FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · BUF

Ray Davis

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:14.726475+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Ray Davis RBBUF 1.3450.910

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
10
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
32
Draft average position
208.8

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
6.7
Games played
5
Observed through week
6
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
5
rushing yards
12
rushing tds
0
targets
3
receptions
3
receiving yards
40
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
1
receiving first downs
1
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
2.2
Fantasy points per game
1.34
Yards per carry
2.4
Yards per target
13.3
Yards per reception
13.3
Catch rate (%)
100
Total yards
52
Yards per game
10.4
touches
8
first downs
2
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
5.6
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
1.1
Opportunity observed through week
6
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
53.1
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
58
rushing yards
275
rushing tds
0
targets
13
receptions
10
receiving yards
86
receiving tds
2
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
15
receiving first downs
7
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
2.7
Fantasy points per game
3.12
Yards per carry
4.7
Yards per target
6.6
Yards per reception
8.6
Catch rate (%)
76.9
Total yards
361
Yards per game
21.2
touches
68
first downs
22
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
53.3
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-0.2
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
11.2
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
1
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
14.3
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
2
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
2.5
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
2.24
rush broken tackles
3
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
15.4

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Buffalo's offense carries most of Davis's appeal, with Vegas ranking the Bills fifth by implied team totals at 25.6 points a game, the kind of place where any back who inherits real carries matters instantly. Davis himself has given drafters little to hold: 3.1 points a game in 2025, a weekly median of 0.6, a 14.3 percent snap share, and a week 18 eruption of 24.4 points that supplied a huge slice of the season total. In small doses the efficiency was fine, 4.7 yards a carry with 2.24 after contact in the 78th percentile, so the ability to run when called on is documented. The consensus projection of 32.3 points at RB82 sits sixteen spots below his RB66 standard price, which tells you the market is buying insurance rather than production. Reasonable enough in deep leagues, less so in shallow ones. What a handcuff in a top-five scoring environment runs on is the starter's fragility rather than the backup's stat line, and if that day comes, none of Davis's 2025 numbers will matter next to the opportunity in front of him.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Ray Davis (hamstring) logs full practice Thursday. — Davis was able to log a full practice session to start the week on Thursday. He played through this hamstring injury in Week 4, and it looks like it's not an issue for him at all anymore. He should play and be a full go in Week 5, though he will continue to be relegated to a depth role in this backfield.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-09T01:57:09+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-09T09:00:23.363460+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 0,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 2,
  "llm_weeks_out": 0.0,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "logs full practice; not an issue; full go week 5; relegated to depth role; hamstring",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": -1,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-09T09:25:48.672707+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "pos": "RB",
    "age": 26,
    "exp": 2,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 0.91,
    "games_left": 10,
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      "targets": 13.0,
      "receptions": 10.0,
      "receiving_yards": 86.0,
      "receiving_tds": 2.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 15.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 7.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
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      "ppg": 3.12,
      "ypc": 4.7,
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      "ypr": 8.6,
      "catch_pct": 76.9,
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      "touches": 68.0,
      "first_downs": 22.0,
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      "pass_adot": null,
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      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
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      "rec_drops": 2.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 2.5,
      "rush_yac_att": 2.24,
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      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
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Use this source carefully