FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / QB · HOU

C.J. Stroud

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:56.906545+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
C.J. Stroud QBHOU 18.1715.6412.9

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
249
Draft average position
209.3

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
126.7
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
1,867
passing tds
11
interceptions
1
carries
18
rushing yards
80
rushing tds
1
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
83
rushing first downs
10
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
18.1
Yards per carry
4.4
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
1,947
Yards per game
278.1
touches
18
first downs
10
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
10.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
3.2
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
208.5
Games played
14
Observed through week
18
passing yards
3,041
passing tds
19
interceptions
8
carries
48
rushing yards
209
rushing tds
1
targets
0
receptions
0
receiving yards
0
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
137
rushing first downs
20
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
0
Fantasy points per game
14.89
Yards per carry
4.4
Yards per target
Unavailable
Yards per reception
Unavailable
Catch rate (%)
Unavailable
Total yards
3,250
Yards per game
232.1
touches
48
first downs
20
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
25.8
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
1.1
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
100
Time to throw (seconds)
2.88
Average depth of pass target (yards)
9.56
pass aggressiveness
19.84
Completion percentage above expectation
6.57
pass air to sticks
0.37
pass rating
100.72
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
18.5
pass bad throw pct
13.9
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
91.2
Time to throw (seconds)
2.82
Average depth of pass target (yards)
8.03
pass aggressiveness
12.77
Completion percentage above expectation
0.96
pass air to sticks
-1.02
pass rating
92.91
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
Unavailable
rec broken tackles
Unavailable
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
3.76
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
0.55
rush broken tackles
0
pass pressured pct
21.2
pass bad throw pct
18.9
rec drop pct
Unavailable

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Houston asked very little of Stroud last season and got about that much back, 217 passing yards a game, a 14th-percentile aggressiveness rate, and a bad-throw rate in the worst sixth of charted quarterbacks. Ball security was the clean part, zero lost fumbles all year, and his 0.77 CPOE says the underlying accuracy has not gone anywhere. The scoring settled at 15.5 points per game across 14 starts, streamer territory, and the market has priced him at exactly his consensus projection, QB23 both ways, around pick 166. That makes him one of the few quarterbacks in this range carrying neither premium nor discount, so the draft-day decision reduces to whether you believe the 24-year-old who attacked downfield as a rookie still exists. The 2025 charting shows no trace of that player, and Houston's middling 16th-place implied total is not the kind of environment that forces the issue.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "C.J. Stroud plays well in Week 1 loss — Stroud added 15 yards on a couple of carries and did not throw an interception in Sunday's season opener. He did lose a couple of fumbles, however, as the Texans took a loss in this Week 1 shootout. Still, this was an encouraging start for the third-year QB, and he's certainly at least going to be on the streaming radar for a Week 2 matchup with the Bengals. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-09-15T16:28:07+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-09-16T09:00:22.262144+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 0,
  "llm_severity": 0,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "encouraging start; no interceptions; couple of fumbles; streaming radar; added 15 yards",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-16T09:04:33.314042+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "unavailable", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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    "value": 12.9,
    "ros_ppg": 15.64,
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      "pass_air_to_sticks": -1.02,
      "pass_rating": 92.91,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
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      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
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    "writeup": "Houston asked very little of Stroud last season and got about that much back, 217 passing yards a game, a 14th-percentile aggressiveness rate, and a bad-throw rate in the worst sixth of charted quarterbacks. Ball security was the clean part, zero lost fumbles all year, and his 0.77 CPOE says the underlying accuracy has not gone anywhere. The scoring settled at 15.5 points per game across 14 starts, streamer territory, and the market has priced him at exactly his consensus projection, QB23 both ways, around pick 166. That makes him one of the few quarterbacks in this range carrying neither premium nor discount, so the draft-day decision reduces to whether you believe the 24-year-old who attacked downfield as a rookie still exists. The 2025 charting shows no trace of that player, and Houston's middling 16th-place implied total is not the kind of environment that forces the issue.",
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Use this source carefully