FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / RB · DET

Jahmyr Gibbs

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:26.930702+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Jahmyr Gibbs RBDET 25.83622.99166.6

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
10
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
343
Draft average position
1.8

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
155
Games played
6
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
134
rushing yards
620
rushing tds
7
targets
40
receptions
32
receiving yards
270
receiving tds
2
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
42
receiving first downs
12
fumbles lost
2
Target share in observed games (%)
18.3
Fantasy points per game
25.83
Yards per carry
4.6
Yards per target
6.8
Yards per reception
8.4
Catch rate (%)
80
Total yards
890
Yards per game
148.3
touches
166
first downs
54
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
144.1
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
14.9
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
328.4
Games played
17
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
243
rushing yards
1,223
rushing tds
13
targets
94
receptions
77
receiving yards
616
receiving tds
5
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
58
receiving first downs
28
fumbles lost
1
Target share in observed games (%)
17.1
Fantasy points per game
19.32
Yards per carry
5
Yards per target
6.6
Yards per reception
8
Catch rate (%)
81.9
Total yards
1,839
Yards per game
108.2
touches
320
first downs
86
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
257.7
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
72.7
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
78.8
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
18.66
rush time to los
2.9
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.56
rush efficiency
4
rush pct over expected
0.46
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
0
rec broken tackles
4
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
3.04
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.58
rush broken tackles
7
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
0

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
67
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
21.81
rush time to los
2.86
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
0.7
rush efficiency
3.86
rush pct over expected
0.36
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
3
rec broken tackles
7
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
3.47
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
1.57
rush broken tackles
15
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
3.2

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

No back beat his opportunity like Jahmyr Gibbs last year. His usage was worth about 258 expected points and he scored 328 (half-PPR), a 71-point overshoot that led the position, powered by 13 rushing touchdowns. The charting shows where the credit sits: 3.47 yards before contact per carry, second-best among qualified backs, against 1.57 after contact, bottom fifth at the position. Detroit's blocking hands him daylight and he takes it at speed, which has been a lovely arrangement given the Lions carry the second-highest implied totals on the early 2026 lines at 26.9 points a game. The consensus projection actually makes him the overall RB1 at 337, a touch ahead of Robinson, on the belief that the touchdown environment holds. Pick three buys the league's best scoring context funneling through a back who also drew a 17.1 percent target share, 96th percentile among backs, rather than a self-made yardage profile. The price is right for as long as Detroit's offense stays what it has been, because his own after-contact numbers give him less margin beneath him than most backs drafted near him.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Jahmyr Gibbs (shoulder) will play Sunday  — Gibbs is good to go despite missing practice to start the week on Wednesday. He will remain in his usual role for the Lions and fantasy managers. ",
  "latest_at": "2026-10-30T20:54:06+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-31T23:04:06.851848+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": 1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "will play sunday; good to go; missed practice; usual role; shoulder",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-10-31T23:05:27.205143+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "current", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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      "receiving_yards": 616.0,
      "receiving_tds": 5.0,
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      "rushing_first_downs": 58.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 28.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 1.0,
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      "ppg": 19.32,
      "ypc": 5.0,
      "ypt": 6.6,
      "ypr": 8.0,
      "catch_pct": 81.9,
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      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": 21.81,
      "rush_time_to_los": 2.86,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": 0.7,
      "rush_efficiency": 3.86,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": 0.36,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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Use this source carefully