FOOTBALLQUANTS

Player sourcebook / TE · TEN

Daniel Bellinger

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Season / week
2026 / 8
Scoring
HALF · 12 teams · 1 QB
Source freshness
partial
Observed season stats
Through week 8; complete through week 7. The latest week may be partial.

Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt.

outcomes
ready
Captured 2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00; complete through week 7
season projection
preseason prior
Captured Unknown
draft adp
preseason context
Captured Unknown
advanced stats
coverage not verified
Captured Unknown
Model version and retrieval details

Model generated: 2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00. Model generation time does not establish source freshness.

Model version: trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1

Data version: board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8

Retrieved 2026-11-01T01:39:55.756964+00:00. This is the page retrieval time, not a source update.

Scroll the table to see every column.

Alphabetical player research. Observed points use posted games; future estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. Open a player for forecast dates and missing weeks. Trade values are model units.
PlayerPosTeamObserved points/gameGames playedEstimated future points/gameTrade value
Daniel Bellinger TETEN 0.9171.880

Future projection context

These estimates cover unstarted games through Week 17. They do not identify who to start this week; use your league's lineup tool for that decision.

Forecast source
Captured Sleeper future projections
Forecast captured
2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00
Unstarted games through Week 17
9
Weeks with provider forecasts
8, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
Weeks using model fallback
None recorded

Draft context

Historical context, not a weekly ranking or remaining-season forecast.

Full-season preseason projection
43
Draft average position
680.8

Observed production

Observed statistics are separate from model estimates. A missing season block means unavailable data.

This season

Fantasy points
6.4
Games played
7
Observed through week
7
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
11
receptions
6
receiving yards
34
receiving tds
0
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
0
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
5.6
Fantasy points per game
0.91
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
3.1
Yards per reception
5.7
Catch rate (%)
54.5
Total yards
34
Yards per game
4.9
touches
6
first downs
0
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
12.5
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
-6.1
Opportunity observed through week
7
Opportunity coverage
complete

Previous season

Fantasy points
50.1
Games played
13
Observed through week
18
passing yards
0
passing tds
0
interceptions
0
carries
0
rushing yards
0
rushing tds
0
targets
26
receptions
19
receiving yards
286
receiving tds
2
passing first downs
0
rushing first downs
0
receiving first downs
14
fumbles lost
0
Target share in observed games (%)
6.4
Fantasy points per game
3.85
Yards per carry
Unavailable
Yards per target
11
Yards per reception
15.1
Catch rate (%)
73.1
Total yards
286
Yards per game
22
touches
19
first downs
14
Expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
38.6
Actual minus expected rushing/receiving half-PPR points
11.5
Opportunity observed through week
18
Opportunity coverage
complete

This season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
43.6
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
9.1

Previous season: advanced statistics

Snap share (%)
49.9
Time to throw (seconds)
Unavailable
Average depth of pass target (yards)
Unavailable
pass aggressiveness
Unavailable
Completion percentage above expectation
Unavailable
pass air to sticks
Unavailable
pass rating
Unavailable
rush stacked box pct
Unavailable
rush time to los
Unavailable
Rushing yards above expectation per attempt
Unavailable
rush efficiency
Unavailable
rush pct over expected
Unavailable
rec avg separation
Unavailable
rec avg cushion
Unavailable
Average depth of receiving target (yards)
Unavailable
rec air share
Unavailable
Receiving yards after catch above expectation
Unavailable
rec catch pct
Unavailable
rec drops
1
rec broken tackles
0
Rushing yards before contact per attempt
Unavailable
Rushing yards after contact per attempt
Unavailable
rush broken tackles
Unavailable
pass pressured pct
Unavailable
pass bad throw pct
Unavailable
rec drop pct
3.8

Player narrative and news

Generated narrative is context, not a verified injury forecast or a weekly recommendation. Inspect its own dates before using it.

Write-up generated: 2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00

Bellinger heads to Tennessee after a Giants season that flattered him in a specific way: 50.1 points on 38.6 expected, a 30 percent overshoot, with more than half the season total packed into his best two weeks. Strip the 16.3-point outlier and he averaged 2.8 a game. The underlying usage was two targets per game on a 5.2 percent share, and the Titans offer a worse launching pad than New York did, ranking 27th by implied team totals with a week 1 game total of 39.5, the kind of line that starves a tight end of scoring chances. The consensus still projects 42 points at TE50, which quietly assumes the target load grows on the new team. Nobody is overpaying at pick 395, though the profile reads as a blocking-adjacent TE2 whose 2025 scoring was mostly variance.

Latest stored news context

{
  "digest": "Daniel Bellinger (illness) good to go for Sunday — The veteran tight end will be available to play against his former team on Sunday, despite recently missing a practice due to an illness of some kind. He isn't expected to be a relevant fantasy option for the foreseeable future, however, even though he's healthy.",
  "latest_at": "2026-09-25T19:36:53+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-09-27T09:00:23.404300+00:00",
  "llm_sentiment": -1,
  "llm_injury_trajectory": 1,
  "llm_severity": 1,
  "llm_weeks_out": null,
  "llm_offfield_risk": 0,
  "llm_key_phrases": "good to go for sunday; missed a practice; not expected to be relevant; illness of some kind; even though he's healthy",
  "llm_role_change": 0,
  "llm_usage_outlook": 0,
  "llm_team_context": 0,
  "llm_relevance": 0.9,
  "llm_inferred_at": "2026-09-27T09:03:50.611467+00:00",
  "llm_model": "gpt-oss-120b",
  "inference_status": "current"
}

Profile freshness: {"writeup": "preseason_context", "news": "stale", "news_inference": "current", "injury_outlook": "stale", "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."}

Complete source evidence
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  "valuation_context": {
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    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
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    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
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    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
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    "name": "Daniel Bellinger",
    "team": "TEN",
    "pos": "TE",
    "age": 26,
    "exp": 4,
    "injury": null,
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 0.0,
    "ros_ppg": 1.88,
    "games_left": 9,
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      "carries": 0.0,
      "rushing_yards": 0.0,
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      "targets": 26.0,
      "receptions": 19.0,
      "receiving_yards": 286.0,
      "receiving_tds": 2.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 14.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 6.4,
      "ppg": 3.85,
      "ypc": null,
      "ypt": 11.0,
      "ypr": 15.1,
      "catch_pct": 73.1,
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      "ypg": 22.0,
      "touches": 19.0,
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      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
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      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": null,
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      "rec_broken_tackles": 0.0,
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    "writeup": "Bellinger heads to Tennessee after a Giants season that flattered him in a specific way: 50.1 points on 38.6 expected, a 30 percent overshoot, with more than half the season total packed into his best two weeks. Strip the 16.3-point outlier and he averaged 2.8 a game. The underlying usage was two targets per game on a 5.2 percent share, and the Titans offer a worse launching pad than New York did, ranking 27th by implied team totals with a week 1 game total of 39.5, the kind of line that starves a tight end of scoring chances. The consensus still projects 42 points at TE50, which quietly assumes the target load grows on the new team. Nobody is overpaying at pick 395, though the profile reads as a blocking-adjacent TE2 whose 2025 scoring was mostly variance.",
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      "latest_at": "2026-09-25T19:36:53+00:00",
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}

Use this source carefully