DJ Moore

{
  "schema_version": "public-sources.v1",
  "canonical_url": "https://footballquants.com/sources/players/4983",
  "retrieved_at": "2026-11-01T01:38:40.466715+00:00",
  "season": 2026,
  "week": 8,
  "last_season": 2025,
  "fmt": "half",
  "teams": 12,
  "qb": 1,
  "mode": "inseason",
  "data_version": "board:v4:fp:1788548817:m:1788548832:r:1788548848:s:27180:12104087.300:weekly:2026-10-31 23:35:25.223816+00:00:xfp:2026-10-31 23:04:30.678931+00:00:registry:2026-10-31 23:03:48.108384+00:00:kickoff:2026-10-30 00:15:00+00:00:expired:False:fp:1788548817:r:1788548848:weekly:2026-10-31 23:33:41.151983+00:00:completed:7:outcomes:ready:schedule:8",
  "model_version": "trade-value-sleeper-ros-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-11-01T00:32:50.841496+00:00",
  "freshness": {
    "status": "partial",
    "expected_season": 2026,
    "served_season": 2026,
    "expected_week": 8,
    "warnings": [],
    "sources": {
      "outcomes": {
        "status": "ready",
        "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
        "completed_through_week": 7
      },
      "season_projection": {
        "status": "preseason_prior",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "draft_adp": {
        "status": "preseason_context",
        "captured_at": null
      },
      "advanced_stats": {
        "status": "coverage_not_verified",
        "captured_at": null
      }
    },
    "note": "Generation time is not source freshness. Individual future-projection capture dates and coverage are provided per player; not every input has an independent capture receipt."
  },
  "outcome_readiness": {
    "completed_week": 7,
    "fresh": true,
    "checked_at": "2026-10-31T23:03:40.760224+00:00",
    "status": "ready"
  },
  "valuation_context": {
    "phase": "sleeper_future_with_model_fallback",
    "fallback_phase": "in_season_blend",
    "fallback_outcomes_through_week": 7,
    "fallback_weekly_projection_eligible": true,
    "advanced_stats_priced": false,
    "injury_outlook": "annotation_only",
    "remaining_games_policy": "exclude_started_games"
  },
  "value_locked": null,
  "ytd_through_week": 8,
  "ytd_complete_through_week": 7,
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "FootballQuants public Player Research board",
      "url": "https://footballquants.com/api/v1/players/board"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Model estimates are not guaranteed outcomes. An unavailable value is null, never zero.",
    "generated_at describes model generation; retrieved_at describes this response, not a source update.",
    "Season projections are full-season estimates, not this week's points. ADP describes draft markets, not a weekly ranking.",
    "Half-PPR trade values are public. Standard and PPR trade values require an eligible paid account and are omitted here.",
    "League-family estimates use the stated scoring format, team count and quarterback slots; they are not custom league scoring."
  ],
  "metric_definitions": {
    "proj": "Full-season preseason projected fantasy points in the selected format; not points remaining or this week's forecast.",
    "adp": "Stored average draft position; historical draft-market context, not a current trade price.",
    "ytd.ppg": "Observed fantasy points per game in the selected format. Read ytd.g and the observed/completed weeks; partial weeks can make totals uneven.",
    "tgt_share": "Share of team targets in the player's observed games, matched by season, week and team, including recorded zero-target appearances. Byes and missing appearances do not count as zero games.",
    "ros_ppg": "Estimated points per unstarted game through Week 17 in the selected format. Uses captured Sleeper future stat lines where present and a model fallback where absent. Not a weekly start/sit recommendation.",
    "projection": "Future-source provenance: source, captured_at, covered_weeks, missing_weeks and remaining_games. Missing weeks use fallback; null remaining_games means the schedule is not verified.",
    "value": "Rest-of-season value above positional replacement in model comparison units, not projected fantasy points or trade acceptance probability.",
    "xfp": "Expected rushing and receiving half-PPR points from observed opportunity. Excludes passing, fumbles and scoring bonuses regardless of selected scoring.",
    "xfp_diff": "Observed rushing/receiving half-PPR points minus xFP for matching covered weeks. Unavailable when opportunity and production coverage differ; not proof of future regression."
