consensus still projects 195 points and TE2, meaning the price is roughly right if you believe target dominance travels through a bad offense, and his own usage inside that same bad offense suggests it can.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "Brock Bowers (knee) limited at practice Wednesday — Bowers was a limited participant at practice on Wednesday. This is likely just a load management move on the part of the team early on in the practice week, so fantasy managers should have no concerns about his outlook for Week 5 unless he's downgraded at some point this week.",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-07T21:50:54+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-08T19:00:31.542595+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": 0,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
      "llm_severity": 1,
      "llm_weeks_out": null,
      "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
      "llm_key_phrases": "limited participant; load management move; no concerns; outlook for week 5; downgraded",
      "llm_role_change": 0,
      "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
      "llm_team_context": 0,
      "llm_relevance": 0.9,
      "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-08T19:22:30.289955+00:00",
      "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
      "inference_status": "current"
    },
    "injury_outlook": null,
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
      "status": "questionable",
      "exp_miss_next6": 1.6780349575271793,
      "as_of": "2026-10-08",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    }
  }
}

Use this source carefully