FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / QB · DEN

Bo Nix

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:40:27.511349+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Bo Nix QBDEN 13.11715.915.2

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
287
Draft average position
116.6

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
91.8
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
1,271
passing tds
7
interceptions
3
carries
29
rushing yards
110
rushing tds
2
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
58
rushing first downs
9
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
13.11
Yards per carry
3.8
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
1,381
Yards per game
197.3
touches
29
first downs
9
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
18.5
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
4.5
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
296.8
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
3,931
passing tds
25
interceptions
11
carries
83
rushing yards
356
rushing tds
5
targets
1
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
196
rushing first downs
27
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
0.2
Fantasy points per game
17.46
Yards per carry
4.3
Yards per target
0
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
0
Total yards
4,287
Yards per game
252.2
touches
83
first downs
27
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
40.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
Unavailable
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
partial

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
99.7
Time to throw (seconds)
2.96
Average depth of pass target (yards)
6.41
pass aggressiveness
11.47
Completion percentage above expectation
-4.12
pass air to sticks
-2.74
pass rating
80.66
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
22.3
pass bad throw pct
17.2
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
99.6
Time to throw (seconds)
2.86
Average depth of pass target (yards)
7.51
pass aggressiveness
11.11
Completion percentage above expectation
-2.02
pass air to sticks
-1.41
pass rating
87.81
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
3.36
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
0.69
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
19.5
pass bad throw pct
16.4
rec drop pct
0

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Denver never took Nix off the field last season, a position-leading 99.6 percent snap share across all 17 games, and the resulting volume carried him to a top-ten points finish at 18.1 a game. The style of that production is the concern, since his aggressiveness rate ranked second-to-last, his aDOT sat in the 28th percentile, and his passer rating landed in the bottom quarter, a checkdown-heavy operation that needs a strong team scoring environment to pay off. Early Vegas lines point the wrong way on that, with Denver 25th in average implied team total and a Week 1 trip to Kansas City carrying a 20-point implied figure. His median week of 16.2 also ran well below the 18.1 average, so the typical outing was more modest than the season line. The ankle appears minor, with June reports showing full 7-on-7 work and a full-go expectation for camp. At pick 114 as QB14 he matches his QB14 consensus projection exactly, so the market carries no argument either way, and drafters taking him are buying games played and a locked starting job with little in the charting to suggest upside beyond that.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Bo Nix struggles in Week 4 loss to 49ers — Nix couldn't carry over his three-touchdown performance from Week 3. The Broncos struggled to get much going offensively, and Nix needed 42 attempts to get to 214 passing yards. The good news is he didn't turn the ball over and added 10 yards on the ground. Nix gets a better matchup against the winless Los Angeles Chargers in Week 5, but he remains more of a QB2 with streaming upside for fantasy managers.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-05T18:25:34+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-06T09:00:15.551468+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "struggles in week 4; couldn't carry over; 42 attempts; no turnovers; qb2 streaming upside",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-06T09:01:35.035727+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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    "exp": 2,
    "injury": null,
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    "value": 15.2,
    "ros_ppg": 15.9,
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      "receiving_yards": 0.0,
      "receiving_tds": 0.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 27.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 0.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 2.0,
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      "ppg": 17.46,
      "ypc": 4.3,
      "ypt": 0.0,
      "ypr": null,
      "catch_pct": 0.0,
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      "pass_aggressiveness": 11.11,
      "pass_cpoe": -2.02,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": -1.41,
      "pass_rating": 87.81,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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    "writeup": "Denver never took Nix off the field last season, a position-leading 99.6 percent snap share across all 17 games, and the resulting volume carried him to a top-ten points finish at 18.1 a game. The style of that production is the concern, since his aggressiveness rate ranked second-to-last, his aDOT sat in the 28th percentile, and his passer rating landed in the bottom quarter, a checkdown-heavy operation that needs a strong team scoring environment to pay off. Early Vegas lines point the wrong way on that, with Denver 25th in average implied team total and a Week 1 trip to Kansas City carrying a 20-point implied figure. His median week of 16.2 also ran well below the 18.1 average, so the typical outing was more modest than the season line. The ankle appears minor, with June reports showing full 7-on-7 work and a full-go expectation for camp. At pick 114 as QB14 he matches his QB14 consensus projection exactly, so the market carries no argument either way, and drafters taking him are buying games played and a locked starting job with little in the charting to suggest upside beyond that.",
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Use this source carefully