  },
  "access": {
    "public": true,
    "pro_url": "https://footballquants.com/app",
    "connect_url": "https://footballquants.com/connect"
  },
  "player": {
    "sleeper_id": "4983",
    "name": "DJ Moore",
    "team": "BUF",
    "pos": "WR",
    "age": 29,
    "exp": 8,
    "injury": "Questionable",
    "rookie": false,
    "value": 44.7,
    "ros_ppg": 12.0,
    "games_left": 10,
    "projection": {
      "ros_ppg": 11.995200000000002,
      "source": "sleeper_future",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-31T23:31:38.044520+00:00",
      "covered_weeks": [
        8,
        9,
        10,
        11,
        12,
        13,
        14,
        15,
        16,
        17
      ],
      "missing_weeks": [],
      "remaining_games": 10
    },
    "proj": 174,
    "adp": 52.3,
    "adp_pr": 22,
    "ly": {
      "pts": 147.2,
      "g": 17,
      "through_week": 18,
      "passing_yards": 2.0,
      "passing_tds": 1.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 15.0,
      "rushing_yards": 79.0,
      "rushing_tds": 1.0,
      "targets": 85.0,
      "receptions": 50.0,
      "receiving_yards": 682.0,
      "receiving_tds": 6.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 1.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 5.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 32.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 16.0,
      "ppg": 8.66,
      "ypc": 5.3,
      "ypt": 8.0,
      "ypr": 13.6,
      "catch_pct": 58.8,
      "total_yd": 763.0,
      "ypg": 44.9,
      "touches": 65.0,
      "first_downs": 37.0,
      "xfp": 139.8,
      "xfp_diff": 3.3,
      "xfp_through_week": 18,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv": {
      "snap_pct": 84.8,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": 3.23,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 6.83,
      "rec_adot": 11.47,
      "rec_air_share": 21.73,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": 0.59,
      "rec_catch_pct": 58.82,
      "rec_drops": 5.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 4.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 2.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 5.9
    },
    "ytd": {
      "pts": 30.3,
      "g": 4,
      "through_week": 4,
      "passing_yards": 0.0,
      "passing_tds": 0.0,
      "interceptions": 0.0,
      "carries": 2.0,
      "rushing_yards": 5.0,
      "rushing_tds": 0.0,
      "targets": 20.0,
      "receptions": 12.0,
      "receiving_yards": 178.0,
      "receiving_tds": 1.0,
      "passing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "rushing_first_downs": 0.0,
      "receiving_first_downs": 9.0,
      "fumbles_lost": 0.0,
      "tgt_share": 17.9,
      "ppg": 7.58,
      "ypc": 2.5,
      "ypt": 8.9,
      "ypr": 14.8,
      "catch_pct": 60.0,
      "total_yd": 183.0,
      "ypg": 45.8,
      "touches": 14.0,
      "first_downs": 9.0,
      "xfp": 30.7,
      "xfp_diff": -0.4,
      "xfp_through_week": 4,
      "xfp_coverage": "complete"
    },
    "adv_ytd": {
      "snap_pct": 52.5,
      "pass_time_to_throw": null,
      "pass_adot": null,
      "pass_aggressiveness": null,
      "pass_cpoe": null,
      "pass_air_to_sticks": null,
      "pass_rating": null,
      "rush_stacked_box_pct": null,
      "rush_time_to_los": null,
      "rush_ryoe_per_att": null,
      "rush_efficiency": null,
      "rush_pct_over_expected": null,
      "rec_avg_separation": 2.74,
      "rec_avg_cushion": 7.0,
      "rec_adot": 15.15,
      "rec_air_share": 21.76,
      "rec_yac_above_exp": 1.14,
      "rec_catch_pct": 60.0,
      "rec_drops": 0.0,
      "rec_broken_tackles": 3.0,
      "rush_ybc_att": null,
      "rush_yac_att": null,
      "rush_broken_tackles": 0.0,
      "pass_pressured_pct": null,
      "pass_bad_throw_pct": null,
      "rec_drop_pct": 0.0
    }
  },
  "profile": {
    "sleeper_id": "4983",
    "season": 2026,
    "as_of": "2026-11-01T01:38:40.476357+00:00",
    "freshness": {
      "writeup": "preseason_context",
      "news": "stale",
      "news_inference": "unavailable",
      "injury_outlook": "current",
      "note": "Preseason reads are historical context. News dates describe the latest captured story, not a verified current availability report."
    },
    "writeup": "Buffalo changes the math for Moore, whose Chicago usage had thinned to five targets a game and a 16 percent share by 2025, producing 8.7 points a game across a full seventeen-game season. The movement skills held up better than the volume did: 3.27 yards of separation ranked in the 80th percentile, defenses still gave him a 90th-percentile cushion, and he kept his gadget value with 15 carries, third-most among wideouts. The 58.8 percent catch rate (27th percentile) on a middling 11.4-yard aDOT hints at target quality rather than hands, and his scoring finished seven points above what the usage predicted, so nothing was hiding in there either way. The trade drops him into the offense with the fifth-best early implied totals, and the sixth-round market at WR27 in half-PPR sits one spot from the WR26 consensus projection, about as efficiently priced as this range gets. The appeal at 29 is straightforward, since even a middling share of Buffalo's offense beats what Chicago was feeding him, and the separation data says he can still earn one.",
    "writeup_generated_at": "2026-07-22T02:44:42.345573+00:00",
    "news": {
      "digest": "DJ Moore (shoulder) inactive for Week 5 — Moore will not suit up after being unable to progress through pregame activities while entering Monday night with a questionable designation, leaving quarterback Josh Allen without his top pass-catching option against the Rams. Khalil Shakir should command more targets in the wideout's absence Monday night.",
      "latest_at": "2026-10-12T22:52:51+00:00",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-13T19:00:45.210835+00:00",
      "llm_sentiment": null,
      "llm_injury_trajectory": null,
      "llm_severity": null,
      "llm_weeks_out": null,
      "llm_offfield_risk": null,
      "llm_key_phrases": null,
      "llm_role_change": null,
      "llm_usage_outlook": null,
      "llm_team_context": null,
      "llm_relevance": null,
      "llm_inferred_at": null,
      "llm_model": null,
      "inference_status": "unavailable"
    },
    "injury_outlook": {
      "status": "questionable",
      "exp_miss_next6": 2.5578915197735834,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    },
    "injury_outlook_last_captured": {
      "status": "questionable",
      "exp_miss_next6": 2.5578915197735834,
      "as_of": "2026-10-31",
      "source": "curves-v1"
    }
  }
}