FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / QB · CHI

Caleb Williams

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:56.997618+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Caleb Williams QBCHI 20.9418.3237

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
292
Draft average position
74.9

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
83.6
Games played
4
Observed through week
7
passing yards
1,020
passing tds
5
interceptions
1
carries
24
rushing yards
128
rushing tds
2
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
43
rushing first downs
9
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
20.9
Yards per carry
5.3
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
1,148
Yards per game
287
touches
24
first downs
9
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
15.9
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
8.9
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
315.2
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
3,942
passing tds
27
interceptions
7
carries
77
rushing yards
383
rushing tds
3
targets
2
receptions
2
receiving yards
22
receiving tds
1
passing first downs
187
rushing first downs
33
receiving first downs
2
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
0.4
Fantasy points per game
18.54
Yards per carry
5
Yards per target
11
Yards per reception
11
Catch rate (%)
100
Total yards
4,347
Yards per game
255.7
touches
79
first downs
35
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
48.3
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
17.2
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
96.5
Time to throw (seconds)
3.22
Average depth of pass target (yards)
6.22
pass aggressiveness
9.68
Completion percentage above expectation
5.82
pass air to sticks
-3.56
pass rating
105.58
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
1
pass pressured pct
26.6
pass bad throw pct
12.6
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
99.1
Time to throw (seconds)
3.2
Average depth of pass target (yards)
8.45
pass aggressiveness
11.27
Completion percentage above expectation
-6.67
pass air to sticks
-0.49
pass rating
90.13
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
4.13
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.02
rush broken tackles
5
pass pressured pct
24.3
pass bad throw pct
19.4
rec drop pct
0

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Chicago got a top-five points season from Williams while he charted near the bottom of the position in nearly every passing-quality measure. His CPOE ranked last among qualifiers at minus 6.9, his aggressiveness rate also ranked last, his time to throw was the second-longest, and his bad-throw rate sat in the worst fifth. The points arrived anyway, on 3,942 passing yards, 27 touchdowns, 383 rushing yards, a 99 percent snap share across all 17 games, plus a receiving touchdown for garnish. Durability and volume propping up shaky underlying play can absolutely continue, and the Bears rank a healthy eighth in early implied team totals, so the environment is not the problem. The price splits sharply by format, and that is where judgment comes in: single-QB drafters take him in the eighth round around QB8, already ahead of his QB13 consensus projection, while 2QB rooms push him all the way to QB6, a two-round leap of faith the 2025 charting does nothing to justify.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Caleb Williams (hamstring) officially questionable for Sunday — In a surprising move, Williams is officially considered questionable to play on Sunday. It was previously reported that Tyson Bagent is going to start for the Bears in Week 5, but now that is a little uncertain at this point. Fantasy managers should keep close tabs on any updates about this situation heading into the weekend.",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-09T19:29:05+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-11T09:00:23.208085+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": -1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": 0.5,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "hamstring questionable; officially questionable; tyson bagent uncertain; keep close tabs; week 5",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-11T09:15:31.147686+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
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    "team": "CHI",
    "pos": "QB",
    "age": 24,
    "exp": 2,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 37.0,
    "ros_ppg": 18.32,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "carries": 77.0,
      "rushing_yards": 383.0,
      "rushing_tds": 3.0,
      "targets": 2.0,
      "receptions": 2.0,
      "receiving_yards": 22.0,
      "receiving_tds": 1.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 187.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 33.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 2.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
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      "ppg": 18.54,
      "ypc": 5.0,
      "ypt": 11.0,
      "ypr": 11.0,
      "catch_pct": 100.0,
      "total_yd": 4347.0,
      "ypg": 255.7,
      "touches": 79.0,
      "first_downs": 35.0,
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      "snap_pct": 99.1,
      "pass_time_to_throw": 3.2,
      "pass_adot": 8.45,
      "pass_aggressiveness": 11.27,
      "pass_cpoe": -6.67,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": -0.49,
      "pass_rating": 90.13,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
      "rec_avg_cushion": null,
      "rec_adot": null,
      "rec_air_share": null,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": null,
      "rec_catch_pct": null,
      "rec_drops": 0.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": 4.13,
      "rush_yac_att": 1.02,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 5.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": 24.3,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": 19.4,
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      "rushing_yards": 128.0,
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Use this source carefully